Alta vs Sarasota Paradise: match statistics
Alta vs Sarasota Paradise: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Alta play Sarasota Paradise in USL League One (United States). The match date is 11 June 2026 at 05:00. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Alta: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Sarasota Paradise: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Alta scores 1.44 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Sarasota Paradise scores 0.94 and concedes 1.56. League average: 2.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Alta 61%, Sarasota Paradise 50%. Over 2.5: Alta 56%, Sarasota Paradise 50%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Alta has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.43. Alta: 13.1 shots per match, Sarasota Paradise: 12.2.
Match halves
Alta: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.72. Sarasota Paradise: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Alta: 76-90+ (7 goals). Sarasota Paradise: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL League One: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Alta holds a clear advantage in attack and game control: at home they average 1.71 goals scored and generate xG 1.81, while Sarasota on the road scores 0.6 goals on average with xG 1.17. The hosts attempt 15.29 shots per match, 5.0 on target, with a conversion rate of 11%, compared to the visitors' 9.6 shots, 2.6 on target and 6% conversion. Defensively Alta concedes 1.14 goals at home and keeps a clean sheet in 43% of matches, whereas Sarasota concedes 1.8 away and has only 20% clean sheets; additionally the visitors failed to score in 60% of away games. In the last 5 matches Alta scored 8 goals and have a 3-1-1 record averaging 2.0 points per game, while Sarasota scored 7 goals and are 3-0-2 in their last 5, yet on the road the visitors have a run of 4 defeats and 1 win. Considering Alta’s superiority in xG, shot volume and lower share of matches without scoring, and factoring that Alta draws frequently at home (57% of home games) while Sarasota lose 80% of away matches, I assess probabilities as 55% for a home win, 30% for a draw and 15% for the away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Alta | Sarasota Paradise | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Alta is 53% better for: goals scored per match.
1.44 goals / match - Alta · 0.94 goals / match - Sarasota Paradise
Alta is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.17 goals / match - Alta · 1.56 goals / match - Sarasota Paradise
Alta scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Sarasota Paradise keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
Sarasota Paradise scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while Alta keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Alta
Over / Under — Sarasota Paradise
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Alta is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.28 pts / match - Alta · 0.94 pts / match - Sarasota Paradise
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Alta - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Sarasota Paradise - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Alta
Sarasota Paradise
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| Alta | Liga | Sarasota Paradise | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.61 | 2.85 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 56% | 59% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 26% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 73% | ▼ 44% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 80% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Alta 1 - 0 - 0 Sarasota Paradise. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Alta vs Sarasota Paradise?
The USL League One match finished Alta 3:1 Sarasota Paradise. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Alta vs Sarasota Paradise?
Alta score 1.44 goals per game on average and Sarasota Paradise 0.94. The USL League One average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Alta's matches and 50% of Sarasota Paradise's.
What form are Alta and Sarasota Paradise in?
Over the last 5 games Alta have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Sarasota Paradise 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Alta vs Sarasota Paradise?
The statistical background for Alta vs Sarasota Paradise — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.