Al Ahed vs Tadamon Sour: match statistics
Al Ahed holds a strong 2nd place in the table and, despite a weaker recent form (1.4 pts/match), boasts a solid record of 10 wins this season. The hosts have an advantage in expected goals (xG 1.4 vs 1.22 at home), indicating higher-quality chance creation. Tadamon Sour is in very poor form, averaging just 0.2 points per match in their last 5 games, with only a 29% away win rate. The visitors score an average of just 0.86 goals away from home with low efficiency (18% shot conversion). Given Al Ahed's 50% clean sheet rate at home, this provides the hosts with a realistic chance of victory. The disparity in form and quality of play favors an Al Ahed win, although their own inconsistent home form (50% home losses) increases the probability of a draw.
Al Ahed vs Tadamon Sour: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Al Ahed played against Tadamon Sour in Lebanese Premier League (Lebanon). The game was played on February 21, 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Recent form
Al Ahed has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Tadamon Sour has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Al Ahed scores 1.60 goals per game and allows 1.00. Tadamon Sour scores 0.64 and allows 1.14. Games in this league average 2.22 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 27% of Al Ahed's games and 36% of Tadamon Sour's. The Over 2.5 rates are 47% and 29%, compared with league averages of 31% for BTTS and 39% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Al Ahed has the higher season xG average, 1.39 to 0.80 per game. Al Ahed takes 10.1 shots per game, while Tadamon Sour takes 4.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Al Ahed leads at halftime in 47% of its games and scores 0.87 goals per game after halftime. Tadamon Sour leads at halftime in 21% and scores 0.29 after halftime.
When the teams score
Al Ahed's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (6 goals). For Tadamon Sour, it is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Lebanese Premier League games average 2.22 goals. Both teams score in 31% of games, and 39% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Ahed holds a strong 2nd place in the table and, despite a weaker recent form (1.4 pts/match), boasts a solid record of 10 wins this season. The hosts have an advantage in expected goals (xG 1.4 vs 1.22 at home), indicating higher-quality chance creation. Tadamon Sour is in very poor form, averaging just 0.2 points per match in their last 5 games, with only a 29% away win rate. The visitors score an average of just 0.86 goals away from home with low efficiency (18% shot conversion). Given Al Ahed's 50% clean sheet rate at home, this provides the hosts with a realistic chance of victory. The disparity in form and quality of play favors an Al Ahed win, although their own inconsistent home form (50% home losses) increases the probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Al Ahed | Tadamon Sour | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 46% | 47% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.20 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Al Ahed is 350% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Al Ahed · 0.4 pts / game - Tadamon Sour
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Ahed is 150% better for: goals scored per game.
1.6 goals / game - Al Ahed · 0.64 goals / game - Tadamon Sour
Al Ahed is 14% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - Al Ahed · 1.14 goals / game - Tadamon Sour
Al Ahed scores in 80% of games (12 of 15 meczów), while Tadamon Sour keeps a clean sheet in 43% (6 of 14 meczów).
Tadamon Sour scores in 50% of games (7 of 14 meczów), while Al Ahed keeps a clean sheet in 53% (8 of 15 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Ahed
Over / Under - Tadamon Sour
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Ahed is 68% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.8 pts / game - Al Ahed · 1.07 pts / game - Tadamon Sour
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Ahed - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 47% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Tadamon Sour - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 14%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Al Ahed
Tadamon Sour
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Lebanese Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Al Ahed | Liga | Tadamon Sour | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.60 | 2.22 | ▼ 1.79 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 27% | 31% | ▲ 36% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 47% | 39% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 53% | 41% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 57% | ▲ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 73% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Al Ahed's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Tadamon Sour. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Ahed vs Tadamon Sour?
The Lebanese Premier League match finished Al Ahed 0:0 Tadamon Sour. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Ahed vs Tadamon Sour?
Al Ahed score 1.60 goals per game on average and Tadamon Sour 0.64. The Lebanese Premier League average is 2.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 27% of Al Ahed's matches and 36% of Tadamon Sour's.
What form are Al Ahed and Tadamon Sour in?
Over the last 5 games Al Ahed have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Tadamon Sour 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Ahed vs Tadamon Sour?
The statistical background for Al Ahed vs Tadamon Sour — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.