Al Ahly vs Smouha SC: match statistics
Al Ahly vs Smouha SC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Ahly play Smouha SC in Egyptian Premier League (Egypt). The match date is 11 April 2026 at 20:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Al Ahly: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Smouha SC: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Ahly scores 1.69 and concedes 0.92 goals per match. Smouha SC scores 0.88 and concedes 0.88. League average: 2.02 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Ahly 58%, Smouha SC 38%. Over 2.5: Al Ahly 50%, Smouha SC 27%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Al Ahly has higher xG: 1.76 vs 1.25. Al Ahly: 15.6 shots per match, Smouha SC: 10.5.
Match halves
Al Ahly: half-time lead 54%, second-half goals 0.81. Smouha SC: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.35.
Goals by minute
Al Ahly: 76-90+ (10 goals). Smouha SC: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Egyptian Premier League: 2.02 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I back the home-win (1). Al Ahly average 1.6 goals per home match with xG 1.87 and 6.1 shots on target, while Smouha away record 0.9 goals, xG 1.11 and only 2.9 shots on target. The hosts control matches (61% possession vs 41%) and have a lower non-scoring rate 20% vs Smouha’s 50%; their defense concedes 0.7 goals at home with xG against 0.86 compared to the visitors’ 0.8 goals and xG 1.27. Recent form is mixed — Al Ahly in last 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses (0.8 pts per game), Smouha: 2 wins, 3 losses (1.2 pts per game). Considering superiority in chance creation (xG and shots on target), higher home win rate (70% vs 30%) and better clean sheet rate (40% vs 20%), I assign Al Ahly a 65% probability to win, 20% for a draw and 15% for an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Ahly | Smouha SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Ahly is 92% better for: goals scored per match.
1.69 goals / match - Al Ahly · 0.88 goals / match - Smouha SC
Smouha SC is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.92 goals / match - Al Ahly · 0.88 goals / match - Smouha SC
Al Ahly scores in 85% of matches (22 of 26 matches), while Smouha SC keeps a clean sheet in 27% (7 of 26 matches).
Smouha SC scores in 54% of matches (14 of 26 matches), while Al Ahly keeps a clean sheet in 35% (9 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Al Ahly
Over / Under — Smouha SC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Ahly is 37% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.85 pts / match - Al Ahly · 1.35 pts / match - Smouha SC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Ahly - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 54% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Smouha SC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Ahly
Smouha SC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Egyptian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Al Ahly | Liga | Smouha SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.62 | 2.02 | ▼ 1.77 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 47% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 34% | ▼ 27% |
| Clean sheets | • 35% | 35% | ▼ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 58% | • 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 77% | 70% | • 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Al Ahly 1 - 0 - 0 Smouha SC. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Ahly vs Smouha SC?
The Egyptian Premier League match finished Al Ahly 2:1 Smouha SC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Ahly vs Smouha SC?
Al Ahly score 1.69 goals per game on average and Smouha SC 0.88. The Egyptian Premier League average is 2.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Al Ahly's matches and 38% of Smouha SC's.
What form are Al Ahly and Smouha SC in?
Over the last 5 games Al Ahly have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Smouha SC 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Ahly vs Smouha SC?
The statistical background for Al Ahly vs Smouha SC — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.