Alloa Athletic vs Kelty Hearts: match statistics
Alloa Athletic is the clear favorite for this encounter, sitting 3rd in the table with an impressive 54% home win rate. The hosts show excellent home form with 13 wins this season and only 15% losses at their own stadium, maintaining 54% clean sheets. Kelty Hearts sits in a distant 10th place with a disastrous away record – merely 23% wins and a massive 54% losses on the road, conceding an average of 1.77 goals per match. The difference in xG is also telling: Alloa generates 1.3 xG in home matches with just 1.04 xG Against, while Kelty has only 0.95 xG For with 1.57 xG Against away. Additionally, form over the last five matches strongly favors the hosts (2.0 PPG vs 0.6 PPG), making an Alloa Athletic victory the most likely scenario.
Alloa Athletic vs Kelty Hearts: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Alloa Athletic played against Kelty Hearts in League One (Scotland). The game was played on March 7, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Alloa Athletic has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Kelty Hearts has 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Alloa Athletic scores 1.42 goals per game and allows 0.73. Kelty Hearts scores 0.81 and allows 1.89. Games in this league average 2.59 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 35% of Alloa Athletic's games and 52% of Kelty Hearts's. The Over 2.5 rates are 42% and 56%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Alloa Athletic has the higher season xG average, 1.25 to 0.97 per game. Alloa Athletic takes 9.6 shots per game, while Kelty Hearts takes 7.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Alloa Athletic leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 0.85 goals per game after halftime. Kelty Hearts leads at halftime in 22% and scores 0.37 after halftime.
When the teams score
Alloa Athletic's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). For Kelty Hearts, it is minutes 16-30 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League One games average 2.59 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Alloa Athletic is the clear favorite for this encounter, sitting 3rd in the table with an impressive 54% home win rate. The hosts show excellent home form with 13 wins this season and only 15% losses at their own stadium, maintaining 54% clean sheets. Kelty Hearts sits in a distant 10th place with a disastrous away record – merely 23% wins and a massive 54% losses on the road, conceding an average of 1.77 goals per match. The difference in xG is also telling: Alloa generates 1.3 xG in home matches with just 1.04 xG Against, while Kelty has only 0.95 xG For with 1.57 xG Against away. Additionally, form over the last five matches strongly favors the hosts (2.0 PPG vs 0.6 PPG), making an Alloa Athletic victory the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Alloa Athletic | Kelty Hearts | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 51% | 49% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Alloa Athletic is 150% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Alloa Athletic · 0.8 pts / game - Kelty Hearts
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Alloa Athletic is 75% better for: goals scored per game.
1.42 goals / game - Alloa Athletic · 0.81 goals / game - Kelty Hearts
Alloa Athletic is 159% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.73 goals / game - Alloa Athletic · 1.89 goals / game - Kelty Hearts
Alloa Athletic scores in 69% of games (18 of 26 meczów), while Kelty Hearts keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 27 meczów).
Kelty Hearts scores in 59% of games (16 of 27 meczów), while Alloa Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 46% (12 of 26 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Alloa Athletic
Over / Under - Kelty Hearts
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Alloa Athletic is 62% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.62 pts / game - Alloa Athletic · 1 pts / game - Kelty Hearts
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Alloa Athletic - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Kelty Hearts - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 11%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Alloa Athletic
Kelty Hearts
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Alloa Athletic | Liga | Kelty Hearts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.15 | 2.59 | ▲ 2.70 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 35% | 46% | ▲ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 50% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 46% | 30% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 74% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | • 81% | 80% | • 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Alloa Athletic's perspective: 2 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Kelty Hearts. Games average 2.33 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Alloa Athletic vs Kelty Hearts?
The League One match finished Alloa Athletic 2:1 Kelty Hearts. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Alloa Athletic and Kelty Hearts?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Alloa Athletic won 2, Kelty Hearts won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Alloa Athletic vs Kelty Hearts?
Alloa Athletic score 1.42 goals per game on average and Kelty Hearts 0.81. The League One average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Alloa Athletic's matches and 52% of Kelty Hearts's.
What form are Alloa Athletic and Kelty Hearts in?
Over the last 5 games Alloa Athletic have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Kelty Hearts 0-4-1 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Alloa Athletic vs Kelty Hearts?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Alloa Athletic vs Kelty Hearts: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.