Portugal - Liga 3Estádio Municipal do Marco de CanavesesData current as of November 03, 2026

AD Marco 09 vs Paredes: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

AD Marco 09 vs Paredes: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

AD Marco 09 plays Paredes in Liga 3 (Portugal). The game is scheduled for November 7, 2026. Venue: Estádio Municipal do Marco de Canaveses.

Recent form

AD Marco 09 has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Paredes has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.

Scoring records

AD Marco 09 scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 0.63. Paredes scores 2.13 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.63 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 25% of AD Marco 09's games and 63% of Paredes's. The Over 2.5 rates are 25% and 75%, compared with league averages of 53% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Paredes has the higher season xG average, 1.76 to 1.08 per game. AD Marco 09 takes 7.6 shots per game, while Paredes takes 13.0.

First-half and second-half trends

AD Marco 09 leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.75 goals per game after halftime. Paredes leads at halftime in 63% and scores 0.75 after halftime.

When the teams score

AD Marco 09's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (4 goals). For Paredes, it is minutes 0-15 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Liga 3 games average 2.63 goals. Both teams score in 53% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 2.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

AD Marco 09Paredes
1Goals scored / game2.13
AD Marco 09Paredes
0.63Goals allowed / game1
AD Marco 09Paredes
47%Average possession55%
AD Marco 09Paredes
3.38Shots on target / game6.38
AD Marco 09Paredes

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

7.63Shots per game13
AD Marco 09Paredes
3.38Shots on target6.38
AD Marco 09Paredes
13.1%Shot conversion16.3%
AD Marco 09Paredes
47%Possession55%
AD Marco 09Paredes
1.08xG for1.76
AD Marco 09Paredes
1.13xG against0.96
AD Marco 09Paredes

Shooting quality

AD Marco 09: Counter-attackingParedes: Efficient finishing
AD Marco 09Paredes
Accuracy (shots on target)44%49%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Paredes is 63% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / game - AD Marco 09 · 2.6 pts / game - Paredes

AD Marco 09
DWLDW
Season result split
50% W25% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-2
1.75 pts / game · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-0
Last 5 at home
3-1-0
WWWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.04Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%
Paredes
WWDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
75% W13% D13% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-1-1
2.38 pts / game · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 away
2-1-0
WWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.61Opponent xG: 0.87BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Paredes is 113% better for: goals scored per game.

1 goals / game - AD Marco 09 · 2.13 goals / game - Paredes

AD Marco 09 is 59% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.63 goals / game - AD Marco 09 · 1 goals / game - Paredes

AD Marco 09 scoring profile: strong

AD Marco 09 scores in 63% of games (5 of 8 games), while Paredes keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 games).

Paredes scoring profile: strong

Paredes scores in 100% of games (8 of 8 games), while AD Marco 09 keeps a clean sheet in 63% (5 of 8 games).

8Goals scored (season)17
AD Marco 09Paredes
5Goals conceded (season)8
AD Marco 09Paredes
1.63Average goals per game3.13
AD Marco 09Paredes
3Goals scored (last 5)12
AD Marco 09Paredes
2Goals conceded (last 5)5
AD Marco 09Paredes

How often they score at least...

63%1 goal100%
AD Marco 09Paredes
38%2 goals63%
AD Marco 09Paredes
0%3 goals38%
AD Marco 09Paredes
0%4 goals13%
AD Marco 09Paredes

How often they concede at least...

38%1 goal63%
AD Marco 09Paredes
25%2 goals25%
AD Marco 09Paredes
0%3 goals13%
AD Marco 09Paredes
0%4 goals0%
AD Marco 09Paredes

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time25%
AD Marco 09Paredes
0%BTTS in both halves13%
AD Marco 09Paredes
25%Scored in both halves50%
AD Marco 09Paredes

BTTS and goal count

25%Min. 3 goals and BTTS63%
AD Marco 09Paredes
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
AD Marco 09Paredes
0%BTTS - last 560%
AD Marco 09Paredes

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time88%
AD Marco 09Paredes
13%Min. 2 goals before half-time63%
AD Marco 09Paredes
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time38%
AD Marco 09Paredes

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
AD Marco 09Paredes
25%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
AD Marco 09Paredes
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
AD Marco 09Paredes

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Paredes is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.25 pts / game - AD Marco 09 · 2 pts / game - Paredes

AD Marco 09 - half-time state
25% leading50% draw25% trailing
Paredes - half-time state
63% leading13% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.25Points per game (1st half)2
AD Marco 09Paredes
0.25Goals scored (1st half)1.38
AD Marco 09Paredes
0.38Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
AD Marco 09Paredes
0.63Average goals (1st half)1.88
AD Marco 09Paredes
75%Clean sheet before half-time75%
AD Marco 09Paredes
75%No goal before half-time13%
AD Marco 09Paredes

After half-time (2nd half)

1.88Points per game (2nd half)1.63
AD Marco 09Paredes
0.75Goals scored (2nd half)0.75
AD Marco 09Paredes
0.25Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
AD Marco 09Paredes
1Average goals (2nd half)1.25
AD Marco 09Paredes
75%Clean sheet after half-time50%
AD Marco 09Paredes
38%No goal after half-time38%
AD Marco 09Paredes

AD Marco 09 - second-half results

50% W38% D13% L
10
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Paredes - second-half results

38% W50% D13% L
16
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding119%

Leads at halftime in 63% of games and wins 75%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

AD Marco 09 - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.60
Goals scored / game0.20.4
Goals allowed / game0.20.2
Average goals per game0.40.6
1 goal40%60%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Paredes - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.401.60
Goals scored / game1.60.8
Goals allowed / game0.40.6
Average goals per game2.01.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal0%40%
Goal difference+6+1
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 8

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

AD Marco 09
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
0
2
16-30
2
0
31-45
2
1
46-60
4
0
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Paredes
ScoredConceded
5
2
0-15
4
1
16-30
2
1
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
4
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.38
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.0 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
90%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
44%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+16%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
63%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

AD Marco 09

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.42
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.50
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
69%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
53%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.15
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Paredes

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.80
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.33
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.37
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
181%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
69%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.22
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.6
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 29% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).

Teams vs league

AD Marco 09LigaParedes
Average goals per game▼ 1.632.63▲ 3.13
Both teams scored▼ 25%53%▲ 63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 25%53%▲ 75%
Clean sheets▲ 63%29%▲ 38%
Goal before half-time▼ 50%69%▲ 88%
Goal after half-time• 75%74%• 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.63
Average goals per game
53%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.45
Home goals / game
1.18
Away goals / game
+23%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defensive advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from AD Marco 09's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses against Paredes. Games average 2.75 goals, and both teams scored in 25% of them.

FAQ

When do AD Marco 09 and Paredes play?

AD Marco 09 face Paredes on November 7, 2026 in Liga 3 at Estádio Municipal do Marco de Canaveses. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between AD Marco 09 and Paredes?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches AD Marco 09 won 0, Paredes won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before AD Marco 09 vs Paredes?

AD Marco 09 score 1.00 goals per game on average and Paredes 2.13. The Liga 3 average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 25% of AD Marco 09's matches and 63% of Paredes's.

What form are AD Marco 09 and Paredes in?

Over the last 5 games AD Marco 09 have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Paredes 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AD Marco 09 vs Paredes?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for AD Marco 09 vs Paredes: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.