Al Rayyan vs Umm Salal: match statistics
Al Rayyan vs Umm Salal: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Al Rayyan played against Umm Salal in Stars League (Qatar). The game was played on April 8, 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Recent form
Al Rayyan has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Umm Salal has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Al Rayyan scores 1.95 goals per game and allows 1.60. Umm Salal scores 1.80 and allows 2.50. Games in this league average 3.32 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 80% of Al Rayyan's games and 70% of Umm Salal's. The Over 2.5 rates are 70% and 85%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 64% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Al Rayyan has the higher season xG average, 1.62 to 1.34 per game. Al Rayyan takes 14.0 shots per game, while Umm Salal takes 11.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Al Rayyan leads at halftime in 35% of its games and scores 1.05 goals per game after halftime. Umm Salal leads at halftime in 40% and scores 0.95 after halftime.
When the teams score
Al Rayyan's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (16 goals). For Umm Salal, it is minutes 31-45+ (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Stars League games average 3.32 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 64% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win (Al Rayyan). At home Al Rayyan scores 1.44 goals and concedes 1.22 per match, with home xG 1.58 vs xG against 1.23, indicating a positive chance-creation balance and superior defensive control. Umm Salal away scores an average of 2.00 goals but concedes as many as 2.40 per match (xG against 2.26) and has a 70% away loss rate, which significantly undermines their prospects. Additionally, the hosts dominate possession (60% vs 38%), attempt more shots (13.89 vs 11.1) and slightly more on-target (4.67 vs 4.3), despite the visitors having a higher shot conversion rate (18% vs 10%). Both teams average 1.6 points per match over the last 5 fixtures, but Al Rayyan’s superior defensive metrics and xG (+2 home goal difference vs Umm Salal’s -4 away) lead me to favor the home side.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistics strongly support BTTS - Yes: both teams have a seasonal BTTS rate of 70%, versus a league average of 60%. In the last 5 matches Al Rayyan records BTTS in 80% (avg 2.0 scored, 1.4 conceded), and Umm Salal 60% (avg 2.4 scored, 1.6 conceded), indicating both sides regularly score and concede. Seasonal averages confirm vulnerability to goals: Al Rayyan scores 1.6 and concedes 2.6, Umm Salal scores 2.0 and concedes 2.4, with xG_for 1.39 vs 1.29 and xG_against 1.96 vs 2.26 — additionally Umm Salal have conceded 50 goals this season compared to Al Rayyan’s 32. The percentage of matches over 2.5 goals is 80% (home) and 90% (away), and the over2.5 + BTTS combination occurs in 70% of both teams’ fixtures; both teams have only 20% clean sheets this season. Given these figures I tip BTTS - Yes with an estimated probability of 85% versus 15% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model projects a total of approximately 3.46 goals: 1.83 for Al Rayyan and 1.63 for Umm Salal, calculated as the average of the team’s attacking xG and opponent xG ((1.39+2.26)/2 ≈ 1.83 for the home side; (1.29+1.96)/2 ≈ 1.63 for the visitors). Seasonal indicators strongly support goals: Over 1.5 occurred in 90% of matches for both teams, while Over 2.5 occurred in 80% of Al Rayyan’s games and 90% of Umm Salal’s. Additionally, both teams have BTTS at 70% and the Over 2.5 + BTTS combination has appeared in 70% of cases; in the last 5 matches the home team averaged 2.0 scored and 1.4 conceded (3.4 total), and the visitors 2.4 and 1.6 (4.0 total), which increases the likelihood of goal exchanges. Considering the above and the league average of 3.32 goals per game, I recommend as the strongest signal a play on Over 2.5 (I estimate ≈84% probability for Over 2.5; Over 1.5 ≈96%; Over 3.5 ≈56%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
First-half statistics show Umm Salal led at the break in 50% of the season’s matches versus 30% for Al Rayyan, while Al Rayyan trailed at the break in 40% of matches and as much as 60% in the last five games. At the same time Al Rayyan have very strong second halves: over the last five matches they averaged 2.4 points after the break and won the second half in 80% of cases. Umm Salal, by contrast, have a negative second-half goal differential (-9) and frequently concede after the break, particularly late — conceding 9 goals in minutes 76–90, whereas Al Rayyan scored 5 in that period. Additionally, xG shows similar chance production: xG 1.39 for Al Rayyan versus 1.29 for Umm Salal, with xG against 1.96 vs 2.26, which points to a match with goals and the possibility of a turnaround. On this basis the strongest signal is Umm Salal leading at half-time and Al Rayyan winning full-time (the 2/1 scenario), so that is my pick.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Al Rayyan | Umm Salal | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Umm Salal is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Al Rayyan · 1.6 pts / game - Umm Salal
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Rayyan is 8% better for: goals scored per game.
1.95 goals / game - Al Rayyan · 1.8 goals / game - Umm Salal
Al Rayyan is 56% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.6 goals / game - Al Rayyan · 2.5 goals / game - Umm Salal
Al Rayyan scores in 95% of games (19 of 20 meczów), while Umm Salal keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 meczów).
Umm Salal scores in 85% of games (17 of 20 meczów), while Al Rayyan keeps a clean sheet in 15% (3 of 20 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Rayyan
Over / Under - Umm Salal
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Umm Salal is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / game - Al Rayyan · 1.55 pts / game - Umm Salal
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Rayyan - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 45%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Umm Salal - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 30%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.9 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Al Rayyan
Umm Salal
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Stars League).
Teams vs league
| Al Rayyan | Liga | Umm Salal | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.55 | 3.32 | ▲ 4.30 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 80% | 60% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 70% | 64% | ▲ 85% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 22% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 71% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 95% | 87% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Al Rayyan's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Umm Salal. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Rayyan vs Umm Salal?
The Stars League match finished Al Rayyan 3:0 Umm Salal. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Rayyan vs Umm Salal?
Al Rayyan score 1.95 goals per game on average and Umm Salal 1.80. The Stars League average is 3.32 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Al Rayyan's matches and 70% of Umm Salal's.
What form are Al Rayyan and Umm Salal in?
Over the last 5 games Al Rayyan have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Umm Salal 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Rayyan vs Umm Salal?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Al Rayyan vs Umm Salal: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.