Al Merreikh vs Gicumbi: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Al Merreikh play Gicumbi in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match date is 21 December 2025 at 17:30. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Al Merreikh: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Gicumbi: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Al Merreikh scores 1.21 and concedes 0.71 goals per match. Gicumbi scores 1.12 and concedes 1.59. League average: 2.12 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Al Merreikh 41%, Gicumbi 59%. Over 2.5: Al Merreikh 32%, Gicumbi 50%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.

xG, shots and style

Al Merreikh has higher xG: 1.21 vs 1.13. Al Merreikh: 6.9 shots per match, Gicumbi: 7.1.

Match halves

Al Merreikh: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.79. Gicumbi: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.53.

Goals by minute

Al Merreikh: 76-90+ (11 goals). Gicumbi: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

National Soccer League: 2.12 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

47Possession (%)53
Al MerreikhGicumbi
2Shots2
Al MerreikhGicumbi
1Shots on target1
Al MerreikhGicumbi
0.58xG0.7
Al MerreikhGicumbi
1Corners9
Al MerreikhGicumbi
50Dangerous attacks67
Al MerreikhGicumbi
14Fouls17
Al MerreikhGicumbi
0Cards0
Al MerreikhGicumbi

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Al MerreikhGicumbi
1.21Goals scored / match1.12
Al MerreikhGicumbi
0.71Goals conceded / match1.59
Al MerreikhGicumbi
45%Average possession49%
Al MerreikhGicumbi
2.59Shots on target / match2.35
Al MerreikhGicumbi

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

6.94Shots per match7.06
Al MerreikhGicumbi
2.59Shots on target2.35
Al MerreikhGicumbi
17.4%Shot conversion15.8%
Al MerreikhGicumbi
45%Possession49%
Al MerreikhGicumbi
1.21xG for1.13
Al MerreikhGicumbi
1.02xG against1.2
Al MerreikhGicumbi

Shooting quality

Al Merreikh: Counter-attackingGicumbi: Efficient finishing
Al MerreikhGicumbi
Accuracy (shots on target)37%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.170.16
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.470.48

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Gicumbi is 500% better for: last-5 form.

0.2 pts / match - Al Merreikh · 1.2 pts / match - Gicumbi

Al Merreikh
LLDLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
47% W32% R21% P
Season (W-D-L)
16-11-7
1.74 pts / match · goal difference +17
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-6-3
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
WWLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 0.72Opponent xG: 0.84BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Gicumbi
LWLWL
Season result split
29% W24% R47% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-8-16
1.12 pts / match · goal difference -16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-5-9
Last 5 away
0-1-4
LDLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 1.12BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Al Merreikh is 8% better for: goals scored per match.

1.21 goals / match - Al Merreikh · 1.12 goals / match - Gicumbi

Al Merreikh is 124% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.71 goals / match - Al Merreikh · 1.59 goals / match - Gicumbi

Al Merreikh scoring profile: very strong

Al Merreikh scores in 74% of matches (25 of 34 matches), while Gicumbi keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 matches).

Gicumbi scoring profile: strong

Gicumbi scores in 71% of matches (24 of 34 matches), while Al Merreikh keeps a clean sheet in 44% (15 of 34 matches).

41Goals scored (season)38
Al MerreikhGicumbi
24Goals conceded (season)54
Al MerreikhGicumbi
1.91Average goals in match2.71
Al MerreikhGicumbi
3Goals scored (last 5)7
Al MerreikhGicumbi
8Goals conceded (last 5)10
Al MerreikhGicumbi

How often they score at least...

74%1 goal71%
Al MerreikhGicumbi
29%2 goals29%
Al MerreikhGicumbi
15%3 goals9%
Al MerreikhGicumbi
3%4 goals3%
Al MerreikhGicumbi

How often they concede at least...

56%1 goal82%
Al MerreikhGicumbi
12%2 goals47%
Al MerreikhGicumbi
3%3 goals21%
Al MerreikhGicumbi
0%4 goals6%
Al MerreikhGicumbi

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

46%
League average

Goal patterns

12%BTTS at half-time35%
Al MerreikhGicumbi
0%BTTS in both halves9%
Al MerreikhGicumbi
15%Scored in both halves18%
Al MerreikhGicumbi

BTTS and goal count

24%Min. 3 goals and BTTS41%
Al MerreikhGicumbi
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
Al MerreikhGicumbi
60%BTTS - last 580%
Al MerreikhGicumbi

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

53%Min. 1 goal before half-time76%
Al MerreikhGicumbi
18%Min. 2 goals before half-time47%
Al MerreikhGicumbi
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time15%
Al MerreikhGicumbi

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
Al MerreikhGicumbi
35%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
Al MerreikhGicumbi
12%Min. 3 goals after half-time9%
Al MerreikhGicumbi

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Al Merreikh is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.44 pts / match - Al Merreikh · 1 pts / match - Gicumbi

Al Merreikh - half-time state
29% leading56% draw15% trailing
Gicumbi - half-time state
18% leading47% draw35% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.44Points per match (1st half)1
Al MerreikhGicumbi
0.41Goals scored (1st half)0.59
Al MerreikhGicumbi
0.32Goals conceded (1st half)0.79
Al MerreikhGicumbi
0.74Average goals (1st half)1.38
Al MerreikhGicumbi
74%Clean sheet before half-time38%
Al MerreikhGicumbi
62%No goal before half-time50%
Al MerreikhGicumbi

After half-time (2nd half)

1.53Points per match (2nd half)0.97
Al MerreikhGicumbi
0.79Goals scored (2nd half)0.53
Al MerreikhGicumbi
0.38Goals conceded (2nd half)0.79
Al MerreikhGicumbi
1.18Average goals (2nd half)1.32
Al MerreikhGicumbi
68%Clean sheet after half-time38%
Al MerreikhGicumbi
50%No goal after half-time62%
Al MerreikhGicumbi

Al Merreikh - second-half results

38% W38% R24% P
49
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
52
Second-half points
+14
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.44
PPG before half-time
Lead holding162%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Gicumbi - second-half results

18% W44% R38% P
34
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
33
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding161%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Al Merreikh - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.40
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.41.2
Average goals in match0.61.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-1-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Gicumbi - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.201.40
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match1.40.6
Average goals in match2.01.4
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet0%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference-4+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Al Merreikh
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
5
2
16-30
7
6
31-45
9
2
46-60
7
4
61-75
11
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Gicumbi
ScoredConceded
5
11
0-15
6
7
16-30
9
9
31-45
2
7
46-60
8
8
61-75
8
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.31
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
109%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+30%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
53%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Al Merreikh

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.31
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-17.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
0.00
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
108%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
71%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-1.54
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Gicumbi

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.40
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.39
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
112%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
142%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.08
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).

Teams vs league

Al MerreikhLigaGicumbi
Average goals in match 1.912.12 2.71
Both teams scored 41%46% 59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 32%38% 50%
Clean sheets 44%34% 18%
Goal before half-time 53%61% 76%
Goal after half-time 71%70% 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.12
Average goals per match
46%
Both teams scored
38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
34%
Clean sheets
1.12
Home goals / match
1.00
Away goals / match
+12%
Home attack advantage
+11%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Al Merreikh 1 - 0 - 0 Gicumbi. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Al Merreikh vs Gicumbi?

The National Soccer League match finished Al Merreikh 1:0 Gicumbi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Al Merreikh vs Gicumbi?

Al Merreikh score 1.21 goals per game on average and Gicumbi 1.12. The National Soccer League average is 2.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Al Merreikh's matches and 59% of Gicumbi's.

What form are Al Merreikh and Gicumbi in?

Over the last 5 games Al Merreikh have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Gicumbi 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Merreikh vs Gicumbi?

The statistical background for Al Merreikh vs Gicumbi — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.