AEL vs Ethnikos Achna: match statistics
AEL displays significantly better home form with a 38% win rate and a +2 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.46 goals per match at home while conceding only 1.31, and with an xG of 1.28 vs. 1.07, this highlights their superiority. Ethnikos Achna has a catastrophic away record – only 8% wins, 85% losses, and a dismal goal difference of -20 in away matches. The visitors fail to score in 46% of their away games, averaging only 0.77 goals scored while conceding 2.31 per match. Recent form for both teams is poor (0.6 points per game each), however, AEL's advantage in home statistics combined with Ethnikos's disastrous away performances points to a home win. The difference in quality on home soil and the complete lack of effectiveness from the guests in away matches make AEL's triumph the most likely scenario.
AEL vs Ethnikos Achna: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
AEL played against Ethnikos Achna in First Division (Cyprus). The game was played on March 22, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
AEL has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Ethnikos Achna has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
AEL scores 1.19 goals per game and allows 1.46. Ethnikos Achna scores 0.96 and allows 1.69. Games in this league average 2.61 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 38% of AEL's games and 38% of Ethnikos Achna's. The Over 2.5 rates are 54% and 54%, compared with league averages of 40% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Ethnikos Achna has the higher season xG average, 1.16 to 1.12 per game. AEL takes 8.3 shots per game, while Ethnikos Achna takes 9.4.
First-half and second-half trends
AEL leads at halftime in 31% of its games and scores 0.73 goals per game after halftime. Ethnikos Achna leads at halftime in 23% and scores 0.54 after halftime.
When the teams score
AEL's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Ethnikos Achna, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
First Division games average 2.61 goals. Both teams score in 40% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
AEL displays significantly better home form with a 38% win rate and a +2 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.46 goals per match at home while conceding only 1.31, and with an xG of 1.28 vs. 1.07, this highlights their superiority. Ethnikos Achna has a catastrophic away record – only 8% wins, 85% losses, and a dismal goal difference of -20 in away matches. The visitors fail to score in 46% of their away games, averaging only 0.77 goals scored while conceding 2.31 per match. Recent form for both teams is poor (0.6 points per game each), however, AEL's advantage in home statistics combined with Ethnikos's disastrous away performances points to a home win. The difference in quality on home soil and the complete lack of effectiveness from the guests in away matches make AEL's triumph the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| AEL | Ethnikos Achna | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AEL is 24% better for: goals scored per game.
1.19 goals / game - AEL · 0.96 goals / game - Ethnikos Achna
AEL is 16% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.46 goals / game - AEL · 1.69 goals / game - Ethnikos Achna
AEL scores in 62% of games (16 of 26 meczów), while Ethnikos Achna keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 26 meczów).
Ethnikos Achna scores in 50% of games (13 of 26 meczów), while AEL keeps a clean sheet in 27% (7 of 26 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AEL
Over / Under - Ethnikos Achna
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AEL is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / game - AEL · 1.08 pts / game - Ethnikos Achna
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AEL - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Ethnikos Achna - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
AEL
Ethnikos Achna
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| AEL | Liga | Ethnikos Achna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.65 | 2.61 | • 2.65 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 40% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 54% | 49% | ▲ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 33% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 72% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 81% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from AEL's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Ethnikos Achna. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of AEL vs Ethnikos Achna?
The First Division match finished AEL 1:1 Ethnikos Achna. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between AEL and Ethnikos Achna?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches AEL won 1, Ethnikos Achna won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before AEL vs Ethnikos Achna?
AEL score 1.19 goals per game on average and Ethnikos Achna 0.96. The First Division average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 38% of AEL's matches and 38% of Ethnikos Achna's.
What form are AEL and Ethnikos Achna in?
Over the last 5 games AEL have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Ethnikos Achna 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AEL vs Ethnikos Achna?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.