Al Nassr vs Al Hilal: match statistics
Al Nassr vs Al Hilal: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Al Nassr played against Al Hilal in Professional League (Saudi Arabia). The game was played on May 12, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Al Nassr has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Al Hilal has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Al Nassr scores 2.69 goals per game and allows 0.81. Al Hilal scores 2.61 and allows 0.84. Games in this league average 3.03 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 47% of Al Nassr's games and 55% of Al Hilal's. The Over 2.5 rates are 66% and 65%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 57% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Al Nassr has the higher season xG average, 2.10 to 1.99 per game. Al Nassr takes 18.3 shots per game, while Al Hilal takes 16.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Al Nassr leads at halftime in 63% of its games and scores 1.59 goals per game after halftime. Al Hilal leads at halftime in 65% and scores 1.35 after halftime.
When the teams score
Al Nassr's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (28 goals). For Al Hilal, it is minutes 31-45+ (22 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Professional League games average 3.03 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 57% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Nassr has a clear advantage on paper: at home they have won 93% of matches and conceded only 0.67 goals per game on average, with an average of 2.73 goals scored at home and xG for 2.17. Al Hilal are strong (2nd position and 73% away wins, undefeated away), but they concede 1.0 goal on average away and have a lower clean sheet rate (40%). In the last 5 matches Al Nassr scored 16 goals (3.2 per game) while conceding 6, whereas Al Hilal scored 11 goals (2.2 per game) and conceded 5, which favors the hosts’ superior current scoring form. Additionally Al Nassr attempt more shots (18.67 per game and 7.87 on target at home) than Al Hilal away (16.87 and 7.33), and the higher xG (2.17 vs 1.99) indicates better quality chances. Considering home advantage, higher clean sheet rate (53% vs 40%) and the xG edge, I favor an Al Nassr win with a probability of around 60%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal statistics and recent form strongly favor BTTS: Al Nassr has seasonal BTTS 50.0% and 60.0% in the last 5 matches, while Al Hilal has 60.0% seasonally and 60.0% in their last five, versus a league average of 59.0%. Both offenses and xG indicate goals from both sides: Al Nassr scores on average 2.44 goals at home with xG 1.99; Al Hilal scores 2.8 goals away with xG 1.99. Combined xG is about 3.98, suggesting close to 4 expected goals. Additionally, Al Hilal has had 0.0% matches without scoring this season, and Al Nassr failed to score at home in only 6.0% of appearances, so the probability of one side not scoring is low. A counterargument is that Al Nassr has 50.0% clean sheets at home and concedes on average 0.79 xG against, which reduces the opponent’s scoring chance; however, shots on target (6.81 vs 7.33) and Al Hilal’s higher efficiency (17.0% conversion rate) maintain the BTTS scenario advantage. Therefore I tip BTTS - Yes with an estimated probability of around 70% versus 30% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams exhibit strong offensive output: season percentages of matches over 1.5 goals are 81% for Al Nassr and 93% for Al Hilal, providing a solid signal for Over 1.5. Based on xG I estimate expected goals as (1.99 + 1.13)/2 = 1.56 for Al Nassr and (1.99 + 0.79)/2 = 1.39 for Al Hilal, totaling 2.95 goals, which further supports the Over market. In the last 5 matches Al Nassr averaged 3.2 goals, Al Hilal 2.2 goals, and both teams have 80% of recent five-game samples with Over 2.5, so Over 2.5 also has strong backing (estimated ~68%). Additionally, season Over 2.5 percentages are 63% for the home side and 67% for the away side, confirming a high probability of at least three goals. In summary, the strongest signal from the data is Over 1.5 (I recommend betting Over 1.5), with an expected ~2.95 goals in the match.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Al Nassr led at the break in 12 matches (75%), averaging 1.31 goals at half-time and conceding only 0.31, while Al Hilal averages 1.2 scored and 0.53 conceded by the break. This indicates a strong home emphasis in the first 45 minutes: Al Nassr scored 12 goals in the 31–45 minute window and have 69% clean sheets at half-time, so taking the lead at the break is typical for them. However, Al Hilal are more dangerous after the break — they average 1.6 goals in the second half and record 73% wins in second halves, increasing their chance of a turnaround. Both teams have identical offensive xG at 1.99, but Al Nassr’s defense concedes less xG (0.79 vs. Al Hilal’s 1.13), so I expect the hosts are more likely to hold their lead. Therefore the most likely scenario is Al Nassr leading at half-time and winning Full-Time — 1/1 (36%), with an alternative 1/X (18%) if Hilal manage to level in the second half.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Al Nassr | Al Hilal | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Al Hilal is 8% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / game - Al Nassr · 2.6 pts / game - Al Hilal
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Nassr scores in 100% of games (32 of 32 meczów), while Al Hilal keeps a clean sheet in 45% (14 of 31 meczów).
Al Hilal scores in 97% of games (30 of 31 meczów), while Al Nassr keeps a clean sheet in 53% (17 of 32 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Nassr
Over / Under - Al Hilal
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Nassr - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 63% of games and wins 84%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Al Hilal - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 65% of games and wins 74%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +7 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (28 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +22 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (22 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +13 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Al Nassr
Al Hilal
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Professional League).
Teams vs league
| Al Nassr | Liga | Al Hilal | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.50 | 3.03 | ▲ 3.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 59% | ▼ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 66% | 57% | ▲ 65% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 53% | 23% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 75% | ▲ 94% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 81% | • 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Al Nassr's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Al Hilal. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Nassr vs Al Hilal?
The Professional League match finished Al Nassr 1:1 Al Hilal. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Nassr vs Al Hilal?
Al Nassr score 2.69 goals per game on average and Al Hilal 2.61. The Professional League average is 3.03 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Al Nassr's matches and 55% of Al Hilal's.
What form are Al Nassr and Al Hilal in?
Over the last 5 games Al Nassr have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Al Hilal 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Nassr vs Al Hilal?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.