Al Nassr vs Al Ahli: match statistics
Al Nassr vs Al Ahli: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Nassr play Al Ahli in Professional League (Saudi Arabia). The match date is 29 April 2026 at 20:00. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Al Nassr: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Al Ahli: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Nassr scores 2.68 and concedes 0.82 goals per match. Al Ahli scores 2.09 and concedes 0.74. League average: 3.01 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Nassr 50%, Al Ahli 47%. Over 2.5: Al Nassr 65%, Al Ahli 53%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Al Nassr has higher xG: 2.07 vs 1.58. Al Nassr: 17.9 shots per match, Al Ahli: 12.9.
Match halves
Al Nassr: half-time lead 65%, second-half goals 1.59. Al Ahli: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.18.
Goals by minute
Al Nassr: 76-90+ (29 goals). Al Ahli: 76-90+ (18 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Professional League: 3.01 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Al Nassr are the clear favorites: at home they have won 93% of matches, score an average of 2.79 goals per game and register 8.21 shots on target, while Al Ahli score 1.43 goals on average away with 4.64 shots on target. The gap in chance quality is confirmed by xG — Al Nassr average 2.26 xG at home versus Al Ahli’s 1.46 xG on the road, indicating higher value of chances created by the hosts. Both teams are in good form, but the hosts are more decisive: Al Nassr have won 5/5 recent matches scoring 17 goals, whereas Al Ahli have 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5, scoring 7 goals. The visitors’ strength is defensive — Al Ahli concede only 0.57 goals away and keep 71% clean sheets on the road compared to 0.71 goals conceded and 50% clean sheets for Al Nassr at home, so I expect a controlled win for the hosts.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Nassr | Al Ahli | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Al Ahli is 50% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Al Nassr · 3 pts / match - Al Ahli
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Nassr is 28% better for: goals scored per match.
2.68 goals / match - Al Nassr · 2.09 goals / match - Al Ahli
Al Ahli is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.82 goals / match - Al Nassr · 0.74 goals / match - Al Ahli
Al Nassr scores in 100% of matches (34 of 34 matches), while Al Ahli keeps a clean sheet in 50% (17 of 34 matches).
Al Ahli scores in 91% of matches (31 of 34 matches), while Al Nassr keeps a clean sheet in 50% (17 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Al Nassr
Over / Under — Al Ahli
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Nassr is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.24 pts / match - Al Nassr · 1.88 pts / match - Al Ahli
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Nassr - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 65% of matches and wins 82%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Al Ahli - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 74%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +9 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (29 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +22 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +12 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Nassr
Al Ahli
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Professional League).
Teams vs league
| Al Nassr | Liga | Al Ahli | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.50 | 3.01 | ▼ 2.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 58% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 56% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 23% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 75% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 80% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Al Nassr 0 - 0 - 1 Al Ahli. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Nassr vs Al Ahli?
The Professional League match finished Al Nassr 2:0 Al Ahli. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Nassr vs Al Ahli?
Al Nassr score 2.68 goals per game on average and Al Ahli 2.09. The Professional League average is 3.01 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Al Nassr's matches and 47% of Al Ahli's.
What form are Al Nassr and Al Ahli in?
Over the last 5 games Al Nassr have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Al Ahli 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Nassr vs Al Ahli?
The statistical background for Al Nassr vs Al Ahli — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.