Al Feiha vs Al Hilal: match statistics

Al Hilal is the clear favorite: they sit 2nd, have 24 wins this season and 84 goals scored, while Al Feiha are 10th with 10 wins and 41 goals. In the last 5 matches Hilal scored 10 goals and won 4 of 5, averaging 2.6 points per match, whereas Feiha scored 6 goals and won 1 of 5, averaging 0.8 points per match. In chance creation on the road Hilal averages 16.25 shots (7.13 on target) with xG 1.93 and 2.69 goals per match, while Feiha at home average 10.06 shots (3.44 on target), xG 1.11 and 1.38 goals per match. Defensively Hilal also performs better — average xG against 1.13 and 1.00 goals conceded on the road versus Feiha at home with xG against 1.47 and 1.19 goals conceded; additionally Hilal have 0% away matches without scoring while Feiha have that figure at 19%. Given the higher shot volume, superior shot conversion 17% vs 14%, better xG and form, I predict an away win.

I back BTTS - Yes (65%) over No (35%). Both teams display strong offensive metrics: Al Feiha scores 2.41 goals at home on average, while Al Hilal scores 2.69 away; their xG reads 1.96 vs 1.93, indicating similar expected goals. In the last 5 matches both sides registered BTTS at 60%, with Feiha conceding 2.0 goals on average (10 conceded in 5) and Hilal scoring 2.0 and conceding 0.6 (10–3 in 5), which further supports a Goal/Goal outcome. Offsetting this is Feiha’s high home clean sheet rate of 53% and a seasonal goals-against average of 0.65, while Hilal has 38% clean sheets on the road, which partially reduces BTTS probability. However, league-wide BTTS at 59%, Over 2.5 in 59–63%, Hilal’s higher conversion rate 17% (vs 15% for Feiha) and similar shot volumes collectively make the strongest signal from the data favor Both Teams To Score.

Both teams possess high offensive potential: Al Feiha averages 2.41 goals per match, Al Hilal 2.69, with xG of 1.96 and 1.93 respectively. Season metrics show Al Feiha matches finished over 1.5 goals in 82% of cases, and Al Hilal in 94% — averaging 88%, which is a strong signal for Over 1.5. Based on xG and opponent xG (Al Hilal opponent xG 1.13, Al Feiha opponent xG 0.80) I projected 1.55 goals for the home side and 1.37 for the visitors, totaling 2.92 goals, confirming that 1.5 will be exceeded. Over 2.5 has moderate support (seasonally 59% and 63%, average 62% and 60% in the last 5 matches), while Over 3.5 is less certain (seasonally 47% and 44%); therefore I recommend playing Over 1.5 as the most data-driven option.

Al Feiha led at the break in 13 home matches, i.e. in 76% of cases (leadingAtHT_home=13, leadingAtHTPercentage_home=76.0), with an average of 1.29 goals scored by half-time and 0.29 conceded. Al Hilal, however, have very strong second halves: the away average for goals after the break is 2.00, average goals scored after half-time 1.56, and as many as 94% of matches with at least one goal after the break (AVG_2hg_away=2.0, scored_2hg_avg_away=1.56, over05_2hg_percentage_away=94.0). In the last 5 matches form favors Hilal (last 5: 80% away wins versus 20% home wins; last5_winPercentage_overall_away=80.0 vs last5_winPercentage_overall_home=20.0) and Feiha have conceded an average of 1.2 goals after the break in that period (last5_conceded_2hg_avg_overall_home=1.2), which facilitates comebacks. Considering comparable xG (1.96 vs 1.93), Al Feiha’s high frequency of leading at half-time (76%) and Al Hilal’s ability to overturn results after the break (94% of matches with a goal after half-time, 1.56 average goals), the strongest signal is the 1/2 scenario — the home side leads at Half-Time and Al Hilal win Full-Time.