Excelsior vs Ajax: match statistics
Ajax clearly outperforms Excelsior in terms of quality and form. Excelsior are only in 13th place in the table with a home goal difference of -2, winning just 40% of their home matches and conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game. Ajax, despite a draw-prone streak away from home (56% draws), holds 3rd position in the league and scores an average of 2.22 goals per away game with a significantly higher conversion rate (15% shot conversion vs 8% for Excelsior). The difference in ball possession (58% vs 46%) and the quality of chances created (xG 1.74 vs 1.31) favor the visitors. Excelsior have shown poor form in their last five home matches (wlllw), while Ajax, despite fluctuations in form, possesses a clearly superior offensive potential. Taking all statistics into account, an Ajax victory is the most likely scenario, although the visitors' tendency to draw away matches cannot be ignored.
Excelsior vs Ajax: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Excelsior played against Ajax in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The game was played on February 1, 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
Excelsior has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Ajax has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Excelsior scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.75. Ajax scores 1.95 and allows 1.30. Games in this league average 3.25 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 60% of Excelsior's games and 70% of Ajax's. The Over 2.5 rates are 60% and 60%, compared with league averages of 63% for BTTS and 62% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Ajax has the higher season xG average, 1.87 to 1.28 per game. Excelsior takes 11.6 shots per game, while Ajax takes 15.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Excelsior leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 0.45 goals per game after halftime. Ajax leads at halftime in 50% and scores 0.90 after halftime.
When the teams score
Excelsior's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Ajax, it is minutes 31-45+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Eredivisie games average 3.25 goals. Both teams score in 63% of games, and 62% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ajax clearly outperforms Excelsior in terms of quality and form. Excelsior are only in 13th place in the table with a home goal difference of -2, winning just 40% of their home matches and conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game. Ajax, despite a draw-prone streak away from home (56% draws), holds 3rd position in the league and scores an average of 2.22 goals per away game with a significantly higher conversion rate (15% shot conversion vs 8% for Excelsior). The difference in ball possession (58% vs 46%) and the quality of chances created (xG 1.74 vs 1.31) favor the visitors. Excelsior have shown poor form in their last five home matches (wlllw), while Ajax, despite fluctuations in form, possesses a clearly superior offensive potential. Taking all statistics into account, an Ajax victory is the most likely scenario, although the visitors' tendency to draw away matches cannot be ignored.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Excelsior | Ajax | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Ajax is 83% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Excelsior · 2.2 pts / game - Ajax
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ajax is 95% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - Excelsior · 1.95 goals / game - Ajax
Ajax is 35% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.75 goals / game - Excelsior · 1.3 goals / game - Ajax
Excelsior scores in 75% of games (15 of 20 meczów), while Ajax keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 meczów).
Ajax scores in 95% of games (19 of 20 meczów), while Excelsior keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Excelsior
Over / Under - Ajax
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ajax is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / game - Excelsior · 1.75 pts / game - Ajax
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Excelsior - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Ajax - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 3.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +8 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Excelsior
Ajax
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| Excelsior | Liga | Ajax | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.75 | 3.25 | • 3.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 60% | 63% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 60% | 62% | ▼ 60% |
| Clean sheets | • 20% | 20% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 84% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 85% | • 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Excelsior's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Ajax. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Excelsior vs Ajax?
The Eredivisie match finished Excelsior 2:2 Ajax. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Excelsior vs Ajax?
Excelsior score 1.00 goals per game on average and Ajax 1.95. The Eredivisie average is 3.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Excelsior's matches and 70% of Ajax's.
What form are Excelsior and Ajax in?
Over the last 5 games Excelsior have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Ajax 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Excelsior vs Ajax?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.