Adama Kenema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank: match statistics
Adama Kenema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Adama Kenema play Ethiopia Nigd Bank in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 15 June 2026 at 15:00. Venue: Abebe Bikila Stadium. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Adama Kenema: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Ethiopia Nigd Bank: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Adama Kenema scores 0.92 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Ethiopia Nigd Bank scores 1.18 and concedes 1.18. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Adama Kenema 42%, Ethiopia Nigd Bank 58%. Over 2.5: Adama Kenema 32%, Ethiopia Nigd Bank 47%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. Adama Kenema: 6.4 shots per match, Ethiopia Nigd Bank: 6.6.
Match halves
Adama Kenema: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.47. Ethiopia Nigd Bank: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.74.
Goals by minute
Adama Kenema: 16-30 (8 goals). Ethiopia Nigd Bank: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I back a draw because the home side draws 47% of home matches while the visitors record draws in 53% of away fixtures. Adama Kenema generate an average xG of 1.19 at home, average 7.29 shots per game (3 on target), but only convert 0.88 goals per match and fail to score in 47% of games; they concede 0.88 goals and keep 53% clean sheets at home, underscoring defensive solidity on their turf. Ethiopia Nigd Bank are in better form — in the last 5 matches they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, averaging 2 points per game, scoring 7 goals across those five fixtures and 42 goals in the season versus the home side’s 30. Away, the visitors concede 1.24 goals on average, register only 24% clean sheets and carry a negative away goal differential of -6, although their shot conversion on the road is 15% versus the home team’s 12%. Given the high draw rates (47% and 53%), Adama’s home defensive discipline and Ethiopia’s superior form and goal output, I project a draw as the primary outcome, with a slightly higher probability of an away win than a home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Adama Kenema | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Adama Kenema is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Adama Kenema · 1 pts / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank is 28% better for: goals scored per match.
0.92 goals / match - Adama Kenema · 1.18 goals / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Adama Kenema is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Adama Kenema · 1.18 goals / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Adama Kenema scores in 61% of matches (23 of 38 matches), while Ethiopia Nigd Bank keeps a clean sheet in 26% (10 of 38 matches).
Ethiopia Nigd Bank scores in 68% of matches (26 of 38 matches), while Adama Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 42% (16 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Adama Kenema
Over / Under — Ethiopia Nigd Bank
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Adama Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Adama Kenema
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Adama Kenema | Liga | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 1.92 | 1.78 | ▲ 2.37 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 42% | 40% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 32% | 28% | ▲ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 40% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 56% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 61% | 59% | ▲ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Adama Kenema 1 - 0 - 0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Adama Kenema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Adama Kenema 2:1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Adama Kenema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
Adama Kenema score 0.92 goals per game on average and Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1.18. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Adama Kenema's matches and 58% of Ethiopia Nigd Bank's.
What form are Adama Kenema and Ethiopia Nigd Bank in?
Over the last 5 games Adama Kenema have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Adama Kenema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.