9 de Octubre vs CD El Nacional: match statistics
9 de Octubre vs CD El Nacional: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
9 de Octubre play CD El Nacional in Primera Categoría Serie B (Ecuador). The match date is 17 May 2026 at 22:30. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
9 de Octubre: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match. CD El Nacional: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
9 de Octubre scores 1.12 and concedes 0.65 goals per match. CD El Nacional scores 0.59 and concedes 1.71. League average: 1.94 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: 9 de Octubre 35%, CD El Nacional 59%. Over 2.5: 9 de Octubre 29%, CD El Nacional 47%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
CD El Nacional has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.23. 9 de Octubre: 9.7 shots per match, CD El Nacional: 9.8.
Match halves
9 de Octubre: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.59. CD El Nacional: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.35.
Goals by minute
9 de Octubre: 76-90+ (6 goals). CD El Nacional: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera Categoría Serie B: 1.94 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
9 de Octubre is the clear favorite: at home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, score an average of 1.6 goals per match and register xG 1.48, and in the last 5 matches they have won 4 times scoring 6 goals. CD El Nacional have no away wins (0-3-6), score on average 0.75 goals per game with xG 0.86 and concede 1.75 goals per match, which exposes clear defensive problems. The quality gap in chance creation is evident: the hosts average 12 shots and 4.8 on target per match with 57% possession, while the visitors average 5.33 shots and 3 on target with 46% possession. Form reinforces the home advantage — 9 de Octubre average 2.4 points in the last 5 matches (4 wins), whereas El Nacional average 0.8 points with only 1 win; the visitors have scored 8 and also conceded 8 in that period. Additionally, the hosts have not had a goalless home game (0% of home games without a goal) and register 60% clean sheets, versus 25% of games without a goal and 0% clean sheets away for El Nacional, hence the pick is a home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| 9 de Octubre | CD El Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.16 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
9 de Octubre is 600% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - 9 de Octubre · 0.2 pts / match - CD El Nacional
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
9 de Octubre is 90% better for: goals scored per match.
1.12 goals / match - 9 de Octubre · 0.59 goals / match - CD El Nacional
9 de Octubre is 163% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.65 goals / match - 9 de Octubre · 1.71 goals / match - CD El Nacional
9 de Octubre scores in 65% of matches (11 of 17 matches), while CD El Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 17 matches).
CD El Nacional scores in 59% of matches (10 of 17 matches), while 9 de Octubre keeps a clean sheet in 59% (10 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — 9 de Octubre
Over / Under — CD El Nacional
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
9 de Octubre is 174% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - 9 de Octubre · 0.47 pts / match - CD El Nacional
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
9 de Octubre - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
CD El Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
9 de Octubre
CD El Nacional
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera Categoría Serie B).
Teams vs league
| 9 de Octubre | Liga | CD El Nacional | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.76 | 1.94 | ▲ 2.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 35% | 40% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 34% | ▲ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 59% | 38% | ▼ 6% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 41% | 57% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | • 59% | 60% | ▲ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of 9 de Octubre vs CD El Nacional?
The Primera Categoría Serie B match finished 9 de Octubre 3:1 CD El Nacional. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before 9 de Octubre vs CD El Nacional?
9 de Octubre score 1.12 goals per game on average and CD El Nacional 0.59. The Primera Categoría Serie B average is 1.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 35% of 9 de Octubre's matches and 59% of CD El Nacional's.
What form are 9 de Octubre and CD El Nacional in?
Over the last 5 games 9 de Octubre have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and CD El Nacional 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for 9 de Octubre vs CD El Nacional?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for 9 de Octubre vs CD El Nacional: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.