Aarhus Fremad vs Middelfart: match statistics
Aarhus Fremad presents significantly better home form with a record of 33% wins, 33% draws, and 33% losses at their own stadium, achieving a positive goal difference of +5. The hosts score an average of 1.78 goals per home match with a 15% conversion rate, whereas Middelfart scores only 0.78 goals on average in away matches, with a poor 8% conversion rate and an alarming rate of 56% matches without scoring a goal. The guests have a disastrous away record with 67% losses, a goal difference of -10, and only 11% wins, making them one of the weakest away teams in the league. Aarhus Fremad also dominates in possession (56% vs 43%) and average xG (1.48 vs 1.24), which confirms their qualitative advantage. Considering all statistical indicators, the hosts have a clear edge and should secure three points in this encounter.
Aarhus Fremad vs Middelfart: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Aarhus Fremad played against Middelfart in 1st Division (Denmark). The game was played on February 28, 2026. Final score: 4:1.
Recent form
Aarhus Fremad has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Middelfart has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Aarhus Fremad scores 1.50 goals per game and allows 1.39. Middelfart scores 1.00 and allows 1.83. Games in this league average 2.80 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 61% of Aarhus Fremad's games and 56% of Middelfart's. The Over 2.5 rates are 56% and 67%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 57% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Aarhus Fremad has the higher season xG average, 1.59 to 1.29 per game. Aarhus Fremad takes 13.2 shots per game, while Middelfart takes 10.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Aarhus Fremad leads at halftime in 17% of its games and scores 0.83 goals per game after halftime. Middelfart leads at halftime in 11% and scores 0.56 after halftime.
When the teams score
Aarhus Fremad's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (6 goals). For Middelfart, it is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
1st Division games average 2.80 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 57% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Aarhus Fremad presents significantly better home form with a record of 33% wins, 33% draws, and 33% losses at their own stadium, achieving a positive goal difference of +5. The hosts score an average of 1.78 goals per home match with a 15% conversion rate, whereas Middelfart scores only 0.78 goals on average in away matches, with a poor 8% conversion rate and an alarming rate of 56% matches without scoring a goal. The guests have a disastrous away record with 67% losses, a goal difference of -10, and only 11% wins, making them one of the weakest away teams in the league. Aarhus Fremad also dominates in possession (56% vs 43%) and average xG (1.48 vs 1.24), which confirms their qualitative advantage. Considering all statistical indicators, the hosts have a clear edge and should secure three points in this encounter.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Aarhus Fremad | Middelfart | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Middelfart is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - Aarhus Fremad · 0.8 pts / game - Middelfart
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aarhus Fremad is 50% better for: goals scored per game.
1.5 goals / game - Aarhus Fremad · 1 goals / game - Middelfart
Aarhus Fremad is 32% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.39 goals / game - Aarhus Fremad · 1.83 goals / game - Middelfart
Aarhus Fremad scores in 67% of games (12 of 18 meczów), while Middelfart keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 18 meczów).
Middelfart scores in 61% of games (11 of 18 meczów), while Aarhus Fremad keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Aarhus Fremad
Over / Under - Middelfart
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Aarhus Fremad is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - Aarhus Fremad · 0.83 pts / game - Middelfart
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aarhus Fremad - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 22%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Middelfart - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 11% of games and wins 11%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Aarhus Fremad
Middelfart
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).
Teams vs league
| Aarhus Fremad | Liga | Middelfart | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.89 | 2.80 | • 2.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 58% | ▼ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 56% | 57% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 24% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 72% | 77% | ▼ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 81% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Aarhus Fremad's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Middelfart. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Aarhus Fremad vs Middelfart?
The 1st Division match finished Aarhus Fremad 4:1 Middelfart. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Aarhus Fremad vs Middelfart?
Aarhus Fremad score 1.50 goals per game on average and Middelfart 1.00. The 1st Division average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Aarhus Fremad's matches and 56% of Middelfart's.
What form are Aarhus Fremad and Middelfart in?
Over the last 5 games Aarhus Fremad have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Middelfart 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aarhus Fremad vs Middelfart?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.