Italy - Serie C Group AGewiss StadiumData current as of October 15, 2026

AlbinoLeffe vs Novara: match statistics

Reasoning:

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AlbinoLeffe vs Novara: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

AlbinoLeffe plays Novara in Serie C Group A (Italy). The game is scheduled for October 18, 2026. Venue: Gewiss Stadium.

Recent form

AlbinoLeffe has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Novara has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.

Scoring records

AlbinoLeffe scores 1.56 goals per game and allows 1.44. Novara scores 0.89 and allows 1.33. Games in this league average 2.28 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 78% of AlbinoLeffe's games and 44% of Novara's. The Over 2.5 rates are 56% and 44%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

AlbinoLeffe has the higher season xG average, 1.49 to 1.35 per game. AlbinoLeffe takes 11.1 shots per game, while Novara takes 11.9.

First-half and second-half trends

AlbinoLeffe leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Novara leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.78 after halftime.

When the teams score

AlbinoLeffe's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). For Novara, it is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie C Group A games average 2.28 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.10)
(3.08)
(3.24)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.56Goals scored / game0.89
AlbinoLeffeNovara
1.44Goals allowed / game1.33
AlbinoLeffeNovara
45%Average possession43%
AlbinoLeffeNovara
3.89Shots on target / game3
AlbinoLeffeNovara

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.11Shots per game11.89
AlbinoLeffeNovara
3.89Shots on target3
AlbinoLeffeNovara
14%Shot conversion7.5%
AlbinoLeffeNovara
45%Possession43%
AlbinoLeffeNovara
1.49xG for1.35
AlbinoLeffeNovara
1.71xG against1.5
AlbinoLeffeNovara

Shooting quality

AlbinoLeffe: Counter-attackingNovara: Balanced
AlbinoLeffeNovara
Accuracy (shots on target)35%25%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

AlbinoLeffe is 40% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / game - AlbinoLeffe · 1 pts / game - Novara

AlbinoLeffe
LWDWL
Season result split
33% W33% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-3-3
1.33 pts / game · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-2-2
Last 5 at home
0-2-2
DLLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.49Opponent xG: 1.90BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%
Novara
DDLWL
Season result split
22% W33% D44% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-4
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Last 5 away
2-1-1
LWDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.35Opponent xG: 1.48BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

AlbinoLeffe is 75% better for: goals scored per game.

1.56 goals / game - AlbinoLeffe · 0.89 goals / game - Novara

Novara is 8% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.44 goals / game - AlbinoLeffe · 1.33 goals / game - Novara

AlbinoLeffe scoring profile: very strong

AlbinoLeffe scores in 78% of games (7 of 9 games), while Novara keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 games).

Novara scoring profile: strong

Novara scores in 44% of games (4 of 9 games), while AlbinoLeffe keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 games).

14Goals scored (season)8
AlbinoLeffeNovara
13Goals conceded (season)12
AlbinoLeffeNovara
3Average goals per game2.22
AlbinoLeffeNovara
11Goals scored (last 5)4
AlbinoLeffeNovara
10Goals conceded (last 5)7
AlbinoLeffeNovara

How often they score at least...

78%1 goal44%
AlbinoLeffeNovara
44%2 goals44%
AlbinoLeffeNovara
11%3 goals0%
AlbinoLeffeNovara
11%4 goals0%
AlbinoLeffeNovara

How often they concede at least...

89%1 goal89%
AlbinoLeffeNovara
33%2 goals44%
AlbinoLeffeNovara
22%3 goals0%
AlbinoLeffeNovara
0%4 goals0%
AlbinoLeffeNovara

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

22%BTTS at half-time11%
AlbinoLeffeNovara
11%BTTS in both halves11%
AlbinoLeffeNovara
33%Scored in both halves11%
AlbinoLeffeNovara

BTTS and goal count

56%Min. 3 goals and BTTS44%
AlbinoLeffeNovara
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
AlbinoLeffeNovara
100%BTTS - last 540%
AlbinoLeffeNovara

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time78%
AlbinoLeffeNovara
44%Min. 2 goals before half-time11%
AlbinoLeffeNovara
22%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
AlbinoLeffeNovara

2nd half

78%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
AlbinoLeffeNovara
56%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
AlbinoLeffeNovara
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time22%
AlbinoLeffeNovara

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

AlbinoLeffe is 336% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.44 pts / game - AlbinoLeffe · 0.33 pts / game - Novara

AlbinoLeffe - half-time state
33% leading44% draw22% trailing
Novara - half-time state
0% leading33% draw67% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.44Points per game (1st half)0.33
AlbinoLeffeNovara
0.89Goals scored (1st half)0.11
AlbinoLeffeNovara
0.44Goals conceded (1st half)0.78
AlbinoLeffeNovara
1.33Average goals (1st half)0.89
AlbinoLeffeNovara
67%Clean sheet before half-time22%
AlbinoLeffeNovara
44%No goal before half-time89%
AlbinoLeffeNovara

After half-time (2nd half)

0.89Points per game (2nd half)1.44
AlbinoLeffeNovara
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)0.78
AlbinoLeffeNovara
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.56
AlbinoLeffeNovara
1.67Average goals (2nd half)1.33
AlbinoLeffeNovara
33%Clean sheet after half-time44%
AlbinoLeffeNovara
44%No goal after half-time56%
AlbinoLeffeNovara

AlbinoLeffe - second-half results

11% W56% D33% L
13
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.44
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.6

Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Novara - second-half results

33% W44% D22% L
3
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.33
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

AlbinoLeffe - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.000.40
Goals scored / game1.40.8
Goals allowed / game0.41.6
Average goals per game1.82.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet80%0%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+5-4
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 7
Novara - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.401.00
Goals scored / game0.20.6
Goals allowed / game0.80.6
Average goals per game1.01.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-30
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

AlbinoLeffe
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
3
0
16-30
2
2
31-45
3
4
46-60
2
1
61-75
1
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Novara
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
0
2
16-30
0
3
31-45
2
1
46-60
1
0
61-75
4
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.61
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.4 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
114%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
61%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+72%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
34%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

AlbinoLeffe

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.22
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.34
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.27
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
131%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
132%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
7% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
7%

Novara

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.15
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.46
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
82%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
112%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).

Teams vs league

AlbinoLeffeLigaNovara
Average goals per game▲ 3.002.28• 2.22
Both teams scored▲ 78%51%▼ 44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 56%47%▼ 44%
Clean sheets▼ 11%33%▼ 11%
Goal before half-time▲ 67%61%▲ 78%
Goal after half-time▲ 78%71%▼ 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.28
Average goals per game
51%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
33%
Clean sheets
1.19
Home goals / game
1.09
Away goals / game
+9%
Home attack advantage
+8%
Home defensive advantage
+2%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from AlbinoLeffe's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Novara. Games average 4.50 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

Novara
2 : 2
AlbinoLeffe
AlbinoLeffe
3 : 2
Novara

FAQ

When do AlbinoLeffe and Novara play?

AlbinoLeffe face Novara on October 18, 2026 in Serie C Group A at Gewiss Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between AlbinoLeffe and Novara?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches AlbinoLeffe won 1, Novara won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before AlbinoLeffe vs Novara?

AlbinoLeffe score 1.56 goals per game on average and Novara 0.89. The Serie C Group A average is 2.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 78% of AlbinoLeffe's matches and 44% of Novara's.

What form are AlbinoLeffe and Novara in?

Over the last 5 games AlbinoLeffe have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Novara 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AlbinoLeffe vs Novara?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for AlbinoLeffe vs Novara: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.