Switzerland - Challenge LeagueData current as of October 20, 2026

Aarau vs Étoile Carouge: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Aarau vs Étoile Carouge: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Aarau plays Étoile Carouge in Challenge League (Switzerland). The game is scheduled for October 24, 2026.

Recent form

Aarau has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Étoile Carouge has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, with 0.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Aarau scores 1.50 goals per game and allows 1.80. Étoile Carouge scores 0.80 and allows 1.40. Games in this league average 2.98 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 90% of Aarau's games and 40% of Étoile Carouge's. The Over 2.5 rates are 90% and 40%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 60% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Aarau has the higher season xG average, 1.90 to 1.83 per game. Aarau takes 17.7 shots per game, while Étoile Carouge takes 17.8.

First-half and second-half trends

Aarau leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 0.90 goals per game after halftime. Étoile Carouge leads at halftime in 10% and scores 0.40 after halftime.

When the teams score

Aarau's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (5 goals). For Étoile Carouge, it is minutes 16-30 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Challenge League games average 2.98 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 60% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 5 previous meetings were available. The record was 3 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 3.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.64)
(4.00)
(4.06)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

AarauÉtoile Carouge
1.5Goals scored / game0.8
AarauÉtoile Carouge
1.8Goals allowed / game1.4
AarauÉtoile Carouge
51%Average possession56%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
5.7Shots on target / game4.4
AarauÉtoile Carouge

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

17.7Shots per game17.8
AarauÉtoile Carouge
5.7Shots on target4.4
AarauÉtoile Carouge
8.5%Shot conversion4.5%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
51%Possession56%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
1.9xG for1.83
AarauÉtoile Carouge
1.49xG against1.45
AarauÉtoile Carouge

Shooting quality

Aarau: AttackingÉtoile Carouge: Dominant
AarauÉtoile Carouge
Accuracy (shots on target)32%25%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.18

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Aarau is 400% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / game - Aarau · 0.2 pts / game - Étoile Carouge

Aarau
DWDLL
Season result split
30% W30% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-3-4
1.20 pts / game · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-2-0
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
DWWWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 2.29Opponent xG: 1.69BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%
Étoile Carouge
LDLLL
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
20% W30% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-5
0.90 pts / game · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-2-2
Last 5 away
0-2-2
DDLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.63Opponent xG: 1.71BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Aarau is 88% better for: goals scored per game.

1.5 goals / game - Aarau · 0.8 goals / game - Étoile Carouge

Étoile Carouge is 29% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.8 goals / game - Aarau · 1.4 goals / game - Étoile Carouge

Aarau scoring profile: very strong

Aarau scores in 90% of games (9 of 10 games), while Étoile Carouge keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 games).

Étoile Carouge scoring profile: very strong

Étoile Carouge scores in 50% of games (5 of 10 games), while Aarau keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 10 games).

15Goals scored (season)8
AarauÉtoile Carouge
18Goals conceded (season)14
AarauÉtoile Carouge
3.3Average goals per game2.2
AarauÉtoile Carouge
9Goals scored (last 5)2
AarauÉtoile Carouge
10Goals conceded (last 5)11
AarauÉtoile Carouge

How often they score at least...

90%1 goal50%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
50%2 goals20%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
10%3 goals10%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
0%4 goals0%
AarauÉtoile Carouge

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal80%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
70%2 goals30%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
10%3 goals20%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
0%4 goals10%
AarauÉtoile Carouge

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time30%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
0%BTTS in both halves0%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
20%Scored in both halves10%
AarauÉtoile Carouge

BTTS and goal count

80%Min. 3 goals and BTTS20%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS20%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
100%BTTS - last 540%
AarauÉtoile Carouge

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

70%Min. 1 goal before half-time60%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time30%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
AarauÉtoile Carouge

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time70%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
60%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
40%Min. 3 goals after half-time10%
AarauÉtoile Carouge

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Aarau is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.3 pts / game - Aarau · 0.9 pts / game - Étoile Carouge

Aarau - half-time state
30% leading40% draw30% trailing
Étoile Carouge - half-time state
10% leading60% draw30% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.3Points per game (1st half)0.9
AarauÉtoile Carouge
0.6Goals scored (1st half)0.4
AarauÉtoile Carouge
0.6Goals conceded (1st half)0.6
AarauÉtoile Carouge
1.2Average goals (1st half)1
AarauÉtoile Carouge
60%Clean sheet before half-time50%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
50%No goal before half-time60%
AarauÉtoile Carouge

After half-time (2nd half)

1.3Points per game (2nd half)0.9
AarauÉtoile Carouge
0.9Goals scored (2nd half)0.4
AarauÉtoile Carouge
1.2Goals conceded (2nd half)0.8
AarauÉtoile Carouge
2.1Average goals (2nd half)1.2
AarauÉtoile Carouge
20%Clean sheet after half-time50%
AarauÉtoile Carouge
40%No goal after half-time80%
AarauÉtoile Carouge

Aarau - second-half results

40% W10% D50% L
13
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.30
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.6

Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Étoile Carouge - second-half results

20% W30% D50% L
9
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.90
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 10% of games and wins 20%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Aarau - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.20
Goals scored / game0.81.0
Goals allowed / game0.81.2
Average goals per game1.62.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Étoile Carouge - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.000.00
Goals scored / game0.40.0
Goals allowed / game0.61.6
Average goals per game1.01.6
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%0%
No goal60%100%
Goal difference-1-8
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 0% draw - 100% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Aarau
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
0
2
16-30
2
1
31-45
1
6
46-60
5
2
61-75
3
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Étoile Carouge
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
2
3
16-30
2
1
31-45
2
3
46-60
1
2
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.75
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.4 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
65%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+24%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
45%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Aarau

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.41
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.71
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.40
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
148%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 27% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Étoile Carouge

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.38
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.98
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-1.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
66%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
80%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.70
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Challenge League).

Teams vs league

AarauLigaÉtoile Carouge
Average goals per game▲ 3.302.98▼ 2.20
Both teams scored▲ 90%54%▼ 40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 90%60%▼ 40%
Clean sheets▼ 0%25%▼ 20%
Goal before half-time▼ 70%78%▼ 60%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%88%▼ 70%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.98
Average goals per game
54%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.76
Home goals / game
1.22
Away goals / game
+44%
Home attack advantage
+31%
Home defensive advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Aarau's perspective: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Étoile Carouge. Games average 3.40 goals, and both teams scored in 60% of them.

FAQ

When do Aarau and Étoile Carouge play?

Aarau face Étoile Carouge on October 24, 2026 in Challenge League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Aarau and Étoile Carouge?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Aarau won 3, Étoile Carouge won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Aarau vs Étoile Carouge?

Aarau score 1.50 goals per game on average and Étoile Carouge 0.80. The Challenge League average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 90% of Aarau's matches and 40% of Étoile Carouge's.

What form are Aarau and Étoile Carouge in?

Over the last 5 games Aarau have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Étoile Carouge 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aarau vs Étoile Carouge?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Aarau vs Étoile Carouge: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.