Almería vs Burgos CF: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Almería play Burgos CF in Segunda División (Spain). The match date is 14 December 2025 at 18:30. Final score: 1:2.

Current form

Almería: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Burgos CF: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Almería scores 1.87 and concedes 1.48 goals per match. Burgos CF scores 1.14 and concedes 0.79. League average: 2.63 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Almería 72%, Burgos CF 38%. Over 2.5: Almería 70%, Burgos CF 31%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots and style

Almería has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.15. Almería: 15.2 shots per match, Burgos CF: 10.0.

Match halves

Almería: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.04. Burgos CF: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.57.

Goals by minute

Almería: 76-90+ (22 goals). Burgos CF: 31-45+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Segunda División: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

65Possession (%)35
AlmeríaBurgos CF
10Shots7
AlmeríaBurgos CF
4Shots on target2
AlmeríaBurgos CF
1.31xG0.78
AlmeríaBurgos CF
3Corners1
AlmeríaBurgos CF
54Dangerous attacks26
AlmeríaBurgos CF
21Fouls19
AlmeríaBurgos CF
3Cards3
AlmeríaBurgos CF

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.87Goals scored / match1.14
AlmeríaBurgos CF
1.48Goals conceded / match0.79
AlmeríaBurgos CF
52%Average possession46%
AlmeríaBurgos CF
5.54Shots on target / match3.14
AlmeríaBurgos CF

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.24Shots per match10
AlmeríaBurgos CF
5.54Shots on target3.14
AlmeríaBurgos CF
12.3%Shot conversion11.4%
AlmeríaBurgos CF
52%Possession46%
AlmeríaBurgos CF
1.68xG for1.15
AlmeríaBurgos CF
1.47xG against1.33
AlmeríaBurgos CF

Shooting quality

Almería: AttackingBurgos CF: Balanced
AlmeríaBurgos CF
Accuracy (shots on target)36%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Burgos CF is 38% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Almería · 2.2 pts / match - Burgos CF

Almería
WDWDL
Season result split
50% W22% R28% P
Season (W-D-L)
23-10-13
1.72 pts / match · goal difference +18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
16-2-5
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
WLWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.47Opponent xG: 1.33BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Burgos CF
DDWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
48% W29% R24% P
Season (W-D-L)
20-12-10
1.71 pts / match · goal difference +15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
10-4-7
Last 5 away
3-1-1
WLDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.0xG: 1.25Opponent xG: 1.50BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Almería is 64% better for: goals scored per match.

1.87 goals / match - Almería · 1.14 goals / match - Burgos CF

Burgos CF is 87% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.48 goals / match - Almería · 0.79 goals / match - Burgos CF

Almería scoring profile: strong

Almería scores in 87% of matches (40 of 46 matches), while Burgos CF keeps a clean sheet in 45% (19 of 42 matches).

Burgos CF scoring profile: very strong

Burgos CF scores in 67% of matches (28 of 42 matches), while Almería keeps a clean sheet in 22% (10 of 46 matches).

86Goals scored (season)48
AlmeríaBurgos CF
68Goals conceded (season)33
AlmeríaBurgos CF
3.35Average goals in match1.93
AlmeríaBurgos CF
6Goals scored (last 5)4
AlmeríaBurgos CF
5Goals conceded (last 5)0
AlmeríaBurgos CF

How often they score at least...

87%1 goal67%
AlmeríaBurgos CF
52%2 goals29%
AlmeríaBurgos CF
33%3 goals12%
AlmeríaBurgos CF
13%4 goals5%
AlmeríaBurgos CF

How often they concede at least...

78%1 goal55%
AlmeríaBurgos CF
50%2 goals19%
AlmeríaBurgos CF
13%3 goals5%
AlmeríaBurgos CF
4%4 goals0%
AlmeríaBurgos CF

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

56%
League average

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time21%
AlmeríaBurgos CF
17%BTTS in both halves2%
AlmeríaBurgos CF
35%Scored in both halves19%
AlmeríaBurgos CF

BTTS and goal count

63%Min. 3 goals and BTTS26%
AlmeríaBurgos CF
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
AlmeríaBurgos CF
60%BTTS - last 50%
AlmeríaBurgos CF

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

70%Min. 1 goal before half-time55%
AlmeríaBurgos CF
43%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
AlmeríaBurgos CF
15%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
AlmeríaBurgos CF

2nd half

87%Min. 1 goal after half-time64%
AlmeríaBurgos CF
61%Min. 2 goals after half-time24%
AlmeríaBurgos CF
30%Min. 3 goals after half-time7%
AlmeríaBurgos CF

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Almería is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.5 pts / match - Almería · 1.31 pts / match - Burgos CF

Almería - half-time state
33% leading52% draw15% trailing
Burgos CF - half-time state
24% leading60% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per match (1st half)1.31
AlmeríaBurgos CF
0.83Goals scored (1st half)0.57
AlmeríaBurgos CF
0.52Goals conceded (1st half)0.4
AlmeríaBurgos CF
1.35Average goals (1st half)0.98
AlmeríaBurgos CF
54%Clean sheet before half-time62%
AlmeríaBurgos CF
43%No goal before half-time62%
AlmeríaBurgos CF

After half-time (2nd half)

1.43Points per match (2nd half)1.52
AlmeríaBurgos CF
1.04Goals scored (2nd half)0.57
AlmeríaBurgos CF
0.96Goals conceded (2nd half)0.38
AlmeríaBurgos CF
2Average goals (2nd half)0.95
AlmeríaBurgos CF
37%Clean sheet after half-time67%
AlmeríaBurgos CF
35%No goal after half-time52%
AlmeríaBurgos CF

Almería - second-half results

37% W33% R30% P
69
Half-time points
38
Half-time goals
+14
Goal difference (1st half)
66
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding152%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Burgos CF - second-half results

36% W45% R19% P
55
Half-time points
24
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
64
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.31
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Almería - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.60
Goals scored / match0.21.0
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match0.41.8
1 goal40%80%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Burgos CF - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.40
Goals scored / match0.60.2
Goals conceded / match0.00.0
Average goals in match0.60.2
1 goal40%20%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%100%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference+3+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Almería
ScoredConceded
14
7
0-15
12
7
16-30
12
10
31-45
13
11
46-60
13
9
61-75
22
24
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (22 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (24). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Burgos CF
ScoredConceded
4
5
0-15
7
4
16-30
13
8
31-45
5
6
46-60
8
3
61-75
11
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.64
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
58%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Almería

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.21
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.18
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
129%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
125%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.12
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

Burgos CF

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.18
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.53
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-13.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.54
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
97%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
54%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.49
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Segunda División).

Teams vs league

AlmeríaLigaBurgos CF
Average goals in match 3.352.63 1.93
Both teams scored 72%56% 38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 70%50% 31%
Clean sheets 22%26% 45%
Goal before half-time 70%68% 55%
Goal after half-time 87%75% 64%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.63
Average goals per match
56%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.45
Home goals / match
1.18
Away goals / match
+23%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Almería 0 - 1 - 0 Burgos CF. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Almería vs Burgos CF?

The Segunda División match finished Almería 1:2 Burgos CF. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Almería vs Burgos CF?

Almería score 1.87 goals per game on average and Burgos CF 1.14. The Segunda División average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 72% of Almería's matches and 38% of Burgos CF's.

What form are Almería and Burgos CF in?

Over the last 5 games Almería have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Burgos CF 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Almería vs Burgos CF?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Almería vs Burgos CF: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.