AC Milan vs Lazio: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

AC Milan played against Lazio in Serie A (Italy). The game was played on November 29, 2025. Final score: 1:0.

Recent form

AC Milan has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Lazio has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

AC Milan scores 1.50 goals per game and allows 0.75. Lazio scores 1.25 and allows 0.75. Games in this league average 2.33 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of AC Milan's games and 8% of Lazio's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 25%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

AC Milan has the higher season xG average, 1.47 to 1.26 per game. AC Milan takes 13.1 shots per game, while Lazio takes 10.9.

First-half and second-half trends

AC Milan leads at halftime in 42% of its games and scores 0.75 goals per game after halftime. Lazio leads at halftime in 42% and scores 0.50 after halftime.

When the teams score

AC Milan's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (4 goals). For Lazio, it is minutes 0-15 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie A games average 2.33 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
1 : 0
Second half

Game stats

46Possession (%)54
AC MilanLazio
16Shots9
AC MilanLazio
4Shots on target4
AC MilanLazio
1.57xG1.13
AC MilanLazio
1Corners4
AC MilanLazio
38Dangerous attacks38
AC MilanLazio
10Fouls12
AC MilanLazio
3Cards3
AC MilanLazio

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.5Goals scored / game1.25
AC MilanLazio
0.75Goals allowed / game0.75
AC MilanLazio
50%Average possession51%
AC MilanLazio
4.67Shots on target / game4.08
AC MilanLazio

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.08Shots per game10.92
AC MilanLazio
4.67Shots on target4.08
AC MilanLazio
11.5%Shot conversion11.5%
AC MilanLazio
50%Possession51%
AC MilanLazio
1.47xG for1.26
AC MilanLazio
1.34xG against1.44
AC MilanLazio

Shooting quality

AC Milan: BalancedLazio: Balanced
AC MilanLazio
Accuracy (shots on target)36%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Lazio is 11% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / game - AC Milan · 2 pts / game - Lazio

AC Milan
DDWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
58% W33% D8% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-4-1
2.08 pts / game · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-1-1
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWWDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 1.67BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Lazio
WDWLW
Season result split
42% W25% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-4
1.50 pts / game · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-2-3
Last 5 away
1-2-2
LWDDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 1.18BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

AC Milan is 20% better for: goals scored per game.

1.5 goals / game - AC Milan · 1.25 goals / game - Lazio

AC Milan scoring profile: strong

AC Milan scores in 92% of games (11 of 12 meczów), while Lazio keeps a clean sheet in 58% (7 of 12 meczów).

Lazio scoring profile: mixed

Lazio scores in 50% of games (6 of 12 meczów), while AC Milan keeps a clean sheet in 50% (6 of 12 meczów).

18Goals scored (season)15
AC MilanLazio
9Goals conceded (season)9
AC MilanLazio
2.25Average goals per game2
AC MilanLazio
7Goals scored (last 5)5
AC MilanLazio
5Goals conceded (last 5)2
AC MilanLazio

How often they score at least...

92%1 goal50%
AC MilanLazio
50%2 goals42%
AC MilanLazio
8%3 goals25%
AC MilanLazio
0%4 goals8%
AC MilanLazio

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal42%
AC MilanLazio
25%2 goals25%
AC MilanLazio
0%3 goals8%
AC MilanLazio
0%4 goals0%
AC MilanLazio

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time8%
AC MilanLazio
0%BTTS in both halves8%
AC MilanLazio
17%Scored in both halves33%
AC MilanLazio

BTTS and goal count

42%Min. 3 goals and BTTS8%
AC MilanLazio
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
AC MilanLazio
60%BTTS - last 50%
AC MilanLazio

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

58%Min. 1 goal before half-time58%
AC MilanLazio
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
AC MilanLazio
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
AC MilanLazio

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
AC MilanLazio
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time25%
AC MilanLazio
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time8%
AC MilanLazio

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

AC Milan is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.83 pts / game - AC Milan · 1.67 pts / game - Lazio

AC Milan - half-time state
42% leading58% draw0% trailing
Lazio - half-time state
42% leading42% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.83Points per game (1st half)1.67
AC MilanLazio
0.75Goals scored (1st half)0.75
AC MilanLazio
0.25Goals conceded (1st half)0.25
AC MilanLazio
1Average goals (1st half)1
AC MilanLazio
75%Clean sheet before half-time75%
AC MilanLazio
42%No goal before half-time58%
AC MilanLazio

After half-time (2nd half)

1.5Points per game (2nd half)1.33
AC MilanLazio
0.75Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
AC MilanLazio
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
AC MilanLazio
1.25Average goals (2nd half)1
AC MilanLazio
58%Clean sheet after half-time67%
AC MilanLazio
50%No goal after half-time58%
AC MilanLazio

AC Milan - second-half results

42% W25% D33% L
22
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.83
PPG before half-time
Lead holding138%

Leads at halftime in 42% of games and wins 58%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Lazio - second-half results

33% W33% D33% L
20
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 42% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

AC Milan - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.201.00
Goals scored / game1.00.4
Goals allowed / game0.40.6
Average goals per game1.41.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+3-1
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5
Lazio - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.60
Goals scored / game0.40.6
Goals allowed / game0.20.2
Average goals per game0.60.8
1 goal60%60%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+1+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

AC Milan
ScoredConceded
4
0
0-15
1
1
16-30
4
2
31-45
3
3
46-60
3
2
61-75
3
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Lazio
ScoredConceded
4
1
0-15
3
1
16-30
2
1
31-45
0
1
46-60
2
4
61-75
4
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.13
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.1 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
91%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
29%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
46%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

AC Milan

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.62
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.59
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
121%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
69%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.28
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 22% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Lazio

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.18
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.68
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.69
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
115%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
60%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.50
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 27% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

AC MilanLigaLazio
Average goals per game 2.252.33 2.00
Both teams scored 50%48% 8%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%44% 25%
Clean sheets 50%33% 58%
Goal before half-time 58%65% 58%
Goal after half-time 75%72% 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.33
Average goals per game
48%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
33%
Clean sheets
1.24
Home goals / game
1.09
Away goals / game
+14%
Home attack advantage
+12%
Home defensive advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. AC MilanYellow cardFikayo Tomori
  2. LazioYellow cardLuca Pellegrini
  3. AC MilanYellow cardMatteo Gabbia
  4. AC MilanSubstitutionOn: Ruben Ira Loftus-CheekOff: Youssouf Fofana
  5. LazioYellow cardAlessio Romagnoli
  6. AC MilanSubstitutionOn: Samuele RicciOff: Christopher Nkunku
  7. AC MilanYellow cardSamuele Ricci
  8. LazioYellow cardMattia Zaccagni

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Giuseppe ColluMatches officiated: 12
4.42Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 242%Home wins17%Draws42%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of AC Milan vs Lazio?

The Serie A match finished AC Milan 1:0 Lazio. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before AC Milan vs Lazio?

AC Milan score 1.50 goals per game on average and Lazio 1.25. The Serie A average is 2.33 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 50% of AC Milan's matches and 8% of Lazio's.

What form are AC Milan and Lazio in?

Over the last 5 games AC Milan have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Lazio 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AC Milan vs Lazio?

The statistical background for AC Milan vs Lazio — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.