Alanyaspor vs Kayserispor: match statistics
Alanyaspor vs Kayserispor: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Alanyaspor played against Kayserispor in Süper Lig (Türkiye). The game was played on May 9, 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
Alanyaspor has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Kayserispor has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Alanyaspor scores 1.16 goals per game and allows 1.19. Kayserispor scores 0.75 and allows 1.81. Games in this league average 2.61 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 59% of Alanyaspor's games and 47% of Kayserispor's. The Over 2.5 rates are 44% and 47%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Alanyaspor has the higher season xG average, 1.37 to 1.33 per game. Alanyaspor takes 12.5 shots per game, while Kayserispor takes 12.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Alanyaspor leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 0.66 goals per game after halftime. Kayserispor leads at halftime in 3% and scores 0.69 after halftime.
When the teams score
Alanyaspor's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). For Kayserispor, it is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Süper Lig games average 2.61 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Alanyaspor holds a clear advantage in key home metrics: they average 1.25 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per home match, with 50% of home games ending in a clean sheet, whereas Kayserispor average only 0.69 goals scored and 1.69 conceded on the road. The difference in chance quality also favors the hosts: Alanyaspor’s home xG is 1.48 versus visitors’ away xG of 1.20, while the average xG against Kayserispor away is 1.84, indicating greater defensive vulnerability for the guests. Additionally, Alanyaspor averages 4.44 shots on target per match versus Kayserispor’s 3.88 and has a higher conversion rate (9% vs 6%); season goal totals of 37 for Alanyaspor to 24 for Kayserispor further confirm the hosts’ offensive superiority. Recent form is weak for both sides: each team has scored 3 goals in their last 5 matches, with Alanyaspor earning 0.4 points per game in that span and Kayserispor 0.8 points, which slightly reduces the hosts’ edge. Considering Alanyaspor’s home record (31% home wins) against the visitors’ low away win rate (6%), I assess the probability of an Alanyaspor win at 65%, a draw at 20%, and a Kayserispor win at 15%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I rate BTTS as the more likely outcome, assigning 60% to “yes” (BTTS - Yes) and 40% to “no” (No Goal). Seasonal BTTS rates are 44% for Alanyaspor and 50% for Kayserispor, versus a league average of 55%, indicating a moderate scoring propensity for both sides. xG shows Alanyaspor generates 1.45 xG per match and Kayserispor 1.20 xG, with xG against at 1.36 and 1.84 respectively; combined with a low shot conversion rate (6.0%) this suggests scoring opportunities are created on both ends. Additionally, both teams rarely keep a clean sheet (25% and 19% this season) and concede on average 1.94 and 1.69 goals per match over the season; in the last 5 matches they concede 1.6 and 2.0 goals on average, which increases the likelihood both teams will score. Lower BTTS in the last 5 matches (40% and 20%) and a low goals-per-game in the last 5 (0.6 and 0.6) reduce confidence, hence a moderate stake on “yes.”
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-and-defensive-stats model prices expected goals at 1.65 for Alanyaspor (xG_for 1.45 vs xG_conceded Kayserispor 1.84) and 1.28 for Kayserispor (xG_for 1.20 vs xG_conceded Alanyaspor 1.36), totaling 2.93 goals. A Poisson distribution with mean 2.93 yields approximately a 79% chance of Over 1.5 goals and about 56% for Over 2.5 goals; this is supported by seasonal Over1.5 rates of 81% (home) and 75% (away) and Over2.5 at 56% vs 38%. Alanyaspor averages 13.5 shots and 3.75 on target per match, Kayserispor 10.69 shots and 3.88 on target, with a combined conversion rate of 6.0% for both, indicating realistic scoring potential. Both defenses are vulnerable: Alanyaspor concedes 1.94 goals at home, Kayserispor 1.69 away, and BTTS seasonally is 44% vs 50%, so the likelihood of goals from both sides is moderate. Consequently the strongest play is Over 1.5 (probability ~79%), while the 2.5 line (56%) and 3.5 (34%) are less convincing.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I expect a draw at Half-Time, because Alanyaspor averages only 0.13 goals by the break and Kayserispor 0.00, and the home side led at the break in only 6% of matches (guests 0%). In the second half the situation favors Alanyaspor: the home xG is 1.45 versus 1.20 for the visitors, while Kayserispor concedes 1.84 xG, so the hosts are creating clearly better chances. Additionally, Alanyaspor averages 13.5 shots per match versus 10.69 for Kayserispor and has 94% of matches with at least one goal after the break (guests 88%), and the hosts scored 8 goals in minutes 76–90 versus 3 for the visitors, indicating their propensity to decide games in the late stages. For these reasons the strongest signal is a Half-Time draw and a home win at Full-Time (X/1), while draw/draw (X/X) I treat as the second most likely scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Alanyaspor | Kayserispor | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Kayserispor is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - Alanyaspor · 0.8 pts / game - Kayserispor
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Alanyaspor is 55% better for: goals scored per game.
1.16 goals / game - Alanyaspor · 0.75 goals / game - Kayserispor
Alanyaspor is 52% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.19 goals / game - Alanyaspor · 1.81 goals / game - Kayserispor
Alanyaspor scores in 72% of games (23 of 32 meczów), while Kayserispor keeps a clean sheet in 22% (7 of 32 meczów).
Kayserispor scores in 59% of games (19 of 32 meczów), while Alanyaspor keeps a clean sheet in 31% (10 of 32 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Alanyaspor
Over / Under - Kayserispor
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Alanyaspor is 183% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / game - Alanyaspor · 0.53 pts / game - Kayserispor
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Alanyaspor - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 19%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Kayserispor - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 3% of games and wins 16%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Alanyaspor
Kayserispor
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Süper Lig).
Teams vs league
| Alanyaspor | Liga | Kayserispor | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.34 | 2.61 | • 2.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 55% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 51% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 28% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | • 66% | 67% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | • 78% | 78% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Alanyaspor's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Kayserispor. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Alanyaspor vs Kayserispor?
The Süper Lig match finished Alanyaspor 3:1 Kayserispor. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Alanyaspor vs Kayserispor?
Alanyaspor score 1.16 goals per game on average and Kayserispor 0.75. The Süper Lig average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Alanyaspor's matches and 47% of Kayserispor's.
What form are Alanyaspor and Kayserispor in?
Over the last 5 games Alanyaspor have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Kayserispor 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Alanyaspor vs Kayserispor?
The statistical background for Alanyaspor vs Kayserispor — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.