Al Nejmeh vs Al Hikma: match statistics
Al Nejmeh vs Al Hikma: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Al Nejmeh played against Al Hikma in Lebanese Premier League (Lebanon). The game was played on May 15, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Al Nejmeh has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Al Hikma has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Al Nejmeh scores 1.81 goals per game and allows 0.56. Al Hikma scores 1.13 and allows 1.27. Games in this league average 2.21 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 38% of Al Nejmeh's games and 40% of Al Hikma's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 53%, compared with league averages of 31% for BTTS and 39% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Al Nejmeh has the higher season xG average, 1.28 to 1.04 per game. Al Nejmeh takes 5.9 shots per game, while Al Hikma takes 6.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Al Nejmeh leads at halftime in 44% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Al Hikma leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.53 after halftime.
When the teams score
Al Nejmeh's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (8 goals). For Al Hikma, it is minutes 61-75 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Lebanese Premier League games average 2.21 goals. Both teams score in 31% of games, and 39% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win ('1'). Al Nejmeh holds a clear statistical edge: 9 wins this season versus 6 for Al Hikma, 28 goals scored compared to 17, and only 8 conceded versus 19 for the visitors. At home Al Nejmeh averages 2.0 goals per match and concedes just 0.29, keeping a clean sheet in 71% of games and winning 71%; their average xG per match is 1.08 versus 0.46 xG against, indicating control and high-quality chances. Al Hikma away average 0.75 goals per match, 1.13 conceded, a shot conversion rate of 12% and fail to score in 50% of away fixtures, which significantly limits their prospects. The difference in chance quality is evident: the hosts record on average 4.0 shots on target per match versus 2.75 for the visitors and have 55% possession compared to 48% for Al Hikma, and the hosts’ positive goal differential (+12 at home vs −3 for the visitors) confirms that the most likely outcome is an Al Nejmeh victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I select BTTS - No with a 70% probability versus 30% for Yes. Al Nejmeh averages 1.57 goals per game and records 4.29 shots on target with a 21% conversion rate, while Al Hikma manages just 0.75 goals per game, 2.75 shots on target and a 12% conversion. Seasonal BTTS rates show a disparity: the home side has BTTS in 57% of matches versus only 25% for the visitors, meaning Al Hikma do not participate in Goal/Goal in 75% of their games. Additionally, the league features a low BTTS level at 30% and a high clean sheet expected rate of 84%, and in the last 5 matches both teams produced BTTS in only 40% of cases, which weakens the signal for Yes. Considering Al Nejmeh’s xG advantage (1.13 vs 0.97) and superior efficiency, any goals are expected to come mainly from them, so the No scenario is more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate a total of approximately 2.23 goals in the match: about 1.37 for Al Nejmeh and 0.86 for Al Hikma, based on a combination of seasonal goal averages and xG. Al Nejmeh scores 1.57 goals per match on average and has an xG of 1.13, while Al Hikma averages 0.75 goals and has an xG of 0.97; additionally the hosts register 4.29 shots on target versus 2.75 for the visitors and have a higher conversion rate of 21% vs 12%, which boosts their real scoring potential. A Poisson model for total λ=2.23 yields roughly a 65% chance for Over 1.5, 39% for Over 2.5 and 19% for Over 3.5. Seasonal stats support this conclusion: Over 1.5 occurred for the hosts in 86% of matches and for the visitors in 75%, while Over 2.5 is less certain (71% hosts vs 38% visitors). Based on this, the best and strongest signal from the data is a bet on Over 1.5 (over), as it has the highest cumulative probability and aligns with the hosts' offensive advantage.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Al Nejmeh are the favorites: they average 1.57 goals per match versus 0.75 for Al Hikma, and their xG is 1.13 versus 0.97 for the visitors, indicating higher-quality created chances. The hosts led at the break in 3 matches (43%) and have a half-time goals average of 0.71 vs 0.5 for Al Hikma, so they open the scoring in the first half more often. Al Nejmeh average 4.29 shots on target with a conversion rate of 21%, while Al Hikma have 2.75 shots on target and 12% conversion; the hosts score an average of 0.86 goals after the break versus 0.25 for the visitors, which reduces Al Hikma’s chances of a turnaround. The hosts win 57% of matches, the visitors 25%; the visitors lead at half-time in only 25% and are trailing at the break in 50% of their games. Therefore I assess the scenario of Al Nejmeh maintaining their lead (1/1) as the strongest (~34%), while alternatives such as a draw at half-time/full-time (X/X ~12%) or the visitors winning having started with the lead (2/2 ~19%) have lower probabilities.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Al Nejmeh | Al Hikma | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 47% | 51% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.22 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.66 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Nejmeh is 60% better for: goals scored per game.
1.81 goals / game - Al Nejmeh · 1.13 goals / game - Al Hikma
Al Nejmeh is 127% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.56 goals / game - Al Nejmeh · 1.27 goals / game - Al Hikma
Al Nejmeh scores in 75% of games (12 of 16 meczów), while Al Hikma keeps a clean sheet in 47% (7 of 15 meczów).
Al Hikma scores in 73% of games (11 of 15 meczów), while Al Nejmeh keeps a clean sheet in 50% (8 of 16 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Nejmeh
Over / Under - Al Hikma
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Nejmeh is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.75 pts / game - Al Nejmeh · 1.27 pts / game - Al Hikma
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Nejmeh - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 56%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Al Hikma - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Al Nejmeh
Al Hikma
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Lebanese Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Al Nejmeh | Liga | Al Hikma | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.38 | 2.21 | ▲ 2.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 38% | 31% | ▲ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 39% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 42% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 63% | 56% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 73% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Al NejmehGoalAli Mohamad Kassas
- Al NejmehGoalAli Naim El-Fadl
Head-to-head
Record from Al Nejmeh's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Al Hikma. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Nejmeh vs Al Hikma?
The Lebanese Premier League match finished Al Nejmeh 2:1 Al Hikma. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Nejmeh vs Al Hikma?
Al Nejmeh score 1.81 goals per game on average and Al Hikma 1.13. The Lebanese Premier League average is 2.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Al Nejmeh's matches and 40% of Al Hikma's.
What form are Al Nejmeh and Al Hikma in?
Over the last 5 games Al Nejmeh have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Al Hikma 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Nejmeh vs Al Hikma?
The statistical background for Al Nejmeh vs Al Hikma — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.