Al Ahli vs Al Shamal: match statistics
Al Shamal demonstrates vastly superior form and statistics this season, occupying 2nd place with a 6-3-2 record. Hosts Al Ahli sit in 9th position with a disastrous home record—only a 20% win rate and an 80% loss rate, conceding an average of 2.8 goals per match. On the road, Al Shamal wins 50% of their fixtures, averaging 2 goals scored and only 1 conceded per game, underscoring their offensive edge (xG 1.88) and defensive stability. The disparity in quality is also reflected in possession (54% for the visitors vs 53% for the hosts) and shot conversion. Considering Al Ahli's catastrophic home streak (4 consecutive losses) and Al Shamal's solid away performance, the visitors are the clear favorites in this matchup.
Al Ahli vs Al Shamal: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Al Ahli played against Al Shamal in Stars League (Qatar). The game was played on January 7, 2026. Final score: 4:2.
Recent form
Al Ahli has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Al Shamal has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Al Ahli scores 1.18 goals per game and allows 2.09. Al Shamal scores 2.09 and allows 1.18. Games in this league average 3.35 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 45% of Al Ahli's games and 45% of Al Shamal's. The Over 2.5 rates are 64% and 64%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 62% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Al Shamal has the higher season xG average, 1.76 to 1.27 per game. Al Ahli takes 10.1 shots per game, while Al Shamal takes 15.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Al Ahli leads at halftime in 9% of its games and scores 0.64 goals per game after halftime. Al Shamal leads at halftime in 36% and scores 1.18 after halftime.
When the teams score
Al Ahli's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). For Al Shamal, it is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Stars League games average 3.35 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 62% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Shamal demonstrates vastly superior form and statistics this season, occupying 2nd place with a 6-3-2 record. Hosts Al Ahli sit in 9th position with a disastrous home record—only a 20% win rate and an 80% loss rate, conceding an average of 2.8 goals per match. On the road, Al Shamal wins 50% of their fixtures, averaging 2 goals scored and only 1 conceded per game, underscoring their offensive edge (xG 1.88) and defensive stability. The disparity in quality is also reflected in possession (54% for the visitors vs 53% for the hosts) and shot conversion. Considering Al Ahli's catastrophic home streak (4 consecutive losses) and Al Shamal's solid away performance, the visitors are the clear favorites in this matchup.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Al Ahli | Al Shamal | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Al Shamal is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Al Ahli · 1.4 pts / game - Al Shamal
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Shamal is 77% better for: goals scored per game.
1.18 goals / game - Al Ahli · 2.09 goals / game - Al Shamal
Al Shamal is 77% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.09 goals / game - Al Ahli · 1.18 goals / game - Al Shamal
Al Ahli scores in 45% of games (5 of 11 meczów), while Al Shamal keeps a clean sheet in 36% (4 of 11 meczów).
Al Shamal scores in 73% of games (8 of 11 meczów), while Al Ahli keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 11 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Ahli
Over / Under - Al Shamal
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Shamal is 77% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.82 pts / game - Al Ahli · 1.45 pts / game - Al Shamal
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Ahli - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 9% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Al Shamal - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 55%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Al Ahli
Al Shamal
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Stars League).
Teams vs league
| Al Ahli | Liga | Al Shamal | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 3.27 | 3.35 | • 3.27 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 56% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 62% | ▲ 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 24% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 74% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 87% | ▼ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Al ShamalYellow cardAhmad Mohammed Al-Saeed
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Al Ahli's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Al Shamal. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Ahli vs Al Shamal?
The Stars League match finished Al Ahli 4:2 Al Shamal. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Ahli vs Al Shamal?
Al Ahli score 1.18 goals per game on average and Al Shamal 2.09. The Stars League average is 3.35 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Al Ahli's matches and 45% of Al Shamal's.
What form are Al Ahli and Al Shamal in?
Over the last 5 games Al Ahli have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Al Shamal 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Ahli vs Al Shamal?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Al Ahli vs Al Shamal: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.