AEK Larnaca vs APOEL: match statistics
AEK Larnaca displays impressive home form with a 62% win rate and only 15% losses at their own stadium, scoring an average of 2.08 goals per match. The hosts occupy a higher league position (2nd place) and have a better goal difference at home (+15) than APOEL away (+11). APOEL, despite a solid 54% away win rate, shows inconsistency overall in their last five matches (1.8 PPG vs 1.6 PPG for AEK). The key factor is AEK's advantage in possession (59% vs 52%) and slightly better defensive efficiency at home (0.92 goals conceded vs 1.15 for APOEL away). Recent form of both teams is even, but the home advantage and AEK Larnaca's home statistics give them a slight edge, although a draw remains a realistic scenario in this evenly-matched clash.
AEK Larnaca vs APOEL: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
AEK Larnaca played against APOEL in First Division (Cyprus). The game was played on March 22, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
AEK Larnaca has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. APOEL has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
AEK Larnaca scores 1.88 goals per game and allows 0.85. APOEL scores 1.73 and allows 1.04. Games in this league average 2.60 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 54% of AEK Larnaca's games and 54% of APOEL's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 54%, compared with league averages of 40% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
APOEL has the higher season xG average, 1.73 to 1.54 per game. AEK Larnaca takes 12.1 shots per game, while APOEL takes 13.9.
First-half and second-half trends
AEK Larnaca leads at halftime in 54% of its games and scores 0.88 goals per game after halftime. APOEL leads at halftime in 38% and scores 1.19 after halftime.
When the teams score
AEK Larnaca's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). For APOEL, it is minutes 76-90+ (16 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
First Division games average 2.60 goals. Both teams score in 40% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
AEK Larnaca displays impressive home form with a 62% win rate and only 15% losses at their own stadium, scoring an average of 2.08 goals per match. The hosts occupy a higher league position (2nd place) and have a better goal difference at home (+15) than APOEL away (+11). APOEL, despite a solid 54% away win rate, shows inconsistency overall in their last five matches (1.8 PPG vs 1.6 PPG for AEK). The key factor is AEK's advantage in possession (59% vs 52%) and slightly better defensive efficiency at home (0.92 goals conceded vs 1.15 for APOEL away). Recent form of both teams is even, but the home advantage and AEK Larnaca's home statistics give them a slight edge, although a draw remains a realistic scenario in this evenly-matched clash.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| AEK Larnaca | APOEL | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
APOEL is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - AEK Larnaca · 1.8 pts / game - APOEL
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AEK Larnaca is 9% better for: goals scored per game.
1.88 goals / game - AEK Larnaca · 1.73 goals / game - APOEL
AEK Larnaca is 22% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.85 goals / game - AEK Larnaca · 1.04 goals / game - APOEL
AEK Larnaca scores in 88% of games (23 of 26 meczów), while APOEL keeps a clean sheet in 35% (9 of 26 meczów).
APOEL scores in 85% of games (22 of 26 meczów), while AEK Larnaca keeps a clean sheet in 35% (9 of 26 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AEK Larnaca
Over / Under - APOEL
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AEK Larnaca is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.88 pts / game - AEK Larnaca · 1.54 pts / game - APOEL
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AEK Larnaca - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 54% of games and wins 62%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
APOEL - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
AEK Larnaca
APOEL
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| AEK Larnaca | Liga | APOEL | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.73 | 2.60 | ▲ 2.77 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 54% | 40% | ▲ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 48% | ▲ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 32% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 72% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 80% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from AEK Larnaca's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against APOEL. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of AEK Larnaca vs APOEL?
The First Division match finished AEK Larnaca 1:0 APOEL. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between AEK Larnaca and APOEL?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches AEK Larnaca won 1, APOEL won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before AEK Larnaca vs APOEL?
AEK Larnaca score 1.88 goals per game on average and APOEL 1.73. The First Division average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 54% of AEK Larnaca's matches and 54% of APOEL's.
What form are AEK Larnaca and APOEL in?
Over the last 5 games AEK Larnaca have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and APOEL 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AEK Larnaca vs APOEL?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for AEK Larnaca vs APOEL: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.