Mekelakeya vs Mekelle Kenema: match statistics
Mekelakeya occupies a significantly higher position in the table (6th place) than Mekelle Kenema (16th place), suggesting a home advantage. The home team has a better goal difference in matches at their own ground (+1) and a higher shooting efficiency rate (11% vs 9%). Mekelakeya averages 1.25 xG per home match, outperforming their xG Against (0.96), which indicates an offensive edge. Mekelle Kenema struggles to score away (60% FTS%, only 0.6 goals on average), though their defense is solid (50% clean sheets). The form of both teams in the last 5 matches is similar, increasing the chances of a draw. Considering the hosts' advantage in offensive statistics and table position, alongside the defensive strength of the visitors, I predict a Mekelakeya victory, but with a significant probability of a draw included.
Mekelakeya vs Mekelle Kenema: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mekelakeya play Mekelle Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 26 February 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Mekelakeya: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Mekelle Kenema: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mekelakeya scores 1.15 and concedes 0.85 goals per match. Mekelle Kenema scores 0.79 and concedes 0.95. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mekelakeya 41%, Mekelle Kenema 37%. Over 2.5: Mekelakeya 31%, Mekelle Kenema 34%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Mekelakeya has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.10. Mekelakeya: 8.6 shots per match, Mekelle Kenema: 6.4.
Match halves
Mekelakeya: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.46. Mekelle Kenema: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.42.
Goals by minute
Mekelakeya: 31-45+ (13 goals). Mekelle Kenema: 46-60 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Mekelakeya occupies a significantly higher position in the table (6th place) than Mekelle Kenema (16th place), suggesting a home advantage. The home team has a better goal difference in matches at their own ground (+1) and a higher shooting efficiency rate (11% vs 9%). Mekelakeya averages 1.25 xG per home match, outperforming their xG Against (0.96), which indicates an offensive edge. Mekelle Kenema struggles to score away (60% FTS%, only 0.6 goals on average), though their defense is solid (50% clean sheets). The form of both teams in the last 5 matches is similar, increasing the chances of a draw. Considering the hosts' advantage in offensive statistics and table position, alongside the defensive strength of the visitors, I predict a Mekelakeya victory, but with a significant probability of a draw included.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mekelakeya | Mekelle Kenema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mekelle Kenema is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Mekelakeya · 1.2 pts / match - Mekelle Kenema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mekelakeya is 46% better for: goals scored per match.
1.15 goals / match - Mekelakeya · 0.79 goals / match - Mekelle Kenema
Mekelakeya is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.85 goals / match - Mekelakeya · 0.95 goals / match - Mekelle Kenema
Mekelakeya scores in 67% of matches (26 of 39 matches), while Mekelle Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 39% (15 of 38 matches).
Mekelle Kenema scores in 53% of matches (20 of 38 matches), while Mekelakeya keeps a clean sheet in 46% (18 of 39 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Mekelakeya
Over / Under — Mekelle Kenema
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mekelakeya is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / match - Mekelakeya · 1.16 pts / match - Mekelle Kenema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mekelakeya - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mekelle Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mekelakeya
Mekelle Kenema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Mekelakeya | Liga | Mekelle Kenema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.00 | 1.78 | • 1.74 |
| Both teams scored | • 41% | 40% | ▼ 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 31% | 28% | ▲ 34% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 46% | 40% | • 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 59% | 56% | • 55% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 54% | 59% | ▲ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mekelakeya 0 - 1 - 0 Mekelle Kenema. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mekelakeya vs Mekelle Kenema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Mekelakeya 0:0 Mekelle Kenema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mekelakeya vs Mekelle Kenema?
Mekelakeya score 1.15 goals per game on average and Mekelle Kenema 0.79. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Mekelakeya's matches and 37% of Mekelle Kenema's.
What form are Mekelakeya and Mekelle Kenema in?
Over the last 5 games Mekelakeya have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Mekelle Kenema 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mekelakeya vs Mekelle Kenema?
The statistical background for Mekelakeya vs Mekelle Kenema — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.