Al Ahli vs Umm Salal: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Al Ahli play Umm Salal in Stars League (Qatar). The match date is 29 December 2025 at 17:30. Final score: 0:3.

Current form

Al Ahli: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Umm Salal: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Al Ahli scores 1.55 and concedes 1.95 goals per match. Umm Salal scores 1.68 and concedes 2.55. League average: 3.33 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Al Ahli 68%, Umm Salal 68%. Over 2.5: Al Ahli 73%, Umm Salal 86%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 64%.

xG, shots and style

Umm Salal has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.28. Al Ahli: 10.4 shots per match, Umm Salal: 11.2.

Match halves

Al Ahli: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.86. Umm Salal: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.91.

Goals by minute

Al Ahli: 76-90+ (9 goals). Umm Salal: 31-45+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Stars League: 3.33 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 64%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 3
2nd half

Match statistics

71Possession (%)29
Al AhliUmm Salal
18Shots5
Al AhliUmm Salal
6Shots on target4
Al AhliUmm Salal
2.02xG0.87
Al AhliUmm Salal
11Corners3
Al AhliUmm Salal
65Dangerous attacks38
Al AhliUmm Salal
13Fouls11
Al AhliUmm Salal
4Cards1
Al AhliUmm Salal

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.55Goals scored / match1.68
Al AhliUmm Salal
1.95Goals conceded / match2.55
Al AhliUmm Salal
52%Average possession39%
Al AhliUmm Salal
4.05Shots on target / match4.27
Al AhliUmm Salal

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.36Shots per match11.23
Al AhliUmm Salal
4.05Shots on target4.27
Al AhliUmm Salal
14.9%Shot conversion15%
Al AhliUmm Salal
52%Possession39%
Al AhliUmm Salal
1.28xG for1.32
Al AhliUmm Salal
1.56xG against2.06
Al AhliUmm Salal

Shooting quality

Al Ahli: Efficient finishingUmm Salal: Counter-attacking
Al AhliUmm Salal
Accuracy (shots on target)39%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.39

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Al Ahli is 175% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / match - Al Ahli · 0.8 pts / match - Umm Salal

Al Ahli
DWDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
36% W9% R55% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-2-12
1.18 pts / match · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-2-6
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
LLDDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.26Opponent xG: 1.53BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%
Umm Salal
WDLLL
Season result split
27% W9% R64% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-2-14
0.91 pts / match · goal difference -19
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-0-8
Last 5 away
2-0-3
LWWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.18Opponent xG: 1.89BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Umm Salal is 8% better for: goals scored per match.

1.55 goals / match - Al Ahli · 1.68 goals / match - Umm Salal

Al Ahli is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.95 goals / match - Al Ahli · 2.55 goals / match - Umm Salal

Al Ahli scoring profile: very strong

Al Ahli scores in 68% of matches (15 of 22 matches), while Umm Salal keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 matches).

Umm Salal scoring profile: very strong

Umm Salal scores in 82% of matches (18 of 22 matches), while Al Ahli keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 22 matches).

34Goals scored (season)37
Al AhliUmm Salal
43Goals conceded (season)56
Al AhliUmm Salal
3.5Average goals in match4.23
Al AhliUmm Salal
12Goals scored (last 5)8
Al AhliUmm Salal
6Goals conceded (last 5)11
Al AhliUmm Salal

How often they score at least...

68%1 goal82%
Al AhliUmm Salal
45%2 goals64%
Al AhliUmm Salal
23%3 goals14%
Al AhliUmm Salal
14%4 goals5%
Al AhliUmm Salal

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal82%
Al AhliUmm Salal
68%2 goals73%
Al AhliUmm Salal
27%3 goals55%
Al AhliUmm Salal
0%4 goals23%
Al AhliUmm Salal

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

61%
League average

Goal patterns

23%BTTS at half-time27%
Al AhliUmm Salal
14%BTTS in both halves18%
Al AhliUmm Salal
32%Scored in both halves36%
Al AhliUmm Salal

BTTS and goal count

64%Min. 3 goals and BTTS68%
Al AhliUmm Salal
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS18%
Al AhliUmm Salal
100%BTTS - last 560%
Al AhliUmm Salal

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

73%Min. 1 goal before half-time82%
Al AhliUmm Salal
32%Min. 2 goals before half-time45%
Al AhliUmm Salal
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time18%
Al AhliUmm Salal

2nd half

95%Min. 1 goal after half-time91%
Al AhliUmm Salal
73%Min. 2 goals after half-time77%
Al AhliUmm Salal
36%Min. 3 goals after half-time50%
Al AhliUmm Salal

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Umm Salal is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.23 pts / match - Al Ahli · 1.41 pts / match - Umm Salal

Al Ahli - half-time state
27% leading41% draw32% trailing
Umm Salal - half-time state
36% leading32% draw32% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.23Points per match (1st half)1.41
Al AhliUmm Salal
0.68Goals scored (1st half)0.77
Al AhliUmm Salal
0.68Goals conceded (1st half)0.86
Al AhliUmm Salal
1.36Average goals (1st half)1.64
Al AhliUmm Salal
45%Clean sheet before half-time45%
Al AhliUmm Salal
59%No goal before half-time45%
Al AhliUmm Salal

After half-time (2nd half)

1.09Points per match (2nd half)0.82
Al AhliUmm Salal
0.86Goals scored (2nd half)0.91
Al AhliUmm Salal
1.27Goals conceded (2nd half)1.68
Al AhliUmm Salal
2.14Average goals (2nd half)2.59
Al AhliUmm Salal
27%Clean sheet after half-time18%
Al AhliUmm Salal
41%No goal after half-time36%
Al AhliUmm Salal

Al Ahli - second-half results

32% W14% R55% P
27
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.23
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.6

Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Umm Salal - second-half results

18% W27% R55% P
31
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
-17
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.41
PPG before half-time
Lead holding75%

Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 27%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.8

Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Al Ahli - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.00
Goals scored / match0.81.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.22.4
1 goal100%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+2+4
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4
Umm Salal - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.00
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match1.21.0
Average goals in match2.01.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-2-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Al Ahli
ScoredConceded
6
4
0-15
7
4
16-30
2
7
31-45
6
12
46-60
4
6
61-75
9
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Umm Salal
ScoredConceded
0
6
0-15
5
6
16-30
12
7
31-45
5
13
46-60
8
9
61-75
7
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.86
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.0 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
116%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
68%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+3%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Al Ahli

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.39
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
94%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
117%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+1.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

Umm Salal

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.74
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.36
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.49
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
101%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
155%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Stars League).

Teams vs league

Al AhliLigaUmm Salal
Average goals in match 3.503.33 4.23
Both teams scored 68%61% 68%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 73%64% 86%
Clean sheets 0%22% 18%
Goal before half-time 73%73% 82%
Goal after half-time 95%88% 91%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.33
Average goals per match
61%
Both teams scored
64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.65
Home goals / match
1.67
Away goals / match
+-1%
Home attack advantage
+-1%
Home defence advantage
+3%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
62%
2 goals
32%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Al Ahli 1 - 0 - 0 Umm Salal. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Al Ahli vs Umm Salal?

The Stars League match finished Al Ahli 0:3 Umm Salal. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Al Ahli vs Umm Salal?

Al Ahli score 1.55 goals per game on average and Umm Salal 1.68. The Stars League average is 3.33 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Al Ahli's matches and 68% of Umm Salal's.

What form are Al Ahli and Umm Salal in?

Over the last 5 games Al Ahli have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Umm Salal 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Ahli vs Umm Salal?

The statistical background for Al Ahli vs Umm Salal — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.