Nigeria - NPFLData current as of 23 July 2026

Shooting Stars vs Rivers United: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Shooting Stars vs Rivers United: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Shooting Stars play Rivers United in NPFL (Nigeria). The match date is 1 February 2026 at 16:00.

Current form

Shooting Stars: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Rivers United: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Shooting Stars scores 1.08 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. Rivers United scores 1.16 and concedes 0.82. League average: 2.02 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Shooting Stars 39%, Rivers United 39%. Over 2.5: Shooting Stars 34%, Rivers United 34%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.

xG, shots and style

Rivers United has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.25. Shooting Stars: 6.8 shots per match, Rivers United: 7.7.

Match halves

Shooting Stars: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.53. Rivers United: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.76.

Goals by minute

Shooting Stars: 76-90+ (13 goals). Rivers United: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NPFL: 2.02 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Shooting StarsRivers United
1.08Goals scored / match1.16
Shooting StarsRivers United
1.05Goals conceded / match0.82
Shooting StarsRivers United
36%Average possession44%
Shooting StarsRivers United
1.95Shots on target / match2.71
Shooting StarsRivers United

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

6.82Shots per match7.74
Shooting StarsRivers United
1.95Shots on target2.71
Shooting StarsRivers United
15.8%Shot conversion15%
Shooting StarsRivers United
36%Possession44%
Shooting StarsRivers United
1.25xG for1.46
Shooting StarsRivers United
1.18xG against1.05
Shooting StarsRivers United

Shooting quality

Shooting Stars: Counter-attackingRivers United: Counter-attacking
Shooting StarsRivers United
Accuracy (shots on target)29%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.180.19
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.550.43

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Rivers United is 20% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Shooting Stars · 2.4 pts / match - Rivers United

Shooting Stars
DWWWL
Season result split
47% W16% R37% P
Season (W-D-L)
18-6-14
1.58 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
15-3-1
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.01Opponent xG: 1.00BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Rivers United
WLWWW
Season result split
50% W26% R24% P
Season (W-D-L)
19-10-9
1.76 pts / match · goal difference +13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-8-8
Last 5 away
1-0-4
LLLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.76Opponent xG: 0.91BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Rivers United is 7% better for: goals scored per match.

1.08 goals / match - Shooting Stars · 1.16 goals / match - Rivers United

Rivers United is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.05 goals / match - Shooting Stars · 0.82 goals / match - Rivers United

Shooting Stars scoring profile: mixed

Shooting Stars scores in 61% of matches (23 of 38 matches), while Rivers United keeps a clean sheet in 50% (19 of 38 matches).

Rivers United scoring profile: very strong

Rivers United scores in 76% of matches (29 of 38 matches), while Shooting Stars keeps a clean sheet in 26% (10 of 38 matches).

41Goals scored (season)44
Shooting StarsRivers United
40Goals conceded (season)31
Shooting StarsRivers United
2.13Average goals in match1.97
Shooting StarsRivers United
6Goals scored (last 5)11
Shooting StarsRivers United
4Goals conceded (last 5)4
Shooting StarsRivers United

How often they score at least...

61%1 goal76%
Shooting StarsRivers United
32%2 goals21%
Shooting StarsRivers United
13%3 goals16%
Shooting StarsRivers United
3%4 goals3%
Shooting StarsRivers United

How often they concede at least...

74%1 goal50%
Shooting StarsRivers United
24%2 goals21%
Shooting StarsRivers United
5%3 goals5%
Shooting StarsRivers United
3%4 goals5%
Shooting StarsRivers United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

38%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time18%
Shooting StarsRivers United
8%BTTS in both halves3%
Shooting StarsRivers United
24%Scored in both halves13%
Shooting StarsRivers United

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS26%
Shooting StarsRivers United
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
Shooting StarsRivers United
40%BTTS - last 540%
Shooting StarsRivers United

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

74%Min. 1 goal before half-time53%
Shooting StarsRivers United
21%Min. 2 goals before half-time18%
Shooting StarsRivers United
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
Shooting StarsRivers United

2nd half

63%Min. 1 goal after half-time68%
Shooting StarsRivers United
34%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
Shooting StarsRivers United
5%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
Shooting StarsRivers United

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Shooting Stars is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.37 pts / match - Shooting Stars · 1.13 pts / match - Rivers United

Shooting Stars - half-time state
34% leading34% draw32% trailing
Rivers United - half-time state
18% leading58% draw24% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.37Points per match (1st half)1.13
Shooting StarsRivers United
0.55Goals scored (1st half)0.39
Shooting StarsRivers United
0.53Goals conceded (1st half)0.47
Shooting StarsRivers United
1.08Average goals (1st half)0.87
Shooting StarsRivers United
53%Clean sheet before half-time63%
Shooting StarsRivers United
55%No goal before half-time66%
Shooting StarsRivers United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.18Points per match (2nd half)1.74
Shooting StarsRivers United
0.53Goals scored (2nd half)0.76
Shooting StarsRivers United
0.53Goals conceded (2nd half)0.34
Shooting StarsRivers United
1.05Average goals (2nd half)1.11
Shooting StarsRivers United
53%Clean sheet after half-time71%
Shooting StarsRivers United
61%No goal after half-time45%
Shooting StarsRivers United

Shooting Stars - second-half results

21% W55% R24% P
52
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
45
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.37
PPG before half-time
Lead holding138%

Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Rivers United - second-half results

45% W39% R16% P
43
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
66
Second-half points
+16
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding278%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Shooting Stars - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.40
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match1.20.8
1 goal80%40%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Rivers United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.00
Goals scored / match0.61.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match0.82.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+2+5
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Shooting Stars
ScoredConceded
8
5
0-15
7
7
16-30
6
8
31-45
3
6
46-60
4
7
61-75
13
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

Rivers United
ScoredConceded
6
6
0-15
4
8
16-30
5
4
31-45
7
3
46-60
7
4
61-75
15
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.05
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
39%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-51%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
46%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Shooting Stars

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
75%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
181%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.42
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

Rivers United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.41
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.30
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.23
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
200%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
57%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.64
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
34% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
34%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).

Teams vs league

Shooting StarsLigaRivers United
Average goals in match 2.132.02 1.97
Both teams scored 39%38% 39%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 34%34% 34%
Clean sheets 26%37% 50%
Goal before half-time 74%61% 53%
Goal after half-time 63%64% 68%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.02
Average goals per match
38%
Both teams scored
34%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
37%
Clean sheets
1.44
Home goals / match
0.58
Away goals / match
+148%
Home attack advantage
+60%
Home defence advantage
+52%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Shooting Stars 0 - 0 - 1 Rivers United. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Rivers United
1 : 0
Shooting Stars

FAQ

When do Shooting Stars and Rivers United play?

Shooting Stars face Rivers United on 1 February 2026 in NPFL. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Shooting Stars vs Rivers United?

Shooting Stars score 1.08 goals per game on average and Rivers United 1.16. The NPFL average is 2.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Shooting Stars's matches and 39% of Rivers United's.

What form are Shooting Stars and Rivers United in?

Over the last 5 games Shooting Stars have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Rivers United 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Shooting Stars vs Rivers United?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.