Lebanon - Lebanese Premier LeagueBourj Hammoud StadiumData current as of 23 July 2026

Al Ahed vs Shabab Al Sahel: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Al Ahed vs Shabab Al Sahel: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Al Ahed play Shabab Al Sahel in Lebanese Premier League (Lebanon). The match date is 10 April 2026 at 14:30. Venue: Bourj Hammoud Stadium.

Current form

Al Ahed: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Shabab Al Sahel: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Al Ahed scores 1.54 and concedes 1.23 goals per match. Shabab Al Sahel scores 1.00 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.44 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Al Ahed 38%, Shabab Al Sahel 33%. Over 2.5: Al Ahed 50%, Shabab Al Sahel 38%. League level: BTTS 33%, Over 2.5 43%.

xG, shots and style

Al Ahed has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.11. Al Ahed: 9.4 shots per match, Shabab Al Sahel: 7.8.

Match halves

Al Ahed: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.85. Shabab Al Sahel: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.67.

Goals by minute

Al Ahed: 61-75 (9 goals). Shabab Al Sahel: 61-75 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Lebanese Premier League: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 33%, Over 2.5 43%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Al AhedShabab Al Sahel
1.54Goals scored / match1
Al AhedShabab Al Sahel
1.23Goals conceded / match1
Al AhedShabab Al Sahel
52%Average possession50%
Al AhedShabab Al Sahel
4.42Shots on target / match2.95
Al AhedShabab Al Sahel

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.42Shots per match7.76
Al AhedShabab Al Sahel
4.42Shots on target2.95
Al AhedShabab Al Sahel
16.3%Shot conversion12.9%
Al AhedShabab Al Sahel
52%Possession50%
Al AhedShabab Al Sahel
1.32xG for1.11
Al AhedShabab Al Sahel
1.07xG against1
Al AhedShabab Al Sahel

Shooting quality

Al Ahed: Efficient finishingShabab Al Sahel: Balanced
Al AhedShabab Al Sahel
Accuracy (shots on target)47%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Al Ahed
WWDLL
Season result split
54% W8% R38% P
Season (W-D-L)
14-2-10
1.69 pts / match · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-1-5
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
LWWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.05Opponent xG: 1.40BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Shabab Al Sahel
LWWLD
Season result split
33% W29% R38% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-6-8
1.29 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-6
Last 5 away
1-1-3
WLLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.29Opponent xG: 0.90BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Al Ahed is 54% better for: goals scored per match.

1.54 goals / match - Al Ahed · 1 goals / match - Shabab Al Sahel

Shabab Al Sahel is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.23 goals / match - Al Ahed · 1 goals / match - Shabab Al Sahel

Al Ahed scoring profile: strong

Al Ahed scores in 73% of matches (19 of 26 matches), while Shabab Al Sahel keeps a clean sheet in 43% (9 of 21 matches).

Shabab Al Sahel scoring profile: mixed

Shabab Al Sahel scores in 57% of matches (12 of 21 matches), while Al Ahed keeps a clean sheet in 38% (10 of 26 matches).

40Goals scored (season)21
Al AhedShabab Al Sahel
32Goals conceded (season)21
Al AhedShabab Al Sahel
2.77Average goals in match2
Al AhedShabab Al Sahel
11Goals scored (last 5)7
Al AhedShabab Al Sahel
10Goals conceded (last 5)5
Al AhedShabab Al Sahel

How often they score at least...

73%1 goal57%
Al AhedShabab Al Sahel
42%2 goals33%
Al AhedShabab Al Sahel
27%3 goals10%
Al AhedShabab Al Sahel
12%4 goals0%
Al AhedShabab Al Sahel

How often they concede at least...

62%1 goal57%
Al AhedShabab Al Sahel
35%2 goals24%
Al AhedShabab Al Sahel
15%3 goals14%
Al AhedShabab Al Sahel
8%4 goals5%
Al AhedShabab Al Sahel

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

33%
League average

Goal patterns

15%BTTS at half-time10%
Al AhedShabab Al Sahel
4%BTTS in both halves0%
Al AhedShabab Al Sahel
35%Scored in both halves19%
Al AhedShabab Al Sahel

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS24%
Al AhedShabab Al Sahel
12%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
Al AhedShabab Al Sahel
60%BTTS - last 520%
Al AhedShabab Al Sahel

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

69%Min. 1 goal before half-time52%
Al AhedShabab Al Sahel
35%Min. 2 goals before half-time24%
Al AhedShabab Al Sahel
23%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
Al AhedShabab Al Sahel

2nd half

88%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
Al AhedShabab Al Sahel
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
Al AhedShabab Al Sahel
19%Min. 3 goals after half-time10%
Al AhedShabab Al Sahel

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Al Ahed is 58% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.5 pts / match - Al Ahed · 0.95 pts / match - Shabab Al Sahel

Al Ahed - half-time state
38% leading35% draw27% trailing
Shabab Al Sahel - half-time state
14% leading52% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per match (1st half)0.95
Al AhedShabab Al Sahel
0.69Goals scored (1st half)0.33
Al AhedShabab Al Sahel
0.58Goals conceded (1st half)0.52
Al AhedShabab Al Sahel
1.27Average goals (1st half)0.86
Al AhedShabab Al Sahel
62%Clean sheet before half-time62%
Al AhedShabab Al Sahel
54%No goal before half-time76%
Al AhedShabab Al Sahel

After half-time (2nd half)

1.58Points per match (2nd half)1.52
Al AhedShabab Al Sahel
0.85Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
Al AhedShabab Al Sahel
0.65Goals conceded (2nd half)0.48
Al AhedShabab Al Sahel
1.5Average goals (2nd half)1.14
Al AhedShabab Al Sahel
50%Clean sheet after half-time62%
Al AhedShabab Al Sahel
38%No goal after half-time48%
Al AhedShabab Al Sahel

Al Ahed - second-half results

46% W19% R35% P
39
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding142%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 54%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Shabab Al Sahel - second-half results

38% W38% R24% P
20
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.95
PPG before half-time
Lead holding236%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Al Ahed - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.20
Goals scored / match1.21.0
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match2.22.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals60%40%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6
Shabab Al Sahel - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.602.00
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.21.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Al Ahed
ScoredConceded
8
3
0-15
4
6
16-30
6
6
31-45
7
4
46-60
9
7
61-75
6
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Shabab Al Sahel
ScoredConceded
2
4
0-15
1
2
16-30
4
5
31-45
4
1
46-60
6
3
61-75
4
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.38
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
36%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+26%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
42%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Al Ahed

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
115%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
112%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.29
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Shabab Al Sahel

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
0.00
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
91%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
75%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Lebanese Premier League).

Teams vs league

Al AhedLigaShabab Al Sahel
Average goals in match 2.772.44 2.00
Both teams scored 38%33% 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%43% 38%
Clean sheets 38%39% 43%
Goal before half-time 69%57% 52%
Goal after half-time 88%77% 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.44
Average goals per match
33%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
39%
Clean sheets
1.34
Home goals / match
1.10
Away goals / match
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
57%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Al Ahed 0 - 0 - 1 Shabab Al Sahel. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Al Ahed and Shabab Al Sahel play?

Al Ahed face Shabab Al Sahel on 10 April 2026 in Lebanese Premier League at Bourj Hammoud Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Al Ahed vs Shabab Al Sahel?

Al Ahed score 1.54 goals per game on average and Shabab Al Sahel 1.00. The Lebanese Premier League average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Al Ahed's matches and 33% of Shabab Al Sahel's.

What form are Al Ahed and Shabab Al Sahel in?

Over the last 5 games Al Ahed have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Shabab Al Sahel 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Ahed vs Shabab Al Sahel?

The statistical background for Al Ahed vs Shabab Al Sahel — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.

Al Ahed - Shabab Al Sahel - statistical preview | NoFluffPicks Stats