Al Ula vs Al Raed: match statistics
Al Ula vs Al Raed: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Al Ula played against Al Raed in First Division (Saudi Arabia). The game was played on May 2, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Al Ula has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Al Raed has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Al Ula scores 2.16 goals per game and allows 0.87. Al Raed scores 1.81 and allows 1.32. Games in this league average 2.93 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 61% of Al Ula's games and 65% of Al Raed's. The Over 2.5 rates are 68% and 55%, compared with league averages of 62% for BTTS and 60% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Al Raed has the higher season xG average, 1.62 to 1.60 per game. Al Ula takes 13.8 shots per game, while Al Raed takes 13.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Al Ula leads at halftime in 61% of its games and scores 0.90 goals per game after halftime. Al Raed leads at halftime in 42% and scores 1.03 after halftime.
When the teams score
Al Ula's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (23 goals). For Al Raed, it is minutes 76-90+ (16 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
First Division games average 2.93 goals. Both teams score in 62% of games, and 60% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Ula holds a clear offensive and overall advantage: they have scored 67 goals this season and average 2.27 goals per home match with an average xG of 1.74, while Al Raed have 56 goals this season and average 1.6 goals away with xG 1.68. Defensively the hosts also look stronger – Al Ula concede 0.8 goals per home match on average (xG against 0.99), whereas Al Raed concede 1.4 goals on the road (xG against 1.25), reflected in goal difference: +22 for Al Ula at home versus +3 for Al Raed away. Al Ula also generates more quality chances: on average 15.4 shots and 6.13 on target at home with a 15% conversion rate, while the visitors average 13.33 shots and 5.13 on target with a 12% conversion. The hosts fail to score in only 7% of home games, compared to Al Raed’s 20% rate of being held scoreless away. In form over the last 5 matches Al Ula have 9 goals and average 2 points per game, Al Raed 8 goals and 1.4 points per game; additionally the hosts win 60% of home matches versus 33% away wins for the visitors. Based on this, I project a home win as the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes because signals from both teams are clear: Al Ula has a seasonal BTTS rate of 75% (last 5 matches 80%), Al Raed has a seasonal BTTS 53% (last 5 matches 60%), and the league BTTS level is 63%. Goal statistics support this direction: Al Ula scores 2.0 and concedes 1.25 per match, Al Raed scores 1.6 and concedes 1.4; in the last 5 matches Al Ula scored 9 and conceded 5, while Al Raed scored 8 and conceded 6. xG values show similar attacking strength and defensive vulnerability: average xG 1.57 for Al Ula and 1.68 for Al Raed, with xG against 1.10 (Al Ula) and 1.25 (Al Raed), suggesting chances created from both sides. Additionally, Al Ula has only 19% clean sheets versus 33% for Al Raed, the home side has 63% of matches over 2.5 goals, and the over2.5 + BTTS combination for Al Ula is 56%, which increases the likelihood of goal exchange. Considering the specific numbers (75% vs 53%, last 5: 80% vs 60%, league 63%, xG and goals averages), I assess BTTS - Yes at 72% and No at 28% as the most justified prediction.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model projects total expected goals of 2.80: Al Ula 1.41 (attacking xG 1.57 vs away defense 1.25) and Al Raed 1.39 (attacking xG 1.68 vs home defense 1.10). Seasonally Al Ula records Over 1.5 in 81% of matches, Al Raed in 73% (avg ~77%), and BTTS is 75% for home teams and 53% for away teams (league 63%), therefore I assign a high probability for Over 1.5 = 82%. On the 2.5 line seasonal rates are 63% (Al Ula) vs 47% (Al Raed) i.e. average 55%, but in the last 5 matches the teams have scored 9 and 8 goals respectively (1.8 and 1.6 per match), which raises the assessment for Over 2.5 to about 62%. For the 3.5 line seasonal values are 38% and 33% (avg ~36%), and the goals conceded balance 27 (Al Ula) vs 41 (Al Raed) indicates risk of higher scores, but not enough to favor Over 3.5 (Under 64%). In summary, the strongest signal from the data is Over 1.5 due to expected xG 2.80, high Over 1.5 shares (81%/73%) and strong BTTS indicators, hence I recommend the Over on 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a home win at full-time (X/1), because Al Ula has a clear advantage in the second half: they score an average of 1.31 goals after the break versus Al Raed’s 0.73 and have a positive second-half goal difference of +11 compared to Al Raed’s -1. The first half is more balanced — Al Ula led at the break in 44% of matches, Al Raed in 40%, and half-time draws occur in 25% (home) and 33% (away) respectively, which favors tight 45 minutes and draw scores at the break. Additionally, Al Ula scores most frequently after the 75th minute (10 goals in minutes 76–90) and have 88% of matches with over 0.5 goals in the second half versus 73% for Al Raed, demonstrating the ability to produce a turnaround after the break. Although match xG is similar (Al Ula 1.57 vs Al Raed 1.68), the home side’s better shot conversion rate of 15% versus 12% and higher average home points (1.75 vs 1.33) support an Al Ula win by full-time, hence X/1 as the strongest single signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Al Ula | Al Raed | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Al Ula is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Al Ula · 1.4 pts / game - Al Raed
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Ula is 19% better for: goals scored per game.
2.16 goals / game - Al Ula · 1.81 goals / game - Al Raed
Al Ula is 52% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.87 goals / game - Al Ula · 1.32 goals / game - Al Raed
Al Ula scores in 90% of games (28 of 31 meczów), while Al Raed keeps a clean sheet in 26% (8 of 31 meczów).
Al Raed scores in 84% of games (26 of 31 meczów), while Al Ula keeps a clean sheet in 35% (11 of 31 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Ula
Over / Under - Al Raed
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Ula is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.19 pts / game - Al Ula · 1.55 pts / game - Al Raed
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Ula - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 61% of games and wins 61%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Al Raed - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 42% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (23 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Al Ula
Al Raed
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| Al Ula | Liga | Al Raed | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 3.03 | 2.93 | ▲ 3.13 |
| Both teams scored | • 61% | 62% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 60% | ▼ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 21% | ▲ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | • 77% | 76% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 85% | ▼ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Al Ula's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Al Raed. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Ula vs Al Raed?
The First Division match finished Al Ula 2:1 Al Raed. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Ula vs Al Raed?
Al Ula score 2.16 goals per game on average and Al Raed 1.81. The First Division average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Al Ula's matches and 65% of Al Raed's.
What form are Al Ula and Al Raed in?
Over the last 5 games Al Ula have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Al Raed 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Ula vs Al Raed?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.