Al Merreikh vs Police: match statistics
The match promises to be tightly contested, pointing towards a draw. Al Merreikh displays impressive home form with an 83% win rate and a five-match winning streak at home; however, Police leads the table with an excellent away defensive record (71% clean sheets, only 0.29 goals conceded on average). The hosts average 1.33 goals per home game, but Police fails to score in 57% of away matches, indicating a cautious tactical approach. A key factor is Police's tendency to draw 43% of their away fixtures, which, combined with their solid defense and possession advantage (62%), suggests a stalemate scenario. While the xG balance favors the hosts slightly (1.32 vs 0.98), the visitors' outstanding defensive organization should neutralize this margin.
Al Merreikh vs Police: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Al Merreikh played against Police in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The game was played on January 8, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Al Merreikh has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Police has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Al Merreikh scores 1.17 goals per game and allows 0.50. Police scores 1.13 and allows 0.40. Games in this league average 1.97 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 25% of Al Merreikh's games and 33% of Police's. The Over 2.5 rates are 25% and 27%, compared with league averages of 39% for BTTS and 32% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Al Merreikh has the higher season xG average, 1.33 to 1.13 per game. Al Merreikh takes 8.7 shots per game, while Police takes 6.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Al Merreikh leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Police leads at halftime in 47% and scores 0.53 after halftime.
When the teams score
Al Merreikh's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). For Police, it is minutes 16-30 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
National Soccer League games average 1.97 goals. Both teams score in 39% of games, and 32% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be tightly contested, pointing towards a draw. Al Merreikh displays impressive home form with an 83% win rate and a five-match winning streak at home; however, Police leads the table with an excellent away defensive record (71% clean sheets, only 0.29 goals conceded on average). The hosts average 1.33 goals per home game, but Police fails to score in 57% of away matches, indicating a cautious tactical approach. A key factor is Police's tendency to draw 43% of their away fixtures, which, combined with their solid defense and possession advantage (62%), suggests a stalemate scenario. While the xG balance favors the hosts slightly (1.32 vs 0.98), the visitors' outstanding defensive organization should neutralize this margin.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Al Merreikh | Police | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Al Merreikh is 30% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / game - Al Merreikh · 2 pts / game - Police
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Police is 25% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.5 goals / game - Al Merreikh · 0.4 goals / game - Police
Al Merreikh scores in 75% of games (9 of 12 meczów), while Police keeps a clean sheet in 60% (9 of 15 meczów).
Police scores in 73% of games (11 of 15 meczów), while Al Merreikh keeps a clean sheet in 58% (7 of 12 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Merreikh
Over / Under - Police
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Police is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.58 pts / game - Al Merreikh · 1.93 pts / game - Police
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Merreikh - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 75%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Police - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 47% of games and wins 60%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Al Merreikh
Police
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Al Merreikh | Liga | Police | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.67 | 1.97 | ▼ 1.53 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 39% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 32% | ▼ 27% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 58% | 37% | ▲ 60% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 61% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 58% | 67% | • 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Al MerreikhGoalObino Chisala
FAQ
What was the result of Al Merreikh vs Police?
The National Soccer League match finished Al Merreikh 1:1 Police. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Merreikh vs Police?
Al Merreikh score 1.17 goals per game on average and Police 1.13. The National Soccer League average is 1.97 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 32% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Al Merreikh's matches and 33% of Police's.
What form are Al Merreikh and Police in?
Over the last 5 games Al Merreikh have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Police 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Merreikh vs Police?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.