Altrincham vs Eastleigh: match statistics
Altrincham vs Eastleigh: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Altrincham played against Eastleigh in National League (England). The game was played on April 11, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Altrincham has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Eastleigh has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Altrincham scores 1.14 goals per game and allows 1.47. Eastleigh scores 1.28 and allows 1.81. Games in this league average 2.93 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 60% of Altrincham's games and 70% of Eastleigh's. The Over 2.5 rates are 56% and 60%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 57% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Altrincham has the higher season xG average, 1.47 to 1.30 per game. Altrincham takes 11.3 shots per game, while Eastleigh takes 9.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Altrincham leads at halftime in 35% of its games and scores 0.53 goals per game after halftime. Eastleigh leads at halftime in 19% and scores 0.79 after halftime.
When the teams score
Altrincham's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (12 goals). For Eastleigh, it is minutes 76-90+ (14 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
National League games average 2.93 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 57% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win (Altrincham). Altrincham have a 52% home win rate and a positive home goal difference (+2), while Eastleigh win only 24% of away matches and have a negative away goal difference (-12). The hosts create more chances and are more efficient offensively: on average 12.43 shots and 4.76 on target at home with xG 1.60, versus 9.57 shots, 3.81 on target and xG 1.29 for Eastleigh away. Defensively Altrincham concede 1.29 goals on average at home versus 1.71 conceded by Eastleigh away, and the clean sheet rate is 19% for the hosts versus 38% for the visitors, which gives the hosts a defensive and offensive edge. Both teams are however in poor form over the last 5 matches (Altrincham 0.4 pts and goal difference 4-7; Eastleigh 0.8 pts and 7-11), so I give the hosts a moderate advantage — 60% chance to win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Altrincham has BTTS in 82% of their matches this season, Eastleigh in 57%, and the league average is 56%, which strongly supports a Goal/Goal scenario. Seasonal goal averages are 1.41 scored and 1.91 conceded for the home side and 1.14 scored and 1.71 conceded for the visitors, indicating both sides regularly create and concede chances. In the last 5 matches both teams show BTTS at 60%, but note Eastleigh failed to score in 38% of their season matches versus 14% for Altrincham, which increases the risk of a No Goal from the away team. xG metrics show similar attacking potential: xG for 1.32 (Altrincham) vs 1.29 (Eastleigh) and xG against 1.68 vs 1.87, while clean sheets are rare (5% and 10%), which also favors BTTS. Considering the very high home BTTS rate (82%), frequent over 2.5 goal matches (68% for Altrincham, 52% for Eastleigh) and low clean sheet percentages, I select BTTS - Yes as the most likely outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Calculated xG and defensive metrics indicate high goal potential: (Altrincham attack xG 1.32 + Eastleigh conceded xG 1.87)/2 ≈ 1.60 for the home side and (Eastleigh attack xG 1.29 + Altrincham conceded xG 1.68)/2 ≈ 1.48 for the visitors, yielding a combined ~3.08 expected goals. Historical rates confirm a propensity for goals — Altrincham has 100% of matches with over 1.5 goals, Eastleigh 76%, and BTTS stands at 82% and 57% respectively — hence an estimated ~81% probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5). The Over 2.5 level is also meaningful: season Over25 is 68% for the home team and 52% for the away team against a league average of 56%, which aligns with the model giving roughly a 59% chance for Over 2.5. Over 3.5 is less likely (season Over35: 36% and 38%; model ≈37%), so I prefer the lower line. Conclusion: the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (back the Over 1.5 line), with additional value potential on Over 2.5 if the price is attractive.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a Half-Time draw with a home-win at Full-Time (X/1). Hosts were level at the break in 55% of matches versus 43% for visitors, so HT draws are common; additionally, hosts score on average 0.95 goals after the break compared to 0.62 for away teams, and in 95% of home fixtures at least one goal is scored after half-time (vs. 76% for visitors), which favors a decision following the second half. Furthermore, the home side exhibits higher shot conversion (16% on 1.32 xG) versus 12% on 1.29 xG for the away side, and a higher average points per match (1.18 vs. 0.95), suggesting that when the score is level at HT they are more likely to convert opportunities into a victory. Nonetheless, one must account for the hosts’ poor form in their last five matches (0% wins) and the visitors’ 20% win rate over the same period, so I also assign moderate weight to the X/X and X/2 variants as alternatives.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Altrincham | Eastleigh | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Eastleigh is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - Altrincham · 0.8 pts / game - Eastleigh
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Eastleigh is 12% better for: goals scored per game.
1.14 goals / game - Altrincham · 1.28 goals / game - Eastleigh
Altrincham is 23% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.47 goals / game - Altrincham · 1.81 goals / game - Eastleigh
Altrincham scores in 79% of games (34 of 43 meczów), while Eastleigh keeps a clean sheet in 7% (3 of 43 meczów).
Eastleigh scores in 74% of games (32 of 43 meczów), while Altrincham keeps a clean sheet in 21% (9 of 43 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Altrincham
Over / Under - Eastleigh
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Altrincham is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / game - Altrincham · 1.05 pts / game - Eastleigh
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Altrincham - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 33%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Eastleigh - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 28%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (20). Late-goal balance (76-90): -11 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (20). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Altrincham
Eastleigh
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Altrincham | Liga | Eastleigh | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.60 | 2.93 | ▲ 3.09 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 57% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 56% | 57% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 24% | ▼ 7% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 71% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 82% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Altrincham's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Eastleigh. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Altrincham vs Eastleigh?
The National League match finished Altrincham 1:0 Eastleigh. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Altrincham vs Eastleigh?
Altrincham score 1.14 goals per game on average and Eastleigh 1.28. The National League average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Altrincham's matches and 70% of Eastleigh's.
What form are Altrincham and Eastleigh in?
Over the last 5 games Altrincham have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Eastleigh 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Altrincham vs Eastleigh?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.