Alloa Athletic vs Kelty Hearts: match statistics
Alloa Athletic is the clear favorite for this encounter, sitting 3rd in the table with an impressive 54% home win rate. The hosts show excellent home form with 13 wins this season and only 15% losses at their own stadium, maintaining 54% clean sheets. Kelty Hearts sits in a distant 10th place with a disastrous away record – merely 23% wins and a massive 54% losses on the road, conceding an average of 1.77 goals per match. The difference in xG is also telling: Alloa generates 1.3 xG in home matches with just 1.04 xG Against, while Kelty has only 0.95 xG For with 1.57 xG Against away. Additionally, form over the last five matches strongly favors the hosts (2.0 PPG vs 0.6 PPG), making an Alloa Athletic victory the most likely scenario.
Alloa Athletic vs Kelty Hearts: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Alloa Athletic play Kelty Hearts in League One (Scotland). The match date is 7 March 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Alloa Athletic: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Kelty Hearts: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Alloa Athletic scores 1.39 and concedes 1.03 goals per match. Kelty Hearts scores 0.89 and concedes 1.72. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Alloa Athletic 42%, Kelty Hearts 53%. Over 2.5: Alloa Athletic 44%, Kelty Hearts 50%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Alloa Athletic has higher xG: 1.26 vs 1.01. Alloa Athletic: 9.8 shots per match, Kelty Hearts: 7.5.
Match halves
Alloa Athletic: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.81. Kelty Hearts: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Alloa Athletic: 61-75 (10 goals). Kelty Hearts: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 2-1-0. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 33%.
Match description
Alloa Athletic is the clear favorite for this encounter, sitting 3rd in the table with an impressive 54% home win rate. The hosts show excellent home form with 13 wins this season and only 15% losses at their own stadium, maintaining 54% clean sheets. Kelty Hearts sits in a distant 10th place with a disastrous away record – merely 23% wins and a massive 54% losses on the road, conceding an average of 1.77 goals per match. The difference in xG is also telling: Alloa generates 1.3 xG in home matches with just 1.04 xG Against, while Kelty has only 0.95 xG For with 1.57 xG Against away. Additionally, form over the last five matches strongly favors the hosts (2.0 PPG vs 0.6 PPG), making an Alloa Athletic victory the most likely scenario.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Alloa Athletic | Kelty Hearts | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 49% | 48% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kelty Hearts is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Alloa Athletic · 1.4 pts / match - Kelty Hearts
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Alloa Athletic is 56% better for: goals scored per match.
1.39 goals / match - Alloa Athletic · 0.89 goals / match - Kelty Hearts
Alloa Athletic is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.03 goals / match - Alloa Athletic · 1.72 goals / match - Kelty Hearts
Alloa Athletic scores in 72% of matches (26 of 36 matches), while Kelty Hearts keeps a clean sheet in 14% (5 of 36 matches).
Kelty Hearts scores in 61% of matches (22 of 36 matches), while Alloa Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 39% (14 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Alloa Athletic
Over / Under — Kelty Hearts
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Alloa Athletic is 61% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.56 pts / match - Alloa Athletic · 0.97 pts / match - Kelty Hearts
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Alloa Athletic - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Kelty Hearts - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 17%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Alloa Athletic
Kelty Hearts
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Alloa Athletic | Liga | Kelty Hearts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.42 | 2.62 | • 2.61 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 50% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 49% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 28% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 73% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 83% | • 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Alloa Athletic 2 - 1 - 0 Kelty Hearts. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Alloa Athletic vs Kelty Hearts?
The League One match finished Alloa Athletic 2:1 Kelty Hearts. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Alloa Athletic and Kelty Hearts?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Alloa Athletic won 2, Kelty Hearts won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Alloa Athletic vs Kelty Hearts?
Alloa Athletic score 1.39 goals per game on average and Kelty Hearts 0.89. The League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Alloa Athletic's matches and 53% of Kelty Hearts's.
What form are Alloa Athletic and Kelty Hearts in?
Over the last 5 games Alloa Athletic have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Kelty Hearts 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Alloa Athletic vs Kelty Hearts?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Alloa Athletic vs Kelty Hearts: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.