El Salvador - Salvadoran Primera DivisiónEstadio CuscatlánData current as of September 23, 2026

Alianza vs INCA-Aruba: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Alianza vs INCA-Aruba: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Alianza plays INCA-Aruba in Salvadoran Primera División (El Salvador). The game is scheduled for September 26, 2026. Venue: Estadio Cuscatlán.

Recent form

Alianza has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. INCA-Aruba has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Alianza scores 1.50 goals per game and allows 1.38. INCA-Aruba scores 0.73 and allows 1.82. Games in this league average 2.55 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of Alianza's games and 45% of INCA-Aruba's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 45%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Alianza has the higher season xG average, 1.50 to 1.32 per game. Alianza takes 9.6 shots per game, while INCA-Aruba takes 8.8.

First-half and second-half trends

Alianza leads at halftime in 13% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. INCA-Aruba leads at halftime in 9% and scores 0.64 after halftime.

When the teams score

Alianza's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For INCA-Aruba, it is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Salvadoran Primera División games average 2.55 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

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Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.5Goals scored / game0.73
AlianzaINCA-Aruba
1.38Goals allowed / game1.82
AlianzaINCA-Aruba
51%Average possession44%
AlianzaINCA-Aruba
4.63Shots on target / game4
AlianzaINCA-Aruba

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

9.63Shots per game8.82
AlianzaINCA-Aruba
4.63Shots on target4
AlianzaINCA-Aruba
15.6%Shot conversion8.2%
AlianzaINCA-Aruba
51%Possession44%
AlianzaINCA-Aruba
1.5xG for1.32
AlianzaINCA-Aruba
1.59xG against1.89
AlianzaINCA-Aruba

Shooting quality

Alianza: Efficient finishingINCA-Aruba: Balanced
AlianzaINCA-Aruba
Accuracy (shots on target)48%45%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.160.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.18

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

INCA-Aruba is 25% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / game - Alianza · 2 pts / game - INCA-Aruba

Alianza
LDWDW
Season result split
38% W38% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-3-2
1.50 pts / game · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 at home
2-1-0
DWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.65Opponent xG: 1.72BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
INCA-Aruba
DWWLW
Season result split
27% W18% D55% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-6
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-4
Last 5 away
1-0-4
LLLWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.32Opponent xG: 1.84BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Alianza is 105% better for: goals scored per game.

1.5 goals / game - Alianza · 0.73 goals / game - INCA-Aruba

Alianza is 32% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.38 goals / game - Alianza · 1.82 goals / game - INCA-Aruba

Alianza scoring profile: strong

Alianza scores in 63% of games (5 of 8 games), while INCA-Aruba keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 games).

INCA-Aruba scoring profile: strong

INCA-Aruba scores in 64% of games (7 of 11 games), while Alianza keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 games).

12Goals scored (season)8
AlianzaINCA-Aruba
11Goals conceded (season)20
AlianzaINCA-Aruba
2.88Average goals per game2.55
AlianzaINCA-Aruba
9Goals scored (last 5)6
AlianzaINCA-Aruba
8Goals conceded (last 5)5
AlianzaINCA-Aruba

How often they score at least...

63%1 goal64%
AlianzaINCA-Aruba
63%2 goals9%
AlianzaINCA-Aruba
25%3 goals0%
AlianzaINCA-Aruba
0%4 goals0%
AlianzaINCA-Aruba

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal73%
AlianzaINCA-Aruba
63%2 goals55%
AlianzaINCA-Aruba
0%3 goals36%
AlianzaINCA-Aruba
0%4 goals18%
AlianzaINCA-Aruba

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

38%BTTS at half-time0%
AlianzaINCA-Aruba
38%BTTS in both halves0%
AlianzaINCA-Aruba
50%Scored in both halves0%
AlianzaINCA-Aruba

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS36%
AlianzaINCA-Aruba
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
AlianzaINCA-Aruba
60%BTTS - last 560%
AlianzaINCA-Aruba

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time55%
AlianzaINCA-Aruba
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time9%
AlianzaINCA-Aruba
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
AlianzaINCA-Aruba

2nd half

88%Min. 1 goal after half-time82%
AlianzaINCA-Aruba
63%Min. 2 goals after half-time64%
AlianzaINCA-Aruba
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time27%
AlianzaINCA-Aruba

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Alianza is 37% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / game - Alianza · 0.73 pts / game - INCA-Aruba

Alianza - half-time state
13% leading63% draw25% trailing
INCA-Aruba - half-time state
9% leading45% draw45% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per game (1st half)0.73
AlianzaINCA-Aruba
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.09
AlianzaINCA-Aruba
0.63Goals conceded (1st half)0.55
AlianzaINCA-Aruba
1.13Average goals (1st half)0.64
AlianzaINCA-Aruba
38%Clean sheet before half-time55%
AlianzaINCA-Aruba
50%No goal before half-time91%
AlianzaINCA-Aruba

After half-time (2nd half)

1.5Points per game (2nd half)0.82
AlianzaINCA-Aruba
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.64
AlianzaINCA-Aruba
0.75Goals conceded (2nd half)1.27
AlianzaINCA-Aruba
1.75Average goals (2nd half)1.91
AlianzaINCA-Aruba
25%Clean sheet after half-time36%
AlianzaINCA-Aruba
38%No goal after half-time45%
AlianzaINCA-Aruba

Alianza - second-half results

38% W38% D25% L
8
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding292%

Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

INCA-Aruba - second-half results

18% W27% D55% L
8
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.73
PPG before half-time
Lead holding300%

Leads at halftime in 9% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.7

Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Alianza - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.801.60
Goals scored / game0.61.2
Goals allowed / game0.80.8
Average goals per game1.42.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 3
INCA-Aruba - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.60
Goals scored / game0.21.0
Goals allowed / game0.40.6
Average goals per game0.61.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Alianza
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
2
1
16-30
1
2
31-45
1
1
46-60
0
1
61-75
7
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

INCA-Aruba
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
0
2
16-30
1
2
31-45
1
2
46-60
2
3
61-75
4
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.71
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.7 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
48%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+47%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
40%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
14%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 7 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Alianza

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.21
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
0.00
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
104%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
124%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
58% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
58%

INCA-Aruba

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.57
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.52
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+6.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.59
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
66%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
126%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+1.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Salvadoran Primera División).

Teams vs league

AlianzaLigaINCA-Aruba
Average goals per game 2.882.55 2.55
Both teams scored 50%48% 45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%47% 45%
Clean sheets 25%32% 27%
Goal before half-time 75%65% 55%
Goal after half-time 88%73% 82%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.55
Average goals per game
48%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.44
Home goals / game
1.11
Away goals / game
+30%
Home attack advantage
+23%
Home defensive advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Alianza's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against INCA-Aruba. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

FAQ

When do Alianza and INCA-Aruba play?

Alianza face INCA-Aruba on September 26, 2026 in Salvadoran Primera División at Estadio Cuscatlán. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Alianza vs INCA-Aruba?

Alianza score 1.50 goals per game on average and INCA-Aruba 0.73. The Salvadoran Primera División average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Alianza's matches and 45% of INCA-Aruba's.

What form are Alianza and INCA-Aruba in?

Over the last 5 games Alianza have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and INCA-Aruba 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Alianza vs INCA-Aruba?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Alianza vs INCA-Aruba: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.