Scotland - League OneData current as of October 15, 2026

Airdrieonians vs Hamilton Academical: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Airdrieonians vs Hamilton Academical: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Airdrieonians plays Hamilton Academical in League One (Scotland). The game is scheduled for October 17, 2026.

Recent form

Airdrieonians has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Hamilton Academical has 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, with 3.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Airdrieonians scores 0.90 goals per game and allows 1.30. Hamilton Academical scores 2.33 and allows 0.22. Games in this league average 2.80 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of Airdrieonians's games and 22% of Hamilton Academical's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 56%, compared with league averages of 45% for BTTS and 59% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Hamilton Academical has the higher season xG average, 1.49 to 1.09 per game. Airdrieonians takes 8.3 shots per game, while Hamilton Academical takes 10.8.

First-half and second-half trends

Airdrieonians leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Hamilton Academical leads at halftime in 78% and scores 1.00 after halftime.

When the teams score

Airdrieonians's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). For Hamilton Academical, it is minutes 16-30 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

League One games average 2.80 goals. Both teams score in 45% of games, and 59% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(3.40)
(3.40)
(1.91)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
0.9Goals scored / game2.33
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
1.3Goals allowed / game0.22
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
49%Average possession49%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
3.6Shots on target / game5.33
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

8.3Shots per game10.78
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
3.6Shots on target5.33
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
10.8%Shot conversion21.6%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
49%Possession49%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
1.09xG for1.49
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
1.19xG against0.91
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical

Shooting quality

Airdrieonians: BalancedHamilton Academical: Efficient finishing
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
Accuracy (shots on target)43%49%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.44

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Hamilton Academical is 50% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / game - Airdrieonians · 3 pts / game - Hamilton Academical

Airdrieonians
LWWWD
Season result split
30% W40% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-4-3
1.30 pts / game · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-2-1
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DLDWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.35Opponent xG: 1.18BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Hamilton Academical
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
89% W11% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-1-0
2.78 pts / game · goal difference +19
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-0
Last 5 away
3-1-0
WDWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.56Opponent xG: 1.06BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Hamilton Academical is 159% better for: goals scored per game.

0.9 goals / game - Airdrieonians · 2.33 goals / game - Hamilton Academical

Hamilton Academical is 491% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.3 goals / game - Airdrieonians · 0.22 goals / game - Hamilton Academical

Airdrieonians scoring profile: more difficult

Airdrieonians scores in 70% of games (7 of 10 games), while Hamilton Academical keeps a clean sheet in 78% (7 of 9 games).

Hamilton Academical scoring profile: very strong

Hamilton Academical scores in 89% of games (8 of 9 games), while Airdrieonians keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 games).

9Goals scored (season)21
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
13Goals conceded (season)2
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
2.2Average goals per game2.56
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
7Goals scored (last 5)11
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
5Goals conceded (last 5)2
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical

How often they score at least...

70%1 goal89%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
20%2 goals56%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
0%3 goals44%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
0%4 goals33%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal22%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
40%2 goals0%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
20%3 goals0%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
10%4 goals0%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

45%
League average

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time11%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
0%BTTS in both halves0%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
20%Scored in both halves33%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS22%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS33%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
60%BTTS - last 540%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

1st half

60%Min. 1 goal before half-time78%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
20%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time22%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical

2nd half

70%Min. 1 goal after half-time44%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
10%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Hamilton Academical is 97% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.3 pts / game - Airdrieonians · 2.56 pts / game - Hamilton Academical

Airdrieonians - half-time state
30% leading40% draw30% trailing
Hamilton Academical - half-time state
78% leading22% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.3Points per game (1st half)2.56
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
0.4Goals scored (1st half)1.33
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.11
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
0.9Average goals (1st half)1.44
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
70%Clean sheet before half-time89%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
60%No goal before half-time22%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical

After half-time (2nd half)

1.2Points per game (2nd half)1.89
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)1
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
0.8Goals conceded (2nd half)0.11
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
1.3Average goals (2nd half)1.11
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
50%Clean sheet after half-time89%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical
50%No goal after half-time56%
AirdrieoniansHamilton Academical

Airdrieonians - second-half results

20% W60% D20% L
13
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.30
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Hamilton Academical - second-half results

44% W56% D0% L
23
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+11
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.56
PPG before half-time
Lead holding114%

Leads at halftime in 78% of games and wins 89%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Airdrieonians - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.001.60
Goals scored / game0.80.6
Goals allowed / game0.40.6
Average goals per game1.21.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+20
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Hamilton Academical - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.601.80
Goals scored / game1.60.6
Goals allowed / game0.20.2
Average goals per game1.80.8
1 goal80%40%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+7+2
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 8

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Airdrieonians
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
0
1
16-30
3
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
1
3
61-75
2
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Hamilton Academical
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
5
0
16-30
4
0
31-45
2
0
46-60
4
1
61-75
3
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.38
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.6 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
85%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
36%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+68%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
62%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Airdrieonians

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.30
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
56%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
110%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.70
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Hamilton Academical

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.58
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.53
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.84
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.69
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
197%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
14%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.22
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

AirdrieoniansLigaHamilton Academical
Average goals per game▼ 2.202.80▼ 2.56
Both teams scored▲ 50%45%▼ 22%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 50%59%▼ 56%
Clean sheets▲ 40%32%▲ 78%
Goal before half-time▼ 60%67%▲ 78%
Goal after half-time▼ 70%80%▼ 44%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.80
Average goals per game
45%
Both teams scored
59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.61
Home goals / game
1.18
Away goals / game
+36%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defensive advantage
+16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Airdrieonians's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Hamilton Academical. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

FAQ

When do Airdrieonians and Hamilton Academical play?

Airdrieonians face Hamilton Academical on October 17, 2026 in League One. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Airdrieonians vs Hamilton Academical?

Airdrieonians score 0.90 goals per game on average and Hamilton Academical 2.33. The League One average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Airdrieonians's matches and 22% of Hamilton Academical's.

What form are Airdrieonians and Hamilton Academical in?

Over the last 5 games Airdrieonians have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Hamilton Academical 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Airdrieonians vs Hamilton Academical?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Airdrieonians vs Hamilton Academical: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.