Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard: match statistics
Ajax holds a decisive advantage in home matches with a 64% win rate and an impressive goal difference (+10). The hosts average 1.73 goals per game at home while conceding only 0.82, and their 45% clean sheet rate confirms defensive solidity. Fortuna Sittard performs poorly away from home with a 64% loss rate, failing to register a single clean sheet and conceding an average of 1.91 goals per match. Ajax's superiority in possession (57% vs 47%), shots on target (7 vs 4.64), and expected goals (1.97 vs 1.22) further supports the hosts. The form of both teams in the last five matches (Ajax: 1.6 PPG vs Fortuna: 1.0 PPG) along with the clear difference in quality points to a certain victory for the home side.
Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ajax played against Fortuna Sittard in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The game was played on February 14, 2026. Final score: 4:1.
Recent form
Ajax has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Fortuna Sittard has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Ajax scores 1.91 goals per game and allows 1.32. Fortuna Sittard scores 1.50 and allows 1.73. Games in this league average 3.22 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 73% of Ajax's games and 73% of Fortuna Sittard's. The Over 2.5 rates are 59% and 64%, compared with league averages of 64% for BTTS and 62% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Ajax has the higher season xG average, 1.81 to 1.40 per game. Ajax takes 15.4 shots per game, while Fortuna Sittard takes 12.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Ajax leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 0.86 goals per game after halftime. Fortuna Sittard leads at halftime in 27% and scores 0.77 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ajax's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (11 goals). For Fortuna Sittard, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Eredivisie games average 3.22 goals. Both teams score in 64% of games, and 62% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ajax holds a decisive advantage in home matches with a 64% win rate and an impressive goal difference (+10). The hosts average 1.73 goals per game at home while conceding only 0.82, and their 45% clean sheet rate confirms defensive solidity. Fortuna Sittard performs poorly away from home with a 64% loss rate, failing to register a single clean sheet and conceding an average of 1.91 goals per match. Ajax's superiority in possession (57% vs 47%), shots on target (7 vs 4.64), and expected goals (1.97 vs 1.22) further supports the hosts. The form of both teams in the last five matches (Ajax: 1.6 PPG vs Fortuna: 1.0 PPG) along with the clear difference in quality points to a certain victory for the home side.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ajax | Fortuna Sittard | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Ajax is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Ajax · 1 pts / game - Fortuna Sittard
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ajax is 27% better for: goals scored per game.
1.91 goals / game - Ajax · 1.5 goals / game - Fortuna Sittard
Ajax is 31% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.32 goals / game - Ajax · 1.73 goals / game - Fortuna Sittard
Ajax scores in 95% of games (21 of 22 meczów), while Fortuna Sittard keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 22 meczów).
Fortuna Sittard scores in 86% of games (19 of 22 meczów), while Ajax keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ajax
Over / Under - Fortuna Sittard
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ajax is 55% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.77 pts / game - Ajax · 1.14 pts / game - Fortuna Sittard
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ajax - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 45%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Fortuna Sittard - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +8 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| Ajax | Liga | Fortuna Sittard | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 3.23 | 3.22 | • 3.23 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 73% | 64% | ▲ 73% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 59% | 62% | ▲ 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 23% | 19% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 95% | 83% | ▲ 95% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 84% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Ajax's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Fortuna Sittard. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard?
The Eredivisie match finished Ajax 4:1 Fortuna Sittard. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard?
Ajax score 1.91 goals per game on average and Fortuna Sittard 1.50. The Eredivisie average is 3.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 73% of Ajax's matches and 73% of Fortuna Sittard's.
What form are Ajax and Fortuna Sittard in?
Over the last 5 games Ajax have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Fortuna Sittard 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.