Cyprus - First DivisionStadio Stelios KyriakidesData current as of October 21, 2026

AEL vs Aris: match statistics

Reasoning:

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AEL vs Aris: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

AEL plays Aris in First Division (Cyprus). The game is scheduled for October 25, 2026. Venue: Stadio Stelios Kyriakides.

Recent form

AEL has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Aris has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.

Scoring records

AEL scores 1.67 goals per game and allows 1.33. Aris scores 1.17 and allows 1.33. Games in this league average 2.93 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 33% of AEL's games and 67% of Aris's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 50%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 64% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Aris has the higher season xG average, 1.68 to 1.64 per game. AEL takes 13.2 shots per game, while Aris takes 13.2.

First-half and second-half trends

AEL leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 1.33 goals per game after halftime. Aris leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.67 after halftime.

When the teams score

AEL's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). For Aris, it is minutes 76-90+ (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

First Division games average 2.93 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 64% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.60)
(3.28)
(2.52)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.67Goals scored / game1.17
AELAris
1.33Goals allowed / game1.33
AELAris
49%Average possession49%
AELAris
6.5Shots on target / game5.5
AELAris

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.17Shots per game13.17
AELAris
6.5Shots on target5.5
AELAris
12.7%Shot conversion8.9%
AELAris
49%Possession49%
AELAris
1.64xG for1.68
AELAris
1.3xG against1.26
AELAris

Shooting quality

AEL: BalancedAris: Balanced
AELAris
Accuracy (shots on target)49%42%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.21

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

AEL is 50% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / game - AEL · 1.6 pts / game - Aris

AEL
LWWWW
Season result split
83% W0% D17% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-0-1
2.50 pts / game · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-0-0
Last 5 at home
3-0-0
WWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.67Opponent xG: 1.38BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Aris
LWDWD
Season result split
33% W50% D17% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-1
1.50 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-0-0
Last 5 away
2-0-0
WW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.62Opponent xG: 1.25BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

AEL is 43% better for: goals scored per game.

1.67 goals / game - AEL · 1.17 goals / game - Aris

AEL scoring profile: very strong

AEL scores in 83% of games (5 of 6 games), while Aris keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 games).

Aris scoring profile: strong

Aris scores in 83% of games (5 of 6 games), while AEL keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 games).

10Goals scored (season)7
AELAris
8Goals conceded (season)8
AELAris
3Average goals per game2.5
AELAris
8Goals scored (last 5)5
AELAris
8Goals conceded (last 5)6
AELAris

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal83%
AELAris
83%2 goals33%
AELAris
0%3 goals0%
AELAris
0%4 goals0%
AELAris

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal67%
AELAris
17%2 goals33%
AELAris
17%3 goals17%
AELAris
17%4 goals17%
AELAris

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time17%
AELAris
0%BTTS in both halves17%
AELAris
33%Scored in both halves33%
AELAris

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
AELAris
17%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
AELAris
40%BTTS - last 560%
AELAris

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
AELAris
17%Min. 2 goals before half-time17%
AELAris
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
AELAris

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
AELAris
83%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
AELAris
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
AELAris

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

AEL - half-time state
33% leading50% draw17% trailing
Aris - half-time state
33% leading50% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per game (1st half)1.5
AELAris
0.33Goals scored (1st half)0.5
AELAris
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
AELAris
0.67Average goals (1st half)0.83
AELAris
83%Clean sheet before half-time67%
AELAris
67%No goal before half-time50%
AELAris

After half-time (2nd half)

2.17Points per game (2nd half)1
AELAris
1.33Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
AELAris
1Goals conceded (2nd half)1
AELAris
2.33Average goals (2nd half)1.67
AELAris
50%Clean sheet after half-time33%
AELAris
17%No goal after half-time33%
AELAris

AEL - second-half results

67% W17% D17% L
9
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding252%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 83%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.7

Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Aris - second-half results

17% W50% D33% L
9
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.7

Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

AEL - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.202.00
Goals scored / game0.21.4
Goals allowed / game0.41.2
Average goals per game0.62.6
1 goal40%100%
2 goals20%100%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Aris - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.00
Goals scored / game0.40.6
Goals allowed / game0.21.0
Average goals per game0.61.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

AEL
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
0
1
16-30
2
0
31-45
4
1
46-60
2
2
61-75
2
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Aris
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
1
0
16-30
1
1
31-45
1
2
46-60
1
3
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.75
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.5 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+27%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
69%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

AEL

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.34
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
0.00
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
113%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.0
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Aris

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.42
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.58
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.51
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
81%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
90%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).

Teams vs league

AELLigaAris
Average goals per game• 3.002.93▼ 2.50
Both teams scored▼ 33%60%▲ 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 50%64%▼ 50%
Clean sheets▲ 50%26%▲ 33%
Goal before half-time▼ 50%71%▼ 67%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%83%• 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.93
Average goals per game
60%
Both teams scored
64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.48
Home goals / game
1.45
Away goals / game
+2%
Home attack advantage
+2%
Home defensive advantage
+5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
57%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from AEL's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Aris. Games average 3.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

AEL
2 : 1
Aris
Aris
4 : 0
AEL

FAQ

When do AEL and Aris play?

AEL face Aris on October 25, 2026 in First Division at Stadio Stelios Kyriakides. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between AEL and Aris?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches AEL won 1, Aris won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before AEL vs Aris?

AEL score 1.67 goals per game on average and Aris 1.17. The First Division average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 33% of AEL's matches and 67% of Aris's.

What form are AEL and Aris in?

Over the last 5 games AEL have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Aris 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AEL vs Aris?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.