Stargard Szczeciński vs Noteć Czarnków: match statistics
Stargard Szczeciński vs Noteć Czarnków: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Stargard Szczeciński play Noteć Czarnków in 3 Liga Group 2 (Poland). The match date is 17 May 2026 at 15:00. Venue: Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Stargard Szczeciński: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Noteć Czarnków: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Stargard Szczeciński scores 1.65 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Noteć Czarnków scores 1.41 and concedes 1.35. League average: 3.02 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Stargard Szczeciński 59%, Noteć Czarnków 44%. Over 2.5: Stargard Szczeciński 62%, Noteć Czarnków 50%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Noteć Czarnków has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.56. Stargard Szczeciński: 10.2 shots per match, Noteć Czarnków: 9.0.
Match halves
Stargard Szczeciński: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.82. Noteć Czarnków: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Stargard Szczeciński: 76-90+ (15 goals). Noteć Czarnków: 0-15 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 2: 3.02 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Stargard Szczeciński has a clear advantage in attack and game control at home: they average 1.8 goals per home match, 64% possession and 4.82 shots on target with 16% conversion. Noteć Czarnków away averages only 1.29 goals, 51% possession, 4.73 shots on target and fail to score in 50% of away matches. Although Noteć generates higher away xG (1.53 vs 1.39 xG for the hosts), poorer conversion and weak form — just 3 goals in the last 5 matches and an average of 0.6 points per game — favor Stargard. Defensively both teams concede at a similar rate (Stargard 1.73 goals at home vs Noteć 1.64 conceded away), while the visitors have more clean sheets on the road (36% vs 20%), yet also more matches without scoring. Considering Stargard’s 7 goals vs Noteć’s 3 in the last 5 fixtures, the hosts’ higher conversion rate (16% vs 11%) and the lower share of goalless games for the hosts (20% vs 50%), I tip a home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Stargard Szczeciński | Noteć Czarnków | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.19 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Stargard Szczeciński is 10% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Stargard Szczeciński · 2 pts / match - Noteć Czarnków
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Stargard Szczeciński is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
1.65 goals / match - Stargard Szczeciński · 1.41 goals / match - Noteć Czarnków
Noteć Czarnków is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Stargard Szczeciński · 1.35 goals / match - Noteć Czarnków
Stargard Szczeciński scores in 76% of matches (26 of 34 matches), while Noteć Czarnków keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).
Noteć Czarnków scores in 62% of matches (21 of 34 matches), while Stargard Szczeciński keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Stargard Szczeciński
Over / Under — Noteć Czarnków
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Stargard Szczeciński is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.56 pts / match - Stargard Szczeciński · 1.15 pts / match - Noteć Czarnków
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Stargard Szczeciński - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 35%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Noteć Czarnków - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Stargard Szczeciński
Noteć Czarnków
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 2).
Teams vs league
| Stargard Szczeciński | Liga | Noteć Czarnków | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.15 | 3.02 | ▼ 2.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 52% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 59% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 27% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 70% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 75% | ▼ 62% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Stargard Szczeciński 0 - 0 - 1 Noteć Czarnków. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Stargard Szczeciński vs Noteć Czarnków?
The 3 Liga Group 2 match finished Stargard Szczeciński 1:1 Noteć Czarnków. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Stargard Szczeciński vs Noteć Czarnków?
Stargard Szczeciński score 1.65 goals per game on average and Noteć Czarnków 1.41. The 3 Liga Group 2 average is 3.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Stargard Szczeciński's matches and 44% of Noteć Czarnków's.
What form are Stargard Szczeciński and Noteć Czarnków in?
Over the last 5 games Stargard Szczeciński have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Noteć Czarnków 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stargard Szczeciński vs Noteć Czarnków?
The statistical background for Stargard Szczeciński vs Noteć Czarnków — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.