Aldershot Town vs Carlisle United: match statistics
Aldershot Town vs Carlisle United: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Aldershot Town played against Carlisle United in National League (England). The game was played on October 3, 2026. Venue: The EBB Stadium.. Final score: 1:3.
Recent form
Aldershot Town has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Carlisle United has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Aldershot Town scores 1.45 goals per game and allows 0.91. Carlisle United scores 1.82 and allows 1.73. Games in this league average 3.07 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 64% of Aldershot Town's games and 82% of Carlisle United's. The Over 2.5 rates are 36% and 55%, compared with league averages of 64% for BTTS and 60% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Carlisle United has the higher season xG average, 1.97 to 1.35 per game. Aldershot Town takes 9.4 shots per game, while Carlisle United takes 15.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Aldershot Town leads at halftime in 18% of its games and scores 0.73 goals per game after halftime. Carlisle United leads at halftime in 55% and scores 0.91 after halftime.
When the teams score
Aldershot Town's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). For Carlisle United, it is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
National League games average 3.07 goals. Both teams score in 64% of games, and 60% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Aldershot Town sit 5th and have won 3 of their last 5 matches, while Carlisle United, 20th in the table, have failed to win during that period and have lost 3 times. The hosts scored 9 goals and conceded 4 across those five matches, while the visitors netted 6 and conceded 11, clearly favouring Aldershot. At home, Aldershot average 2 goals per match and win 60% of their games, whereas Carlisle average 0.75 goals away and have yet to win. Although Carlisle’s away xG stands at 1.41 compared with Aldershot’s 1.32 at home, the visitors convert just 8% of their shots into goals, against 22% for the hosts. This difference in finishing, combined with Aldershot’s lower average of 0.8 goals conceded at home compared with Carlisle’s 1.25 away, points to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS - Yes has landed in 100% of Aldershot’s home matches and 75% of Carlisle’s away matches, compared with a league average of 65%. The hosts score an average of 2.5 goals at home and register 8.5 shots on target per match, making them very likely to find the net. Carlisle’s chances are boosted by the fact that Aldershot concede an average of 2.33 goals at home and are yet to keep a clean sheet there. However, caution is warranted, as the visitors score only 0.75 goals per away match and have failed to score in 25% of those games. Even so, Carlisle averaged 1.2 goals across their last five matches, with both teams scoring in 80% of them, which supports the BTTS - Yes pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Aldershot score an average of 2.5 goals at home, and 100% of their matches have gone over 1.5 goals; the figure is 75% in Carlisle’s away matches. The hosts average 8.5 shots on target compared with 3.0 for the visitors, pointing to a greater share of the projected 3.1 goals. Carlisle have conceded 11 goals in their last five matches, or 2.2 per game, although only 25% of their away matches have gone over 2.5 goals. Therefore, Over 1.5 is a stronger pick than higher lines: it does not require as high a scoreline and is supported by both Aldershot’s attacking output and the visitors’ defensive record.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Although Aldershot led at the break in 4 of their 6 home matches, they failed to score in the first half in 4 of their last 5 games. Carlisle were level at half-time in 3 of their last 5 matches, making a draw after 45 minutes slightly more likely than a home lead. After the break, the advantage shifts towards Aldershot: they averaged 1.0 second-half goals in their last 5 matches, while Carlisle conceded an average of 1.6 over the same period. The hosts have won 3 of their last 5 matches, while the visitors have won none, and their average xG figures are 2.30 and 1.41, respectively. The strongest HT/FT pick is therefore a half-time draw followed by an Aldershot win, although the hosts’ strong starts at home mean that an Aldershot lead at the break remains almost equally likely.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Aldershot Town | Carlisle United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 48% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Aldershot Town is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Aldershot Town · 1 pts / game - Carlisle United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Carlisle United is 26% better for: goals scored per game.
1.45 goals / game - Aldershot Town · 1.82 goals / game - Carlisle United
Aldershot Town is 90% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.91 goals / game - Aldershot Town · 1.73 goals / game - Carlisle United
Aldershot Town scores in 82% of games (9 of 11 games), while Carlisle United keeps a clean sheet in 9% (1 of 11 games).
Carlisle United scores in 91% of games (10 of 11 games), while Aldershot Town keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Aldershot Town
Over / Under - Carlisle United
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Carlisle United is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.09 pts / game - Aldershot Town · 1.91 pts / game - Carlisle United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aldershot Town - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 45%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Carlisle United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 55% of games and wins 27%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.8 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Aldershot Town
Carlisle United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Aldershot Town | Liga | Carlisle United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.36 | 3.07 | ▲ 3.55 |
| Both teams scored | • 64% | 64% | ▲ 82% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 36% | 60% | ▼ 55% |
| Clean sheets | • 18% | 18% | ▼ 9% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 55% | 72% | ▲ 91% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 87% | ▼ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Aldershot Town's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Carlisle United. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Aldershot Town vs Carlisle United?
The National League match finished Aldershot Town 1:3 Carlisle United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Aldershot Town and Carlisle United?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Aldershot Town won 0, Carlisle United won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Aldershot Town vs Carlisle United?
Aldershot Town score 1.45 goals per game on average and Carlisle United 1.82. The National League average is 3.07 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Aldershot Town's matches and 82% of Carlisle United's.
What form are Aldershot Town and Carlisle United in?
Over the last 5 games Aldershot Town have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Carlisle United 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aldershot Town vs Carlisle United?
The statistical background for Aldershot Town vs Carlisle United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.