AEL vs APOEL: match statistics
APOEL demonstrates a clear advantage in key offensive statistics, averaging 1.91 goals per away match with an xG of 1.58, which significantly exceeds AEL's capabilities (1.45 goals and xG 1.19 at home). The visitors also possess a better goal difference on the road (+9) compared to the hosts' record at home (+4), with an identical average of conceded goals (1.09). APOEL fails to score less frequently away (9% FTS%) than AEL does at home (36% FTS%), indicating greater efficiency. The form over the last five matches favors the visitors (1.2 PPG compared to 1.8 PPG for the hosts), yet APOEL holds a higher win percentage away (45%) than AEL does at home (45%), with better scoring efficiency and a higher number of clean sheets (36% versus 27%). Taking all data into account, I predict a victory for APOEL, although AEL's solid home form in recent matches gives the hosts a real chance for a positive result.
AEL vs APOEL: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
AEL played against APOEL in First Division (Cyprus). The game was played on February 28, 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Recent form
AEL has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. APOEL has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
AEL scores 1.17 goals per game and allows 1.35. APOEL scores 1.74 and allows 0.96. Games in this league average 2.50 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 30% of AEL's games and 52% of APOEL's. The Over 2.5 rates are 48% and 52%, compared with league averages of 38% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
APOEL has the higher season xG average, 1.74 to 1.09 per game. AEL takes 7.9 shots per game, while APOEL takes 14.0.
First-half and second-half trends
AEL leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 0.70 goals per game after halftime. APOEL leads at halftime in 35% and scores 1.22 after halftime.
When the teams score
AEL's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For APOEL, it is minutes 76-90+ (15 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
First Division games average 2.50 goals. Both teams score in 38% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
APOEL demonstrates a clear advantage in key offensive statistics, averaging 1.91 goals per away match with an xG of 1.58, which significantly exceeds AEL's capabilities (1.45 goals and xG 1.19 at home). The visitors also possess a better goal difference on the road (+9) compared to the hosts' record at home (+4), with an identical average of conceded goals (1.09). APOEL fails to score less frequently away (9% FTS%) than AEL does at home (36% FTS%), indicating greater efficiency. The form over the last five matches favors the visitors (1.2 PPG compared to 1.8 PPG for the hosts), yet APOEL holds a higher win percentage away (45%) than AEL does at home (45%), with better scoring efficiency and a higher number of clean sheets (36% versus 27%). Taking all data into account, I predict a victory for APOEL, although AEL's solid home form in recent matches gives the hosts a real chance for a positive result.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| AEL | APOEL | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
APOEL is 49% better for: goals scored per game.
1.17 goals / game - AEL · 1.74 goals / game - APOEL
APOEL is 41% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.35 goals / game - AEL · 0.96 goals / game - APOEL
AEL scores in 57% of games (13 of 23 meczów), while APOEL keeps a clean sheet in 39% (9 of 23 meczów).
APOEL scores in 87% of games (20 of 23 meczów), while AEL keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AEL
Over / Under - APOEL
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
APOEL is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / game - AEL · 1.43 pts / game - APOEL
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AEL - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
APOEL - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
AEL
APOEL
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| AEL | Liga | APOEL | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.52 | 2.50 | ▲ 2.70 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 30% | 38% | ▲ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 48% | 46% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 30% | 34% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 70% | • 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 80% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from AEL's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against APOEL. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of AEL vs APOEL?
The First Division match finished AEL 2:3 APOEL. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AEL vs APOEL?
AEL score 1.17 goals per game on average and APOEL 1.74. The First Division average is 2.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 30% of AEL's matches and 52% of APOEL's.
What form are AEL and APOEL in?
Over the last 5 games AEL have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and APOEL 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AEL vs APOEL?
The statistical background for AEL vs APOEL — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.