URA vs Lugazi Municipal: match statistics
URA clearly outperforms Lugazi Municipal in terms of form and home statistics. The hosts remain undefeated in their last 5 matches (1 win, 4 draws) and have conceded just 1 goal, demonstrating a solid defense. URA boasts a positive home goal difference (+3) and higher scoring efficiency (1.4 goals per home game), while Lugazi is yet to win an away match this season (0% win rate) and suffers from a disastrous -15 goal difference. The visitors average a mere 0.2 goals per game on the road and fail to score in 80% of their fixtures. URA's superiority in ball possession (52% vs 42%), shots on target (5.2 vs 1.88), and higher xG (1.77 vs 1.22) further confirms their dominance. Considering all these factors, a home victory is the most likely scenario.
URA vs Lugazi Municipal: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
URA play Lugazi Municipal in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match date is 11 March 2026 at 18:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
URA: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match. Lugazi Municipal: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
URA scores 0.90 and concedes 0.97 goals per match. Lugazi Municipal scores 0.63 and concedes 1.20. League average: 2.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: URA 40%, Lugazi Municipal 30%. Over 2.5: URA 27%, Lugazi Municipal 37%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
URA has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.28. URA: 11.0 shots per match, Lugazi Municipal: 8.2.
Match halves
URA: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.40. Lugazi Municipal: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.30.
Goals by minute
URA: 31-45+ (8 goals). Lugazi Municipal: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uganda Premier League: 2.09 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
URA clearly outperforms Lugazi Municipal in terms of form and home statistics. The hosts remain undefeated in their last 5 matches (1 win, 4 draws) and have conceded just 1 goal, demonstrating a solid defense. URA boasts a positive home goal difference (+3) and higher scoring efficiency (1.4 goals per home game), while Lugazi is yet to win an away match this season (0% win rate) and suffers from a disastrous -15 goal difference. The visitors average a mere 0.2 goals per game on the road and fail to score in 80% of their fixtures. URA's superiority in ball possession (52% vs 42%), shots on target (5.2 vs 1.88), and higher xG (1.77 vs 1.22) further confirms their dominance. Considering all these factors, a home victory is the most likely scenario.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| URA | Lugazi Municipal | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
URA is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - URA · 1 pts / match - Lugazi Municipal
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
URA is 43% better for: goals scored per match.
0.9 goals / match - URA · 0.63 goals / match - Lugazi Municipal
URA is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.97 goals / match - URA · 1.2 goals / match - Lugazi Municipal
URA scores in 50% of matches (15 of 30 matches), while Lugazi Municipal keeps a clean sheet in 33% (10 of 30 matches).
Lugazi Municipal scores in 37% of matches (11 of 30 matches), while URA keeps a clean sheet in 40% (12 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — URA
Over / Under — Lugazi Municipal
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
URA is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / match - URA · 1.1 pts / match - Lugazi Municipal
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
URA - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 17%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Lugazi Municipal - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 17%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
URA
Lugazi Municipal
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| URA | Liga | Lugazi Municipal | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.87 | 2.09 | ▼ 1.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 40% | 38% | ▼ 30% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 27% | 35% | ▲ 37% |
| Clean sheets | • 40% | 39% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 59% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 62% | ▼ 57% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: URA 0 - 1 - 0 Lugazi Municipal. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of URA vs Lugazi Municipal?
The Uganda Premier League match finished URA 1:0 Lugazi Municipal. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before URA vs Lugazi Municipal?
URA score 0.90 goals per game on average and Lugazi Municipal 0.63. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 40% of URA's matches and 30% of Lugazi Municipal's.
What form are URA and Lugazi Municipal in?
Over the last 5 games URA have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Lugazi Municipal 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for URA vs Lugazi Municipal?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.