AaB vs Hobro: match statistics
AaB vs Hobro: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AaB play Hobro in 1st Division (Denmark). The match date is 1 May 2026 at 19:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
AaB: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Hobro: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
AaB scores 1.56 and concedes 1.47 goals per match. Hobro scores 1.25 and concedes 1.34. League average: 2.80 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AaB 56%, Hobro 44%. Over 2.5: AaB 56%, Hobro 41%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
AaB has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.41. AaB: 13.1 shots per match, Hobro: 12.1.
Match halves
AaB: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 1.00. Hobro: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.59.
Goals by minute
AaB: 76-90+ (14 goals). Hobro: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1st Division: 2.80 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-1-1. Average goals 1.33, BTTS 33%.
Match description
The favorite is AaB, who score an average of 2.08 goals per home match, while Hobro score only 1.43 on the road — a 0.65-goal attacking edge for the hosts. AaB also create more chances: on average 13 shots and 5.38 on target at home with a 16% conversion rate, versus 11.79 shots, 4.79 on target and 12% conversion for the visitors, and their average xG is 1.52 compared to Hobro’s 1.39. The hosts’ form is significantly better — 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches (averaging 2.6 points per game), while Hobro have 3 wins and 2 losses and average 1.8 points over their last five. However, Hobro have defensive advantages away: they concede only 1.14 goals per away match and keep a clean sheet in 43% of away games, versus 1.31 conceded and 23% clean sheets for AaB at home, so an upset is not out of the question. Considering AaB’s attacking superiority, better conversion and form, and Hobro’s moderate but tangible defensive resilience, I assign a 60% probability to a home win, 20% to a draw and 20% to an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AaB | Hobro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hobro is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - AaB · 1.6 pts / match - Hobro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AaB is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
1.56 goals / match - AaB · 1.25 goals / match - Hobro
Hobro is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.47 goals / match - AaB · 1.34 goals / match - Hobro
AaB scores in 75% of matches (24 of 32 matches), while Hobro keeps a clean sheet in 34% (11 of 32 matches).
Hobro scores in 75% of matches (24 of 32 matches), while AaB keeps a clean sheet in 22% (7 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — AaB
Over / Under — Hobro
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AaB - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Hobro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AaB
Hobro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).
Teams vs league
| AaB | Liga | Hobro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.03 | 2.80 | ▼ 2.59 |
| Both teams scored | • 56% | 55% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 56% | 55% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 26% | ▲ 34% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 75% | ▼ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | • 81% | 80% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): AaB 1 - 1 - 1 Hobro. Average goals 1.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AaB vs Hobro?
The 1st Division match finished AaB 1:1 Hobro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between AaB and Hobro?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches AaB won 1, Hobro won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before AaB vs Hobro?
AaB score 1.56 goals per game on average and Hobro 1.25. The 1st Division average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 56% of AaB's matches and 44% of Hobro's.
What form are AaB and Hobro in?
Over the last 5 games AaB have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Hobro 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AaB vs Hobro?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.