Alianza Petrolera vs Independiente Medellín: match statistics
Alianza Petrolera vs Independiente Medellín: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Alianza Petrolera play Independiente Medellín in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match date is 19 April 2026 at 23:10. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Alianza Petrolera: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Independiente Medellín: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Alianza Petrolera scores 0.68 and concedes 1.42 goals per match. Independiente Medellín scores 1.37 and concedes 1.26. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Alianza Petrolera 42%, Independiente Medellín 68%. Over 2.5: Alianza Petrolera 32%, Independiente Medellín 58%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Independiente Medellín has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.12. Alianza Petrolera: 10.9 shots per match, Independiente Medellín: 14.6.
Match halves
Alianza Petrolera: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.32. Independiente Medellín: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.89.
Goals by minute
Alianza Petrolera: 31-45+ (4 goals). Independiente Medellín: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-2-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I predict a draw ('X'), because the quality of chances created is almost equal: Alianza has average xG 1.22 at home, while Independiente has xG 1.19 away, with nearly identical possession (49% vs 48%). The hosts concede only 0.86 goals per home match and keep 43% clean sheets, which favors low-scoring games and draws (Alianza records 57% draws at home), whereas the visitors have a weaker defense on the road – 1.38 goals conceded on average and only 13% of matches without conceding. Offensively Independiente are more effective (21 goals in the season and 1.25 goals away with an 11% conversion rate), while Alianza score on average 0.71 goals at home and have a lower conversion (~6%), limiting their ability to capitalize on chances. Additionally, in the last 5 matches Alianza earn on average 1.4 points per game versus 1.0 for Independiente, but the visitors have conceded as many as 10 goals in their last five fixtures, which increases result volatility. Considering the similar xG, the high number of home draws and the visitors' defensive issues, I assess the draw probability as highest (40%), with 35% for a home win and 25% for the away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Alianza Petrolera | Independiente Medellín | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 25% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Independiente Medellín is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Alianza Petrolera · 1.8 pts / match - Independiente Medellín
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Independiente Medellín is 101% better for: goals scored per match.
0.68 goals / match - Alianza Petrolera · 1.37 goals / match - Independiente Medellín
Independiente Medellín is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.42 goals / match - Alianza Petrolera · 1.26 goals / match - Independiente Medellín
Alianza Petrolera scores in 53% of matches (10 of 19 matches), while Independiente Medellín keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
Independiente Medellín scores in 89% of matches (17 of 19 matches), while Alianza Petrolera keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Alianza Petrolera
Over / Under — Independiente Medellín
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Alianza Petrolera is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / match - Alianza Petrolera · 0.84 pts / match - Independiente Medellín
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Alianza Petrolera - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 16%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Independiente Medellín - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Alianza Petrolera
Independiente Medellín
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Alianza Petrolera | Liga | Independiente Medellín | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.11 | 2.53 | ▲ 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 53% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 48% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 27% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 70% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 78% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Alianza Petrolera 0 - 2 - 0 Independiente Medellín. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Alianza Petrolera vs Independiente Medellín?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Alianza Petrolera 0:1 Independiente Medellín. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Alianza Petrolera and Independiente Medellín?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Alianza Petrolera won 0, Independiente Medellín won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Alianza Petrolera vs Independiente Medellín?
Alianza Petrolera score 0.68 goals per game on average and Independiente Medellín 1.37. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Alianza Petrolera's matches and 68% of Independiente Medellín's.
What form are Alianza Petrolera and Independiente Medellín in?
Over the last 5 games Alianza Petrolera have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Independiente Medellín 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Alianza Petrolera vs Independiente Medellín?
The statistical background for Alianza Petrolera vs Independiente Medellín — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.