UPDF vs Kitara: match statistics
Kitara presents decidedly better form and sits in 2nd place in the table, while UPDF is in 15th position. The hosts have earned just 1 point in their last 5 matches and scored no goals, confirming their very weak offensive disposition. Kitara, meanwhile, has secured 13 points in their last 5 outings, winning 4 matches and drawing once, with a goal record of 6:1. UPDF has an alarming FTS% of 63% in home matches, indicating frequent problems with scoring. Kitara boasts an away win rate of 63% and better xG statistics, making them the clear favorite for this encounter.
UPDF vs Kitara: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
UPDF play Kitara in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match date is 6 March 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
UPDF: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Kitara: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
UPDF scores 0.80 and concedes 1.37 goals per match. Kitara scores 1.38 and concedes 0.72. League average: 2.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: UPDF 40%, Kitara 38%. Over 2.5: UPDF 40%, Kitara 31%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
Kitara has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.53. UPDF: 10.8 shots per match, Kitara: 11.3.
Match halves
UPDF: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.43. Kitara: half-time lead 55%, second-half goals 0.48.
Goals by minute
UPDF: 31-45+ (6 goals). Kitara: 0-15 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uganda Premier League: 2.09 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Kitara presents decidedly better form and sits in 2nd place in the table, while UPDF is in 15th position. The hosts have earned just 1 point in their last 5 matches and scored no goals, confirming their very weak offensive disposition. Kitara, meanwhile, has secured 13 points in their last 5 outings, winning 4 matches and drawing once, with a goal record of 6:1. UPDF has an alarming FTS% of 63% in home matches, indicating frequent problems with scoring. Kitara boasts an away win rate of 63% and better xG statistics, making them the clear favorite for this encounter.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| UPDF | Kitara | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kitara is 400% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - UPDF · 1 pts / match - Kitara
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kitara is 72% better for: goals scored per match.
0.8 goals / match - UPDF · 1.38 goals / match - Kitara
Kitara is 90% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.37 goals / match - UPDF · 0.72 goals / match - Kitara
UPDF scores in 50% of matches (15 of 30 matches), while Kitara keeps a clean sheet in 45% (13 of 29 matches).
Kitara scores in 76% of matches (22 of 29 matches), while UPDF keeps a clean sheet in 27% (8 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — UPDF
Over / Under — Kitara
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kitara is 122% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.87 pts / match - UPDF · 1.93 pts / match - Kitara
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
UPDF - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Kitara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 55% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (12 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
UPDF
Kitara
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| UPDF | Liga | Kitara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.17 | 2.09 | • 2.10 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 40% | 38% | • 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 40% | 35% | ▼ 31% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 39% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | • 60% | 59% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 67% | 62% | ▼ 55% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: UPDF 0 - 0 - 1 Kitara. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of UPDF vs Kitara?
The Uganda Premier League match finished UPDF 1:1 Kitara. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before UPDF vs Kitara?
UPDF score 0.80 goals per game on average and Kitara 1.38. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 40% of UPDF's matches and 38% of Kitara's.
What form are UPDF and Kitara in?
Over the last 5 games UPDF have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Kitara 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for UPDF vs Kitara?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.