AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester City: match statistics
AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AFC Bournemouth play Manchester City in Premier League (England). The match date is 19 May 2026 at 20:30. Venue: Vitality Stadium. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
AFC Bournemouth: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Manchester City: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
AFC Bournemouth scores 1.53 and concedes 1.42 goals per match. Manchester City scores 2.03 and concedes 0.92. League average: 2.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AFC Bournemouth 66%, Manchester City 50%. Over 2.5: AFC Bournemouth 55%, Manchester City 63%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Manchester City has higher xG: 1.83 vs 1.56. AFC Bournemouth: 13.8 shots per match, Manchester City: 15.6.
Match halves
AFC Bournemouth: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.84. Manchester City: half-time lead 63%, second-half goals 0.95.
Goals by minute
AFC Bournemouth: 76-90+ (16 goals). Manchester City: 31-45+ (22 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Manchester City are the favorites on paper: across the season they have 23 wins versus Bournemouth's 13, scored 75 goals and conceded 32, while Bournemouth have 56 scored and 52 conceded, giving City a superior goal balance (+43 vs +4). In the last 5 matches both teams show very similar form — Bournemouth scored 10 goals and have a record of 4 wins and 1 draw, and City 12 goals with also 4 wins and 1 draw; both teams average 2.6 points per game in this period. City, however, holds key quality advantages: average possession 61% versus Bournemouth's 53%, higher xG 1.72 versus 1.64, and an average of 4.67 shots on target for both sides with conversion rates of 12% (City) vs 11% (Bournemouth), suggesting more high-value opportunities for City. Bournemouth at home is nevertheless hard to beat — they concede only 1.06 goals per game at home, have a home loss rate of 11% and a high draw rate of 50%, which increases the probability of a split of points. Considering City's superiority in seasonal goal output and defense, but also Bournemouth's home solidity, I predict a Manchester City victory, although a draw remains a realistic option.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AFC Bournemouth | Manchester City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AFC Bournemouth is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - AFC Bournemouth · 1.6 pts / match - Manchester City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Manchester City is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
1.53 goals / match - AFC Bournemouth · 2.03 goals / match - Manchester City
Manchester City is 54% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.42 goals / match - AFC Bournemouth · 0.92 goals / match - Manchester City
AFC Bournemouth scores in 82% of matches (31 of 38 matches), while Manchester City keeps a clean sheet in 42% (16 of 38 matches).
Manchester City scores in 89% of matches (34 of 38 matches), while AFC Bournemouth keeps a clean sheet in 29% (11 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — AFC Bournemouth
Over / Under — Manchester City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Manchester City is 54% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.42 pts / match - AFC Bournemouth · 2.18 pts / match - Manchester City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AFC Bournemouth - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Manchester City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 63% of matches and wins 61%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (22 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AFC Bournemouth
Manchester City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| AFC Bournemouth | Liga | Manchester City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.95 | 2.75 | ▲ 2.95 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 66% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 55% | 55% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 26% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 72% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 79% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: AFC Bournemouth 0 - 0 - 1 Manchester City. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester City?
The Premier League match finished AFC Bournemouth 1:1 Manchester City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester City?
AFC Bournemouth score 1.53 goals per game on average and Manchester City 2.03. The Premier League average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 66% of AFC Bournemouth's matches and 50% of Manchester City's.
What form are AFC Bournemouth and Manchester City in?
Over the last 5 games AFC Bournemouth have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Manchester City 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester City?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester City: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.