Airbus UK vs Caernarfon Town: match statistics
Airbus UK vs Caernarfon Town: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Airbus UK played against Caernarfon Town in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The game was played on October 30, 2026. Venue: Esenler Stadyumu. Final score: 3:2.
Recent form
Airbus UK has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Caernarfon Town has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Airbus UK scores 2.00 goals per game and allows 1.43. Caernarfon Town scores 2.86 and allows 1.14. Games in this league average 3.35 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 43% of Airbus UK's games and 64% of Caernarfon Town's. The Over 2.5 rates are 57% and 79%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 61% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Caernarfon Town has the higher season xG average, 1.83 to 1.57 per game. Airbus UK takes 13.5 shots per game, while Caernarfon Town takes 15.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Airbus UK leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 0.93 goals per game after halftime. Caernarfon Town leads at halftime in 64% and scores 1.57 after halftime.
When the teams score
Airbus UK's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (7 goals). For Caernarfon Town, it is minutes 61-75 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Welsh Premier League games average 3.35 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 61% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Caernarfon Town are favorites thanks to their away record: they have won 71% of these matches and have yet to lose, while Airbus UK have won 67% of their home games. The visitors have picked up 10 points in their last five league matches, compared with 9 for the hosts, so the teams’ current form is similar. Caernarfon’s greater attacking efficiency away from home works in their favor: they average 2.71 goals, converting 19% of their shots, compared with Airbus’s 2.50 goals and 16% at home. The visitors’ defense allows chances worth an average of 0.91 xG, while the hosts concede 1.19 xG, strengthening Caernarfon’s edge despite the teams’ almost identical xG figures of 1.65 and 1.68. However, Airbus can still pose a threat, having scored 12 goals in their last five matches, so an away win is far from certain.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
A scenario in which both teams score is more likely: BTTS occurred in 57% of Airbus UK matches and 71% of Caernarfon Town matches, rising to 80% for both teams across their last five games. The visitors scored an average of 2.71 goals per match and have not failed to score in any match, while the hosts averaged 3.0 goals and failed to find the net in 14% of their matches. Their attacking potential is reflected in average xG figures of 1.99 for Airbus UK and 1.65 for Caernarfon Town. At the same time, both teams conceded an average of 1.14 goals per match over the season, and 1.4 and 1.2 respectively across their last five games, so neither defense provides a strong basis for expecting a clean sheet.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
At least 2 goals were scored in 86% of Airbus UK’s matches and 100% of Caernarfon Town’s, making Over 1.5 goals the strongest signal. Both teams have considerable attacking potential, averaging 3.0 and 2.71 goals scored respectively, although their xG figures of 1.99 and 1.65 suggest a more cautious forecast than the results alone. In their last 5 matches, the 2.5-goal line was surpassed in 100% of the hosts’ games and 80% of the visitors’ games, further supporting a scenario with several goals. The 3.5 line is less reliable, having been surpassed in 43% of matches for each team; therefore, Over 1.5 goals is the pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is Airbus UK leading at the break and holding on to that advantage until the final whistle, although this outcome has only a slight edge over the visitors winning both halves. The hosts score an average of 3.00 goals per match compared with Caernarfon Town’s 2.71, while their xG is 1.99 versus the visitors’ 1.65, pointing to their attacking potential. In their last five matches, Airbus led at half-time three times and Caernarfon twice; in those matches, the hosts averaged 1.4 first-half goals compared with their opponents’ 0.8. After the break, Airbus score an average of 1.71 goals and concede just 0.29, increasing the chances of them maintaining any lead. However, the risk is considerable: Caernarfon have not lost any of the seven matches analyzed, led at the break in five, and restrict opponents to just 0.91 xG, so 2/2 remains a close alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Airbus UK | Caernarfon Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Airbus UK is 20% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / game - Airbus UK · 2 pts / game - Caernarfon Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Caernarfon Town is 43% better for: goals scored per game.
2 goals / game - Airbus UK · 2.86 goals / game - Caernarfon Town
Caernarfon Town is 25% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.43 goals / game - Airbus UK · 1.14 goals / game - Caernarfon Town
Airbus UK scores in 71% of games (10 of 14 games), while Caernarfon Town keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 games).
Caernarfon Town scores in 93% of games (13 of 14 games), while Airbus UK keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Airbus UK
Over / Under - Caernarfon Town
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Caernarfon Town is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.64 pts / game - Airbus UK · 1.93 pts / game - Caernarfon Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Airbus UK - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 57%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Caernarfon Town - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 64% of games and wins 64%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 2.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +7 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +7 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Airbus UK
Caernarfon Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Airbus UK | Liga | Caernarfon Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 3.43 | 3.35 | ▲ 4.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 52% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 57% | 61% | ▲ 79% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 24% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 79% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | • 86% | 86% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Airbus UK vs Caernarfon Town?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Airbus UK 3:2 Caernarfon Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Airbus UK vs Caernarfon Town?
Airbus UK score 2.00 goals per game on average and Caernarfon Town 2.86. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.35 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Airbus UK's matches and 64% of Caernarfon Town's.
What form are Airbus UK and Caernarfon Town in?
Over the last 5 games Airbus UK have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Caernarfon Town 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Airbus UK vs Caernarfon Town?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Airbus UK vs Caernarfon Town: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.