9 de Octubre vs Atlético JBG: match statistics
9 de Octubre vs Atlético JBG: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
9 de Octubre played against Atlético JBG in Primera Categoría Serie B (Ecuador). The game was played on April 4, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
9 de Octubre has 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Atlético JBG has 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
9 de Octubre scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 0.00. Atlético JBG scores 1.50 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.06 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 0% of 9 de Octubre's games and 50% of Atlético JBG's. The Over 2.5 rates are 0% and 50%, compared with league averages of 33% for BTTS and 33% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
9 de Octubre has the higher season xG average, 1.15 to 0.88 per game. 9 de Octubre takes 9.5 shots per game, while Atlético JBG takes 5.0.
First-half and second-half trends
9 de Octubre leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Atlético JBG leads at halftime in 0% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
9 de Octubre's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (1 goals). For Atlético JBG, it is minutes 61-75 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera Categoría Serie B games average 2.06 goals. Both teams score in 33% of games, and 33% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hosts 9 de Octubre have a clear home advantage: 100% wins and 100% clean sheets in home matches, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game. Atlético JBG away averages 2.0 goals scored per game but also concedes 2.0 on average and has no clean sheets (0%), while their average xG against is 1.68 versus 0.61 for the hosts. In the last 5 matches 9 de Octubre have scored 9 and conceded 4 (2-2-1), whereas Atlético have 8 scored and 6 conceded (2-2-1), which indicates better defensive stability for the hosts. The visitors register slightly more shots on target (6 vs 5) and higher possession (46% vs 40%), but identical shot conversion rate at 22%, so the possession edge may not translate into more goals against a well-organized defensive opponent. Considering 100% home wins, lower xG against for the hosts (0.61 vs 1.68) and a superior home goal record, I project a 9 de Octubre win; suggested probabilities are 60% for 1, 25% for draw and 15% for 2.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes at 65% because the away team registers BTTS in 100% of matches season-to-date and averages 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game (seasonBTTSPercentage_away=100, seasonScoredAVG_away=2.0, seasonConcededAVG_away=2.0), strongly indicating their matches typically produce goals at both ends. The away attack averages 9.0 shots and 6.0 shots on target with season xG=1.38, while the home side only averages 1.0 shot and xG=0.37 per game (shotsAVG_away=9.0, shotsOnTargetAVG_away=6.0, xg_for_avg_away=1.38, shotsAVG_home=1.0, xg_for_avg_home=0.37), increasing the likelihood the visitors will score at least once. Although the hosts have a season 100% clean sheet rate and 0% BTTS (seasonCSPercentage_home=100, seasonBTTSPercentage_home=0, ga_season_home=0.0), their last 5 matches show greater vulnerability: the home side had BTTS in 60% of games and conceded 0.8 goals on average in the last 5 (last5_seasonBTTSPercentage_overall_home=60.0, last5_seasonConcededAVG_overall_home=0.8). Additionally, both teams have averaged 1.8 (home) and 1.6 (away) goals in their last 5 matches, and the league average BTTS is 40% (last5_seasonScoredAVG_overall_home=1.8, last5_seasonScoredAVG_overall_away=1.6, league_seasonBTTSPercentage=40.0), so weighing season-long figures against recent trends leads me to choose Yes (65% vs 35%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG analysis and the last five matches, I estimate expected goals: 1.21 for 9 de Octubre and 1.13 for Atlético JBG, totaling 2.34 goals. In their last 5 matches 9 de Octubre scored 9 goals (avg 1.8) and conceded 4 (0.8), Atlético JBG scored 8 goals (1.6) and conceded 6 (1.2), yielding a combined average of 3.4 goals per match. Atlético creates significantly more chances: on average 6.0 shots on target and 9.0 shots per match versus the hosts' 1.0 shots on target and 1.0 shots overall, and the guests’ seasonal xG is 1.38 compared to the hosts’ 0.37. A Poisson model with total lambda=2.34 gives roughly 68% probability for Over 1.5, ~42% for Over 2.5 and ~21% for Over 3.5. The strongest signal is Over 1.5 (68%), so I recommend betting Over 1.5 due to Atlético’s creative advantage and both teams’ form (avg 3.4 goals in the last five matches).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
9 de Octubre has a 100% home win rate and averages 1.0 goal scored and 0.0 conceded at home (winPercentage_home=100.0, seasonScoredAVG_home=1.0, seasonConcededAVG_home=0.0), while they have been level at Half-Time in 100% of matches at home (drawingAtHT_home=100.0) — a strong signal for a draw at Half-Time. Atlético JBG creates more chances: xG 1.38 versus the home side’s 0.37 and averages 9.0 shots with 6.0 on target compared to the home team’s 1.0 shots (xg_for_avg_away=1.38 vs xg_for_avg_home=0.37; shotsAVG_away=9.0, shotsOnTargetAVG_away=6.0 vs shotsAVG_home=1.0, shotsOnTargetAVG_home=1.0). Despite the visitors’ offensive advantage, 9 de Octubre exhibits an exceptional 100% shot conversion rate versus Atlético’s 22% (shot_conversion_rate_home=100.0 vs shot_conversion_rate_away=22.0) and collects an average of 3.0 points per home match this season (seasonPPG_home=3.0), which favors the home side to win the match. Both teams average 1.0 second-half goals (AVG_2hg_home=1.0 and AVG_2hg_away=1.0), and the hosts have scored in the 61–75 minute window (goals_scored_min_61_to_75_home=1.0), increasing the likelihood of a turnaround after the break. Therefore the safest scenario is a draw at Half-Time and a 9 de Octubre victory at Full-Time (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| 9 de Octubre | Atlético JBG | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 70% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético JBG is 50% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - 9 de Octubre · 1.5 goals / game - Atlético JBG
9 de Octubre scores in 50% of games (1 of 2 meczów), while Atlético JBG keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 meczów).
Atlético JBG scores in 100% of games (2 of 2 meczów), while 9 de Octubre keeps a clean sheet in 100% (2 of 2 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - 9 de Octubre
Over / Under - Atlético JBG
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
9 de Octubre is 300% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / game - 9 de Octubre · 0.5 pts / game - Atlético JBG
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
9 de Octubre - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Atlético JBG - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.50 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 50% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 100% |
| No goal | 50% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
9 de Octubre
Atlético JBG
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera Categoría Serie B).
Teams vs league
| 9 de Octubre | Liga | Atlético JBG | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.00 | 2.06 | ▲ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 0% | 33% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 0% | 33% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 100% | 42% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 61% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 61% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of 9 de Octubre vs Atlético JBG?
The Primera Categoría Serie B match finished 9 de Octubre 1:2 Atlético JBG. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before 9 de Octubre vs Atlético JBG?
9 de Octubre score 1.00 goals per game on average and Atlético JBG 1.50. The Primera Categoría Serie B average is 2.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 0% of 9 de Octubre's matches and 50% of Atlético JBG's.
What form are 9 de Octubre and Atlético JBG in?
Over the last 5 games 9 de Octubre have a 1-1-0 record (2.00 points per game) and Atlético JBG 1-1-0 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for 9 de Octubre vs Atlético JBG?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.