Adama Kenema vs Arba Minch Kenema: match statistics
Adama Kenema occupies a significantly higher position in the table (6th place) compared to Arba Minch Kenema (20th place), indicating a clear advantage for the hosts. In home matches, Adama Kenema displays a solid defense with 64% clean sheets and an average of just 0.82 goals conceded per game, which is a substantial edge over the visitors, who concede an average of 1 goal on the road. Both teams' form over the last 5 matches is similar (1.2 PPG for the hosts vs 1.6 PPG for the visitors), but Arba Minch Kenema has a mere 18% away win rate throughout the entire season. High draw rates for both teams (55% for the hosts at home, 45% for the visitors away) and a low chance conversion rate suggest that a sharing of the points is also possible. Considering the home-field advantage, a higher table position, and Adama Kenema's solid defense, I predict a narrow victory for the hosts, although a draw remains a realistic scenario.
Adama Kenema vs Arba Minch Kenema: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Adama Kenema play Arba Minch Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 10 March 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Adama Kenema: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Arba Minch Kenema: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Adama Kenema scores 0.92 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Arba Minch Kenema scores 0.79 and concedes 1.21. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Adama Kenema 42%, Arba Minch Kenema 42%. Over 2.5: Adama Kenema 32%, Arba Minch Kenema 29%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. Adama Kenema: 6.4 shots per match, Arba Minch Kenema: 7.3.
Match halves
Adama Kenema: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.47. Arba Minch Kenema: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.39.
Goals by minute
Adama Kenema: 16-30 (8 goals). Arba Minch Kenema: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Adama Kenema occupies a significantly higher position in the table (6th place) compared to Arba Minch Kenema (20th place), indicating a clear advantage for the hosts. In home matches, Adama Kenema displays a solid defense with 64% clean sheets and an average of just 0.82 goals conceded per game, which is a substantial edge over the visitors, who concede an average of 1 goal on the road. Both teams' form over the last 5 matches is similar (1.2 PPG for the hosts vs 1.6 PPG for the visitors), but Arba Minch Kenema has a mere 18% away win rate throughout the entire season. High draw rates for both teams (55% for the hosts at home, 45% for the visitors away) and a low chance conversion rate suggest that a sharing of the points is also possible. Considering the home-field advantage, a higher table position, and Adama Kenema's solid defense, I predict a narrow victory for the hosts, although a draw remains a realistic scenario.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Adama Kenema | Arba Minch Kenema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Adama Kenema is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Adama Kenema · 1.2 pts / match - Arba Minch Kenema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Adama Kenema is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
0.92 goals / match - Adama Kenema · 0.79 goals / match - Arba Minch Kenema
Adama Kenema is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Adama Kenema · 1.21 goals / match - Arba Minch Kenema
Adama Kenema scores in 61% of matches (23 of 38 matches), while Arba Minch Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 29% (11 of 38 matches).
Arba Minch Kenema scores in 53% of matches (20 of 38 matches), while Adama Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 42% (16 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Adama Kenema
Over / Under — Arba Minch Kenema
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Adama Kenema is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / match - Adama Kenema · 1.05 pts / match - Arba Minch Kenema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Adama Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Arba Minch Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 18%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Adama Kenema
Arba Minch Kenema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Adama Kenema | Liga | Arba Minch Kenema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 1.92 | 1.78 | ▲ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 42% | 40% | ▲ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 32% | 28% | • 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 40% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 56% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 61% | 59% | • 58% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Adama Kenema 1 - 0 - 0 Arba Minch Kenema. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Adama Kenema vs Arba Minch Kenema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Adama Kenema 0:2 Arba Minch Kenema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Adama Kenema vs Arba Minch Kenema?
Adama Kenema score 0.92 goals per game on average and Arba Minch Kenema 0.79. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Adama Kenema's matches and 42% of Arba Minch Kenema's.
What form are Adama Kenema and Arba Minch Kenema in?
Over the last 5 games Adama Kenema have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Arba Minch Kenema 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Adama Kenema vs Arba Minch Kenema?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Adama Kenema vs Arba Minch Kenema: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.