Al Ahed vs Safa: match statistics
Al Ahed vs Safa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Ahed play Safa in Lebanese Premier League (Lebanon). The match date is 18 May 2026 at 21:00. Venue: Al Ahed Stadium. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Al Ahed: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Safa: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Ahed scores 1.60 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. Safa scores 1.43 and concedes 0.96. League average: 2.48 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Ahed 40%, Safa 39%. Over 2.5: Al Ahed 52%, Safa 35%. League level: BTTS 33%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Al Ahed has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.02. Al Ahed: 9.8 shots per match, Safa: 5.7.
Match halves
Al Ahed: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.88. Safa: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.74.
Goals by minute
Al Ahed: 61-75 (9 goals). Safa: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Lebanese Premier League: 2.48 goals per match, BTTS 33%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 2-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Match description
I back the away win as Safa are in better form: they have scored 7 goals and won 4 of their last 5 matches, averaging 2.4 points per match over that period, while Al Ahed scored only 3 goals and average 1.6 points per match in their last 5. Away, Safa average 1.5 goals scored and concede 1.0, whereas Al Ahed at home average 1.0 scored and 1.43 conceded, which favors the visitors. Al Ahed do generate higher home xG (1.39 vs 0.98 for Safa), but have a lower shooting efficiency (conversion 10% vs 13% for Safa) and lower expected returns from chances. Additionally Safa control on average 62% possession away versus 51% for Al Ahed and have a better recent run (4 wins in 5 vs 2 wins for Al Ahed), while the hosts have a negative home goal differential (-3). On this basis I estimate probabilities of roughly 50% for Safa, 25% for a draw and 25% for Al Ahed.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Ahed | Safa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 47% | 51% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.49 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Safa is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Al Ahed · 2 pts / match - Safa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Ahed is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
1.6 goals / match - Al Ahed · 1.43 goals / match - Safa
Safa is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.2 goals / match - Al Ahed · 0.96 goals / match - Safa
Al Ahed scores in 76% of matches (19 of 25 matches), while Safa keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 matches).
Safa scores in 70% of matches (16 of 23 matches), while Al Ahed keeps a clean sheet in 40% (10 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Al Ahed
Over / Under — Safa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Ahed - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Safa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 80% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Ahed
Safa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Lebanese Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Al Ahed | Liga | Safa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.80 | 2.48 | • 2.39 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 40% | 33% | ▲ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 45% | ▼ 35% |
| Clean sheets | • 40% | 39% | ▼ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 68% | 58% | ▼ 43% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 77% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Al Ahed 2 - 0 - 0 Safa. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Ahed vs Safa?
The Lebanese Premier League match finished Al Ahed 1:2 Safa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Al Ahed and Safa?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Al Ahed won 2, Safa won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Ahed vs Safa?
Al Ahed score 1.60 goals per game on average and Safa 1.43. The Lebanese Premier League average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Al Ahed's matches and 39% of Safa's.
What form are Al Ahed and Safa in?
Over the last 5 games Al Ahed have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Safa 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Ahed vs Safa?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Al Ahed vs Safa: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.