AC Milan vs Bologna: match statistics
AC Milan vs Bologna: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
AC Milan played against Bologna in Serie A (Italy). The game was played on October 28, 2026. Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. Final score: 2:4.
Recent form
AC Milan has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Bologna has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
AC Milan scores 2.00 goals per game and allows 0.88. Bologna scores 1.00 and allows 1.25. Games in this league average 3.12 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 63% of AC Milan's games and 50% of Bologna's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 38%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 60% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
AC Milan has the higher season xG average, 1.50 to 1.28 per game. AC Milan takes 13.1 shots per game, while Bologna takes 12.1.
First-half and second-half trends
AC Milan leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 1.50 goals per game after halftime. Bologna leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.63 after halftime.
When the teams score
AC Milan's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (10 goals). For Bologna, it is minutes 0-15 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie A games average 3.12 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 60% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
AC Milan sit 4th and remain unbeaten after 7 league matches, while 15th-placed Bologna have won just 1 of their 7 games. The hosts have won all 3 of their home matches so far, scoring an average of 2.67 goals and conceding 0.67; Bologna have lost 2 of their 3 away games and averaged just 0.67 goals scored. Milan average 5 shots on target per home match with a 22% conversion rate, compared with the visitors' 3.33 shots on target and 7% conversion rate away from home. Although the hosts are scoring more than their home xG of 1.43 suggests, Bologna allow chances worth an average of 1.47 xG away from home and have yet to keep a clean sheet on the road. Milan have a clear edge, but their 6 goals conceded in the last 5 matches leave the visitors with a chance to score.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest indication against both teams scoring is Bologna’s away scoring record: they average 0.67 goals and have failed to score in 67% of their away matches. AC Milan average 1.0 goal per home game, but Bologna also concede an average of 1.0 goal away from home, so a home goal does not guarantee an away goal. Supporting BTTS - Yes is Milan’s weaker defensive record, conceding an average of 1.75 goals at home, and the fact that Bologna have averaged 1.2 goals across their last five matches. Despite these arguments for an away goal, Bologna’s away BTTS rate is only 33%, making it slightly more likely that at least one team will fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal points to Under 3.5 goals: none of Bologna’s matches so far have gone over this line, while this has happened in 50% of Milan’s matches. The visitors average 0.67 goals and have failed to score in 67% of their matches, limiting the chances of a very high-scoring game. Milan create chances worth an average of 1.42 xG, while Bologna allow opponents 1.47 xG, giving the hosts greater attacking potential. However, caution is warranted: over 2.5 goals were scored in 80% of Milan’s and 60% of Bologna’s last five matches. The forecast of 1.55 goals for the hosts and 0.95 for the visitors gives a total of 2.50, so despite the recent run of high-scoring games, Under 3.5 goals remains the safest pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: it occurred in 50% of Milan’s home matches and 67% of Bologna’s away fixtures. The visitors have yet to concede in the first half away from home, although Milan led at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches regardless of venue, so an early home lead remains a realistic possibility. Milan’s average of 1.2 goals scored in the second halves of their last 5 matches supports a win after the break, while Bologna conceded an average of 1.2 goals after half-time over the same period. Milan have won 3 of their last 5 matches and scored an average of 2.2 goals, while Bologna have won 1 and scored an average of 1.2 goals. Milan’s failure to win any of their 4 home matches so far calls for caution, but the combination of frequent half-time draws and the hosts’ stronger recent form points most strongly to a draw at half-time and a Milan win at full-time (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| AC Milan | Bologna | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
AC Milan is 57% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / game - AC Milan · 1.4 pts / game - Bologna
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AC Milan is 100% better for: goals scored per game.
2 goals / game - AC Milan · 1 goals / game - Bologna
AC Milan is 42% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.88 goals / game - AC Milan · 1.25 goals / game - Bologna
AC Milan scores in 100% of games (8 of 8 games), while Bologna keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 games).
Bologna scores in 63% of games (5 of 8 games), while AC Milan keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AC Milan
Over / Under - Bologna
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AC Milan is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.63 pts / game - AC Milan · 1.38 pts / game - Bologna
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AC Milan - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 63%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Bologna - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.8 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
AC Milan
Bologna
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| AC Milan | Liga | Bologna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.88 | 3.12 | ▼ 2.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 60% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 22% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 69% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 87% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from AC Milan's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Bologna. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of AC Milan vs Bologna?
The Serie A match finished AC Milan 2:4 Bologna. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between AC Milan and Bologna?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches AC Milan won 2, Bologna won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before AC Milan vs Bologna?
AC Milan score 2.00 goals per game on average and Bologna 1.00. The Serie A average is 3.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 63% of AC Milan's matches and 50% of Bologna's.
What form are AC Milan and Bologna in?
Over the last 5 games AC Milan have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Bologna 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AC Milan vs Bologna?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.