22 de Julio vs CD El Nacional: match statistics
22 de Julio vs CD El Nacional: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
22 de Julio played against CD El Nacional in Primera Categoría Serie B (Ecuador). The game was played on October 7, 2026. Venue: Estadio Jocay. Final score: 2:5.
Recent form
22 de Julio has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. CD El Nacional has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
22 de Julio scores 0.54 goals per game and allows 1.89. CD El Nacional scores 0.72 and allows 1.55. Games in this league average 1.98 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 25% of 22 de Julio's games and 48% of CD El Nacional's. The Over 2.5 rates are 39% and 45%, compared with league averages of 35% for BTTS and 34% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
CD El Nacional has the higher season xG average, 1.33 to 0.85 per game. 22 de Julio takes 4.6 shots per game, while CD El Nacional takes 10.0.
First-half and second-half trends
22 de Julio leads at halftime in 7% of its games and scores 0.25 goals per game after halftime. CD El Nacional leads at halftime in 14% and scores 0.45 after halftime.
When the teams score
22 de Julio's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For CD El Nacional, it is minutes 46-60 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera Categoría Serie B games average 1.98 goals. Both teams score in 35% of games, and 34% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
22 de Julio have a slight home advantage, having won 21% of their home matches, while CD El Nacional have won just 7% of their away games. However, the hosts score only 0.50 goals per home match and have failed to score in 64% of those games, so it is difficult to consider them clear favorites. The visitors find the net more often away from home, averaging 0.79 goals, and create chances worth 1.20 xG compared with the hosts’ 0.97 xG at home. Their defense is more vulnerable, though: they concede an average of 1.93 goals away, while 22 de Julio concede 1.57 at home. Both teams have lost 4 of their last 5 matches, so the hosts’ edge is minimal, and a draw remains a realistic outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal in favor of BTTS - No is the teams’ low scoring output: 22 de Julio average 0.57 goals per match, while CD El Nacional average 0.79. The home side have failed to score in 57% of their matches, compared with 36% for the visitors, increasing the likelihood that at least one team will finish the match without scoring. Across their last 5 matches, both teams averaged 0.6 goals, and none of CD El Nacional’s matches during that period saw both teams score. Against this pick is the visitors’ poor defensive record, conceding an average of 1.93 goals, as well as the fact that the hosts have conceded 18 goals in their last 5 matches. Despite these risks, both teams’ low scoring output and the fact that both teams scored in just 29% of the home side’s matches support the scenario in which at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been surpassed in 86% of CD El Nacional matches, compared with just 50% of 22 de Julio matches. In their last 5 games, the home side conceded an average of 3.6 goals, while the visitors conceded 1.8, increasing the likelihood of at least two goals even if both attacks are relatively inefficient. Their seasonal averages for goals scored are only 0.57 and 0.79, but xG figures of 1.48 and 1.20 point to more chances created than the results alone suggest. The 2.5-goal line is less reliable, having been surpassed in 29% of the home side's matches and 57% of the visitors' games; therefore, the case for Over 1.5 goals is clearer.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal in favor of CD El Nacional leading at the break is the hosts’ form: 22 de Julio have been trailing at half-time in each of their last five matches, conceding an average of 2 goals before the break. The visitors average 0.36 goals in the first half, so their attack offers little certainty, while the hosts have led at the break in only 7% of their matches this season. The case for the visitors holding on to their lead is further supported by 22 de Julio losing four of their last five matches and conceding an average of 3.6 goals in those games, compared with 1.8 conceded by El Nacional. The 2/2 pick nevertheless remains risky: the visitors have won only 7% of their matches this season and have themselves conceded an average of 1.93 goals per game, so a draw either at half-time or at full-time also remains a significant possibility.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| 22 de Julio | CD El Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.20 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
CD El Nacional is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / game - 22 de Julio · 0.6 pts / game - CD El Nacional
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CD El Nacional is 33% better for: goals scored per game.
0.54 goals / game - 22 de Julio · 0.72 goals / game - CD El Nacional
CD El Nacional is 22% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.89 goals / game - 22 de Julio · 1.55 goals / game - CD El Nacional
22 de Julio scores in 36% of games (10 of 28 games), while CD El Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 29 games).
CD El Nacional scores in 55% of games (16 of 29 games), while 22 de Julio keeps a clean sheet in 18% (5 of 28 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - 22 de Julio
Over / Under - CD El Nacional
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
22 de Julio - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 7% of games and wins 14%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
CD El Nacional - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 10%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -8 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
22 de Julio
CD El Nacional
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera Categoría Serie B).
Teams vs league
| 22 de Julio | Liga | CD El Nacional | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.43 | 1.98 | ▲ 2.28 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 35% | ▲ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 39% | 34% | ▲ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 41% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 54% | 58% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 57% | 59% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from 22 de Julio's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses against CD El Nacional. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of 22 de Julio vs CD El Nacional?
The Primera Categoría Serie B match finished 22 de Julio 2:5 CD El Nacional. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between 22 de Julio and CD El Nacional?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches 22 de Julio won 0, CD El Nacional won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before 22 de Julio vs CD El Nacional?
22 de Julio score 0.54 goals per game on average and CD El Nacional 0.72. The Primera Categoría Serie B average is 1.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 25% of 22 de Julio's matches and 48% of CD El Nacional's.
What form are 22 de Julio and CD El Nacional in?
Over the last 5 games 22 de Julio have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and CD El Nacional 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for 22 de Julio vs CD El Nacional?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.