Abia Warriors vs Niger Tornadoes: match statistics
Abia Warriors demonstrate a decisive advantage in home matches, achieving a 53% win rate and an impressive 73% clean sheets at their home ground. The hosts boast a positive goal difference of +11 in home fixtures, while Niger Tornadoes on the road record a catastrophic -15 goal difference and a mere 7% win rate. The visitors fail to score in 67% of their away matches, and their average xG (0.93) is significantly lower than their average xG Against (1.85), indicating serious offensive and defensive frailties. The away form of Niger Tornadoes is dire - a series of defeats in recent away matches confirms their vulnerability. Abia Warriors' superiority in possession (54% vs 44%), shot accuracy, and overall home efficiency unequivocally points to the hosts as the favorites in this encounter.
Abia Warriors vs Niger Tornadoes: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Abia Warriors played against Niger Tornadoes in NPFL (Nigeria). The game was played on March 23, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Abia Warriors has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Niger Tornadoes has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Abia Warriors scores 0.80 goals per game and allows 0.73. Niger Tornadoes scores 1.03 and allows 0.93. Games in this league average 1.87 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 23% of Abia Warriors's games and 27% of Niger Tornadoes's. The Over 2.5 rates are 10% and 30%, compared with league averages of 36% for BTTS and 28% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Niger Tornadoes has the higher season xG average, 1.49 to 1.41 per game. Abia Warriors takes 5.9 shots per game, while Niger Tornadoes takes 8.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Abia Warriors leads at halftime in 27% of its games and scores 0.40 goals per game after halftime. Niger Tornadoes leads at halftime in 30% and scores 0.63 after halftime.
When the teams score
Abia Warriors's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (6 goals). For Niger Tornadoes, it is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
NPFL games average 1.87 goals. Both teams score in 36% of games, and 28% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Abia Warriors demonstrate a decisive advantage in home matches, achieving a 53% win rate and an impressive 73% clean sheets at their home ground. The hosts boast a positive goal difference of +11 in home fixtures, while Niger Tornadoes on the road record a catastrophic -15 goal difference and a mere 7% win rate. The visitors fail to score in 67% of their away matches, and their average xG (0.93) is significantly lower than their average xG Against (1.85), indicating serious offensive and defensive frailties. The away form of Niger Tornadoes is dire - a series of defeats in recent away matches confirms their vulnerability. Abia Warriors' superiority in possession (54% vs 44%), shot accuracy, and overall home efficiency unequivocally points to the hosts as the favorites in this encounter.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Abia Warriors | Niger Tornadoes | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.24 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Abia Warriors is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Abia Warriors · 1 pts / game - Niger Tornadoes
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Niger Tornadoes is 29% better for: goals scored per game.
0.8 goals / game - Abia Warriors · 1.03 goals / game - Niger Tornadoes
Abia Warriors is 27% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.73 goals / game - Abia Warriors · 0.93 goals / game - Niger Tornadoes
Abia Warriors scores in 63% of games (19 of 30 meczów), while Niger Tornadoes keeps a clean sheet in 43% (13 of 30 meczów).
Niger Tornadoes scores in 60% of games (18 of 30 meczów), while Abia Warriors keeps a clean sheet in 50% (15 of 30 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Abia Warriors
Over / Under - Niger Tornadoes
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Abia Warriors is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.37 pts / game - Abia Warriors · 1.27 pts / game - Niger Tornadoes
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Abia Warriors - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Niger Tornadoes - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 37%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Abia Warriors
Niger Tornadoes
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Abia Warriors | Liga | Niger Tornadoes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.53 | 1.87 | • 1.97 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 23% | 36% | ▼ 27% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 10% | 28% | ▲ 30% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 38% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 60% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 67% | 61% | ▲ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Abia Warriors's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Niger Tornadoes. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Abia Warriors vs Niger Tornadoes?
The NPFL match finished Abia Warriors 2:1 Niger Tornadoes. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Abia Warriors vs Niger Tornadoes?
Abia Warriors score 0.80 goals per game on average and Niger Tornadoes 1.03. The NPFL average is 1.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 23% of Abia Warriors's matches and 27% of Niger Tornadoes's.
What form are Abia Warriors and Niger Tornadoes in?
Over the last 5 games Abia Warriors have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Niger Tornadoes 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Abia Warriors vs Niger Tornadoes?
The statistical background for Abia Warriors vs Niger Tornadoes — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.