Ajax vs Excelsior: match statistics
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Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Ajax vs Excelsior: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ajax plays Excelsior in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The game is scheduled for September 19, 2026. Venue: Johan Cruijff Arena.
Recent form
Ajax has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Excelsior has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Ajax scores 3.17 goals per game and allows 1.17. Excelsior scores 2.17 and allows 1.17. Games in this league average 3.94 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 67% of Ajax's games and 67% of Excelsior's. The Over 2.5 rates are 83% and 100%, compared with league averages of 74% for BTTS and 80% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Ajax has the higher season xG average, 2.54 to 1.44 per game. Ajax takes 23.3 shots per game, while Excelsior takes 12.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Ajax leads at halftime in 67% of its games and scores 2.00 goals per game after halftime. Excelsior leads at halftime in 50% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ajax's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For Excelsior, it is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Eredivisie games average 3.94 goals. Both teams score in 74% of games, and 80% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ajax | Excelsior | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Ajax is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Ajax · 1.4 pts / game - Excelsior
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ajax is 46% better for: goals scored per game.
3.17 goals / game - Ajax · 2.17 goals / game - Excelsior
Ajax scores in 100% of games (6 of 6 games), while Excelsior keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 games).
Excelsior scores in 100% of games (6 of 6 games), while Ajax keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ajax
Over / Under - Excelsior
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ajax is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.17 pts / game - Ajax · 1.67 pts / game - Excelsior
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ajax - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 67% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Excelsior - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ajax
Excelsior
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| Ajax | Liga | Excelsior | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 4.33 | 3.94 | ▼ 3.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 67% | 74% | ▼ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 83% | 80% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 14% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 80% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 94% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Ajax's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Excelsior. Games average 3.50 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
When do Ajax and Excelsior play?
Ajax face Excelsior on September 19, 2026 in Eredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ajax and Excelsior?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Ajax won 0, Excelsior won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ajax vs Excelsior?
Ajax score 3.17 goals per game on average and Excelsior 2.17. The Eredivisie average is 3.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 80% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Ajax's matches and 67% of Excelsior's.
What form are Ajax and Excelsior in?
Over the last 5 games Ajax have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Excelsior 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ajax vs Excelsior?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.